pasnownut

I think Pa is largely safe, but south of M/D where IP is involved, yeah thats a scary concern because of temps that follow.

Today is transition day for me. My goalposts are pretty much set. Barring any last minute surprises, its time for me to sit back and enjoy whatever the tally ends up being. My obsession is to get one squarely in my sights, the thrill of the chase, has absolutely been met. Still feel (like I did from days ago) that this setup is less complicated and safer for a notable event. I wont fret over a few inches +/- from a computer model. Of course I'll be here, but I'm gonna enjoy every model run, and start looking out windows instead of computer screen. Actually think my 13.9" for KMDT is in play. This has been a really fun week w/ yall. Thanks for playin along.

6z ukie shaves the top off everyone a wee little bit. Still 10ish + for most. Sign where??

Morning starting off nicely. Subtle shifts in favorable directions. 6z suite is just fine. and yeah GFS came off its high horse, but is still looking just fine. goalposts narrow....and were nicely placed within.

well that's a good f'in way to start the day!!

They need to step away from the bottle. Show me one run that suggests that quick a cutoff. Most we are looking at show midnight to early sunday morning.

and because we know its pingers and not ZR, I personally dont really care. Its the ultimate pack densifier/retention agent. Especially with cold that is to follow. Just like my wife always tells me, I dont need too much...just enough. with that I say gnight.

verbatim, GFS keeps me white thru duration. 700's/850"s/skew T's approve of this post. I'm riding that horse off to bed. My oldish buzzed arse has a lot of prep work to do for Sunday Snowy Funday. nightynight

Yep, it was a christmas staple at my parents/relatives houses.

GFS still trolling hard for CTP and LSV. It is now my wishicasting model of choice for Fern. It pops secondary while others seem to delay or not transfer. IMO that is partly why its a crowd pleaser (for viewing purposes).

My mom used to make me a couple gallons every year. Diabetes sorta put the kaibosh to that. I've since learned a less sugary way to do it. I'd love nothin more than to mix some of her secret stash, and share it w/ yall.

wow. Is enjoy the proper response? send that shit south. I want whatever we get to be here for weeks. FYI, I still have enough snow cover that I could scoot around on snomobiles in fields. I will take pics tomorrow as I need to work on one. Yall will need to help me post it. Pics are a pain in da arse on this site.

Out to 12 GFS is too early to tell.......... Im a dick....I know.

us slovaks call it boilo. fan friggin tastic stuff pal.

They are smart to hold the line. Peeps know its coming, and if they need to tweak tomorrow night...so be it, but no matter what the tweak is, this isnt going from something to nothing....its just going to be a different big headache (and possibly more substantial if we taint a lot. In the end, its gonna be travel challenges, and possibly more notable w/ pingerfest vs big ass drifts. pick your travel poison.

yall can debbie all you want, but so far 0z mesos look just fine to me. minimal taint and front end poundtown.

And I may eat crow for saying that, but if one is merely model watchin and basin thoughts on 6 hr outputs, there are 5 more runs to consider, so buckle up. Some of us weenies throw a little more at it than that. In the end it may not matter but I don’t live and die by 6 hr outputs. I will not cut bait till 18z tomorrow.

I hope all the jumpers read this twice.

Since the kids are out of earshot feel free to swear with wreckless abandon.

I think cad will at some point tick SN/Ip line a bit further SE but it may not be till after it adjusts a tick (or2) further NW really hope further WAA intrusion is stopped at 0z or 6z

In state of emergency I can take my sleds on roads legally. Last time it happened I offered cops my assistance and gave number if they needed quick access.

It’s looking good right now imo. Still think a little upside possible.

They kno not everyone will adhere, but if your in a Prius and not legit 4 wheel drive, it’s your hint to stay home.

Based on what’s coming at us I think it a smart move.

And cad is often under modeled so imo no matter how the sneaky 700 layer taints the slightest adjustments for cad will only show up tomorrow nooners and beyond. primary keeps making its press known, then we’ve got a battle. while this is a tough line I still like that the waa is coming at us and not straight up from the south. Not abandoning what I’ve been feeling for days. If I’m wrong, so be it. Gonna b a great event even if we ping down here.