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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Yeah MU can say n do what he wants. 18zs say it ain’t over by a king shot and even if us SErs lose some to taint a pingerfest is what we transition to. I’m knocking table right now. Check.
  2. yeah somewhere between you and i looks to be "the line". Not sweatin it yet, but if 0z NAM's come in any warmer, it might be time to start rethinkin my thinkin. This event has been largely consistent on most models for a couple days, so I cant imagine big surprises exist, but for as we've been sayin for a couple days, a little means a lot for us in the transition zone.
  3. Warmer runs you can see the STJ pumping a little harder which helps keep primary a tad more juiced and hangin on longer. Thats my take anyways. GFS really is the best way to win this one and verbatim HH was a tough better once coastal pops as column cools and we are once again safe vertically speakin. With Euro still hangin on as well, I'll roll the dice w/ GFS Euro combo and any B teamers that wanna join in.
  4. GFS held serve. Man do I wanna believe. NAM's hard not to consider tho. 0z's gonna be boom r bust for LSV. If Euro holds, I'll breathe a little better.
  5. early on both looked better, then 12k shit the bed and 3k was rather similar to nooner. qpf a little less on both though.
  6. 3k not bad and maybe a tad better gang. I say we toss the 12... Very good point Pa.. column cools when rippin
  7. primary once again trying to stick its nose where it doesnt belong
  8. FWIW Notable differences at 42 wrt SLP placement. Like 500 miles off. One needs tossed. Can I pick which one?
  9. early on 3k notably better. Hoping for every panel of blue I can get for lanco.
  10. My buddy just called me from Barnes Corners (tuggers) and said he turned around in field. Too deep, and cant see in whiteout conditions. Headed back to Brantingham. Said he got 2' last night and 8'' so far today.
  11. Been in the back of my mind as well. May have slight warming as CTP introduced ZR into grid forcast. Me no likely. Hoping mesos suppress that fear for HH
  12. as weve been seeing, secondary (coastal) is the key for that deformation band to set up. longer the primary holds on, it impedes coastal/comma head development.
  13. and in truth even if the Euro is right, its still an out and out beatdown w/ me pingin for a couple hours after the hammers already dropped. I'll take it just as it is n be happy. and after looking at 6z, verbatim I'm all snow.
  14. yeah, this is looking like quite a nice stretch of the "winters of old" coming up. Just giddy about it.
  15. Thats pure weather porn right there. Props to them for sharing.
  16. most majors have a 24-27 hr window of snow. If that's what you call quick, your wife must really love you.
  17. 0z euro also looks better. Still has us SE'rs pingin for a bit, but pops secondary a tad quicker. Theres not a model I wouldnt sign for. NMB's snow maps gotta look great right now.
  18. 6z GFS also ticks S and has no taint except for extreme SE corner of Philly really nice to see cold holding its ground, and not getttin bullied by primary. Just a thing of beauty.
  19. 6z's starting off the day w/ good steps. Icon pops secondary quicker and bring perty blues 40-50 mile SE with it. Saves my ass from much taint. Giddy up buttercups.... Yardsticks snippet from ctp also a thing of beauty. Celebration of life service this morning Celebration of snow rest of weekend.
  20. Just cause some of us love and want snow often, doesnt mean we expect the biggest totals. He...like me....enjoys the thrill of the chase and enjoy the chatter on the board. I think, he like me, doesnt care if were ever the highest total. We just like snow. Yall can fight over the biggest numbers. speaking of kooky numbers, tug webcams have shown it snowing for the last 4 days. Soon we get ours and will be lookin similar to them.
  21. agreed. Slight improvement from 12z. CAD did its thing and only twds end did we taint down here. Goalposts are narrowing, and were all still in them. Good enough for me to sleep on. Hoping Euro ticks a touch colder (which seems like general consensus of 0z so far). Runnin outta ticks till bomb goes off. gnight kids.
  22. You,Wmspt (in Huntingdon) up to Nepa/mahantango/voyager look to be in cat bird seat IMO. Thermally safe, and prob a bit of lift to help bump yas into the hi end accums. Pullin for yas while I take my 13.9 at MDT to da bank.
  23. A friggin dude hangin out in Fla, is boxin me in w/ .3" wiggle room for the win. . I hope I'm way off (and low). Were starting to get close enough and theres enough continuity that I'll be giddy no matter how "off" I am.
  24. Kuch is a tad lower than HH , but we'd all still sign as depicted. taint line at 10pm sunday night cuts Lanco in 1/2, but thermals crash after and save the day. Trend is a tad warmer, but not unreasonable. edit - i see mag just basically said same thing. Smart minds.....
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