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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    and the Euro as per Accuchris. likin the trends. Lets hope we can continue this for a couple more runs.
  2. pasnownut
    euro AI joins the sharper trough team and looks better. Another +1 for team snowhounds
  3. pasnownut
    goalposts narrowed a bit, but subtle changes can make big differences for our W vs E sub members. Still need to watch NS and how it dives in. Need that to hold and not fold (some nooners less neg tilt, and some were a touch better). Root for earlier interaction to keep trough neg so this thing can come up and not up/out. Based on progressive trough theme of this winter, its a worry of mine, but fortunately we are getting close enough that big surprises are starting to wane a bit.
  4. pasnownut
    based on SLP track, one could argue that qpf depicted above is a bit underdone for skook n points NE.
  5. pasnownut
    was just looking it over. SLP also came a bit W of 6z.
  6. pasnownut
    Just posted before scrolling down and seeing your response. agreed fwiw
  7. pasnownut
    its sorta a hybrid B IMO. has primary that pops secondary, but its obviously well SE of typical primary up Apps to coastal.
  8. pasnownut
    lookin at it now. Yeah, we'd sign. wow
  9. pasnownut
    as stated earlier, NAM early into storm range often seems lost for a run or 2. Not surprised at all. Not saying it is final solution, but its just the NAM doin its NAM thingy
  10. pasnownut
    wow. That starts the day off well for forecasters....boy I do not envy them right now (well the ones who are tryin to do it right and not be arrogant and rant - thinkin DT types....dude is eatin lotsa egg off face as of right now). Waiting for his backpedal post when nooners come out.
  11. pasnownut
    do you have older panels to share? I'm assuming thats a change in the gooder direction?
  12. pasnownut
    NAM at this range often does wonky things. I'd ignore that - and not because i dont like what it's showing. Plenty enough consensus forming that your gettin snow.
  13. pasnownut
    RGEM coming around twds GFS as well. someone pinch me.
  14. pasnownut
    as already stated, ICON takes a pretty substantial move twds the new King. I'll be dipped in dogshit.
  15. pasnownut
    BTW, lots of "things" annoy me in that thread. Has been largely unbearable in last few year, and why I gave up postin there. Wasnt horrible when i peeked earlier today.
  16. pasnownut
    agreed. norlun is just a part of this potential event. I can see why folks are rooting it on, cause shit gets serious if one is sittin under that deathband. Otherwise its light/mod snow and a few inches at best (unless GFS steals the crown for the next couple days. Then we are synoptically pummeled.
  17. pasnownut
    all part of the fun. I'm not here to be right....just here for the fun. I'm 1 beer and a couple cocktails in myself. School night, but I'm sayin F'it and havin a little fun. Cheers
  18. pasnownut
    Cant argue that, but I think you get my point that i was making. It'd be the 8th wonder of the modern world if ALL guidance bows to the GFS. Thats what i was gettin at. Like i said earlier today, NAM did it in 2016. Maybe this is the GFS's turn to rule the roost for one.
  19. pasnownut
    Yeah looking at that tight cluster one would think 0z would surely come W.
  20. pasnownut
    It's definately coming around.
  21. pasnownut
    just toggled through the panels, and yeah, it started off the 0z's in a better way. Hoping the rest of them keep the welcome trends, but gut says GFS ticks east soon. Time for some narrowing of the goalposts, as we are inside 3 days and nearing short term. Lets hope for some good stuff tonight.
  22. pasnownut
    saw that earlier. What a year for modelwatchin
  23. pasnownut
    Or just stop traveling so damn much in winter and sit back, pour a cold one and enjoy the friggin snow. just a thought.
  24. pasnownut
    saw the maps, and after rereading your post a few time to take in the anomalous nature of your statement, it looks like GFS might be lead dog in this race.
  25. pasnownut
    18z euro and 0z nam starting to cave to GFS look. Not sure they concede fully, but a compromise is still a win for the GFS if the trends continue. IF the GFS pulls off even a partial win, it will just make model watchin all the more "interesting" moving forward. Read somewhere that the GFS gets a big update later this year. I think I was lookin at MA thread for some comic relief.
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