Jump to content

pasnownut

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,260

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    as stated earlier, NAM early into storm range often seems lost for a run or 2. Not surprised at all. Not saying it is final solution, but its just the NAM doin its NAM thingy
  2. pasnownut
    wow. That starts the day off well for forecasters....boy I do not envy them right now (well the ones who are tryin to do it right and not be arrogant and rant - thinkin DT types....dude is eatin lotsa egg off face as of right now). Waiting for his backpedal post when nooners come out.
  3. pasnownut
    do you have older panels to share? I'm assuming thats a change in the gooder direction?
  4. pasnownut
    NAM at this range often does wonky things. I'd ignore that - and not because i dont like what it's showing. Plenty enough consensus forming that your gettin snow.
  5. pasnownut
    RGEM coming around twds GFS as well. someone pinch me.
  6. pasnownut
    as already stated, ICON takes a pretty substantial move twds the new King. I'll be dipped in dogshit.
  7. pasnownut
    BTW, lots of "things" annoy me in that thread. Has been largely unbearable in last few year, and why I gave up postin there. Wasnt horrible when i peeked earlier today.
  8. pasnownut
    agreed. norlun is just a part of this potential event. I can see why folks are rooting it on, cause shit gets serious if one is sittin under that deathband. Otherwise its light/mod snow and a few inches at best (unless GFS steals the crown for the next couple days. Then we are synoptically pummeled.
  9. pasnownut
    all part of the fun. I'm not here to be right....just here for the fun. I'm 1 beer and a couple cocktails in myself. School night, but I'm sayin F'it and havin a little fun. Cheers
  10. pasnownut
    Cant argue that, but I think you get my point that i was making. It'd be the 8th wonder of the modern world if ALL guidance bows to the GFS. Thats what i was gettin at. Like i said earlier today, NAM did it in 2016. Maybe this is the GFS's turn to rule the roost for one.
  11. pasnownut
    Yeah looking at that tight cluster one would think 0z would surely come W.
  12. pasnownut
    It's definately coming around.
  13. pasnownut
    just toggled through the panels, and yeah, it started off the 0z's in a better way. Hoping the rest of them keep the welcome trends, but gut says GFS ticks east soon. Time for some narrowing of the goalposts, as we are inside 3 days and nearing short term. Lets hope for some good stuff tonight.
  14. pasnownut
    saw that earlier. What a year for modelwatchin
  15. pasnownut
    Or just stop traveling so damn much in winter and sit back, pour a cold one and enjoy the friggin snow. just a thought.
  16. pasnownut
    saw the maps, and after rereading your post a few time to take in the anomalous nature of your statement, it looks like GFS might be lead dog in this race.
  17. pasnownut
    18z euro and 0z nam starting to cave to GFS look. Not sure they concede fully, but a compromise is still a win for the GFS if the trends continue. IF the GFS pulls off even a partial win, it will just make model watchin all the more "interesting" moving forward. Read somewhere that the GFS gets a big update later this year. I think I was lookin at MA thread for some comic relief.
  18. pasnownut
    I do and i am. hehe
  19. pasnownut
    Yeah nooners (sans GFS) were a touch better, which give me the confidence in thinking we are going to see something, but there is enough that are not showing much more than some light snow, and with seasonal tendencies in mind, progressive and too far east when winding up have been the theme for this winter. With spring approaching, it is a time where we can buck the trends though. not saying thats evident here, but something I keep in my mental notebook of how we can snow in late season.
  20. pasnownut
    and just like that the Euro stays open and more progressive looking. Still has something, but in the spirit of the Olympics, its def the US vs Euro. Gut says GFS caves a bit, and we still see snow. Good enough for me.
  21. pasnownut
    my "confidence" is that the storm isnt going poof and trending towards something. That is all I'm confident about. Not for a second do I think the GFS is going to score a coup, and I dont think my wording suggested that, but GFS is liking a tucked storm, and other models have trended a bit sharper w/ trough axis as well as ticked W a bit. doing a nooner WMB (Weenie Model Blend) suggests that a light/mod event is surely in play, (norlun or no norlun) for many Eastern pa folks.
  22. pasnownut
    last norlun i can remember put 7" on my house, while 10 miles away it was 1" at a friends. They are a rarity, but fun if you get in it.
  23. pasnownut
    plenty of time for that to happen.... or not. lol with other models coming back around to the storm idea, at least that consensus is forming in a favorable way. pretty wide goalposts tho and we are on the far left side. Starting to feel like a plowable event is looking like a good possibility.
  24. pasnownut
    AI GooFuS sharper more neg tilted and slightly W of 6z for money panels. Other lesser storm models have not trended against us, so small wins if you want snow. PLENTY of time for this to go gooder/bader, but I'm cool w/ where we are right now.
  25. pasnownut
×
×
  • Create New...