pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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BTW, closing in on 3" here with beautiful light snow still falling at 8:30. I'll take it.
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And I will defend them on this one as modeling closed in, it looked to be a tricky forecast and localized areas verified, while other locals didnt. We were adequately warned IMO. Again, the average joe doesnt really care about being 1-2" short of verification, they just wannna know whats possible. Their backyard falls short (like mine), but within a short distance, totals are double or notably more. See I'm all about fairness.
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nice pics. Happy early birthday. Probably 2.5 here in akron. Nice little event event and happy for the lucky ones Blizz and berks it sounds like.
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It’s here now. Finally.
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Opened my mouth too soon. Lull here at airport.
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Waiting to pick up wife’s coworkers at HIA. It’s Snowing here. Don’t let them tell you otherwise. T already in da books.
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thats a great look for sure.
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Sure is nice to set a higher bar as we close in on go time. As most qpf maps seeme to be in the .3-4 range, thats gotta be 15:1 or better to achieve, and it appears that we've got a favorable thermal/forcing profile to have a whack at this verifying. Happy Friday gang. Hoping nooners start the weekend prep off w/ a bang.
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So once again I say.....right where we want it. At least we'll get a few more days of wintery feel round here. I'm taking that as a win. Enough uncertainty being shown on the Ops to keep an eye out for late next week as well. IF we can score 1 or 2 more after tonight, this winter will be a B+ final grade for me. I'm at a C+ (including tonight 2-4 which is what I've been hoping and expecting for a couple days).
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They are predicting a T at KMDT
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CMC gonna be a tick north. Not gonna hurt us, but lets see how much it helps.
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herpes never looked so good....
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yeah it appears that we are the lucky ones in the mid/north atlantic (outside of normal locals that usually cash in on temp/elevation sensitive events) Once again, I really feel for the winter related business/industries that rely on snow/cold. My snowmobile pals are in northern maine and while they have enough snow, its notably less than normal/expected.
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if you go back and toggle through, you'll see that CMC was south and corrected north as event neared.
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all good pal. Just clarifying cause tonights "event' is a clipper.
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it lead the southern charge for the last event, so there's that.
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fwiw tonights clipper never was meant to be much of anything round here. Northers maybe an inch. tomorrow night isnt really a clipper, but a energy thats riding the boundary
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many times qpf from clippers is exaggerated east of mtns, but not as bad for norther westers where elevation keeps them in the game.
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So so sad. Saw the plumes of smoke from the house, and daughter in law informed me that my fav grocery store is gone. edit - just saw your post after i posted
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yeah I think places like elm to manheim to etown have a shot at keeping enough to make a snow on snow deal happen. Fresh snowmobile tracks still being seen on way into work. MBY "snowpack" still 3", but many areas that are exposed are down to little. Cold temps surely helped, although Ephrata is getting lots of heat from a big country store fire (Martins - my favorite meat/grocery store). Just did a BIG remodel too. Terrible.
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I just peeked and saw that home run, and verbatim it would still have runners yet to cross the plate... Nice to see chances continuing to pop up. Speaking of chances....wondering what the chance is for the upcoming weekend event to slip further south? GFS has been trending, but fortunately therese enough consensus that goalposts seem to be a little more narrow for this one.
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Still approx 4” imby. Photo too large. Ugh. Sleds can still run in spots around here but lotsa melting this after. Tomorrow is colder but might not be enough to hold it unless we feeeze hard tonight. Not sure mid 20’s do a lot to help. Nice event all the same.
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It sure did nail it. I posted something about the mesos hitting the mark really early this morning. Hoping they dont shat the bed w/ this next one but the shift south inside 24 with last one should give pause to what we see in the next couple days, with the exception that we are not trying to figure out what letter (A/B to affix to the next one, as its less tricky in evolution as it rides the boundary, with possible SS injection of add'l qpf if they link up a little better than currently modeled.
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I'll close my nooner chat w/ nice consensus, but still most keep NS and SS separate, so for now we just have a nice mood event. Still happy to see it and think theres enough time and space to clean up and maybe a little upside.
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@90 its a tad south but not too divergent. Just establishes southern goalpost.
