pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Central PA Autumn 2024
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted just now Happy Fall y'all. Go look at the 240 GFS, as there is a little teaser to warm up your model watching hearts for the upcoming "fun" season... We should call them the "240 teasers". My yard needs spot seeded (garden converting back to grass). First dry spell nuked alot of it, and not sure I'm gonna waste the time feeding the birds w/ seed that wont take root in brown concrete that was my lawn. Prob wait till next spring. -
Central PA Autumn 2024
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
atomix can throw some good ones out there. that was a good one no doubt. Happy weekend all. -
Left the cabin yesterday at 2pm. Was 62 up on top. normal early fall colors starting to show. Loving this weather. Enjoy all. I enjoyed reading an axios article about the POSSIBLE epic fail of the long term models and potential bust about the hurricanes or lack thereof. I enjoy this because as you all know, I love weather, but hate destructive weather...especially tornadic and hurricane as they do far more catastrophic damage than a good ol fashioned blizzard, especially as we live in times where people cancel life at the mention of a snowflake and can safely hunker down. I hope we do that kind of hunkering down a plenty this year. Still up in the air on that. https://www.axios.com/2024/09/03/atlantic-hurricane-season-inactive
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Hope your ok after the fall.....
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#indiansummer
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Since we are anxiously waiting to see how ENSO and other indies will align for your backyard winter forecasts, i think this one is in a wee bit of trouble....so far. Only 1/2 way through, but gonna need some legit attempts for putting some points on the board, or it's in fear of getting points taken away for stalling (hows that for my wrestling pals in our group). https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season and this is an interesting read shared in the ENSO forum (my late summer digi newspaper of sorts). @canderson....dont look. https://phys.org/news/2023-12-jet-stream-faster-climate.html Thats all....for now. Enjoy this pre fall preview.
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Waiting for the Dubois report that skews the cool.... This weather is just lovely. 54 on digi thermo en route to ETown. You 40's winners....enjoy it.
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You just stated what some/many here have thought for some time now. When it becomes a constant, most here are smart enough to see the pattern, and even though some of us are biased snow weenies....our posting "tone" usually carries that undertone, and when its bad....we don't try to polish a turd. Regardless, while we approach summers end....this BN stretch surely feels ahead of schedule....and most welcome for many.
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his bias has skewed my "interest" in his posts many moons ago. Its a shame cause he seems to have a lot to offer.
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I saw 52 on drive into work. Lowest my car digi thermo would go. I'm happy to be sitting w/ light jacket on. :). Happy pre Fall y'all......
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you good?
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Most mesos seem to favor I80 north, and show a skook split of sorts with SE Pa getting some late action. Any water in bucket would be appreciated. The .14 I tallied the other day did very little for my scorched earth that formerly identified as a lawn.
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Awsome Jon. Proud pappa moment right there!
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I'd take the past weeks heatwave anytime.... Saturday did moderately suck though....
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If memory serves, prior 2 seasons were also supposed to be Epic.... Got home from cabin work weekend, and watched some youtube vids. Saw my first prediction of a cold and snowy winter en route to the east...I chuckled aloud. Just like the heat and hurricanes, just a lot of hot air keeping the nothinburgers warm.
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last 2 years have been full uf em for me with parents. Glad he will be ok. Hang in there bud.
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yeah looks like next couple days we do get hotter, and likely enough to cook eggs on asphalt (so dont sit down on pavement boys). headed north and will see how high the pine creek is tonight. Work weekend at cabin. Like others have already suggested, evenings have been rather tolerable, but if DPs get a tad higher, that'll be the end of that. TGIF
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Modified for my almost exact info to share.
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Hey all. I'm just stopping in to see how everyone is surviving the summer solstice heatwave of 2024...lols, and after reading a few posts regarding how underwhelmed some are, I'm glad I'm not alone. Feels like normal summer to me. Now the precip side....that's a tad light, and more concerning for farmers with young crops in fields....and eventually the water tables. Happy summer to all.
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While I dont have a current twitter account (never was worth a subscription to me), the little I get from it isn't too dissimilar to the little I got from it before. Yeah, its not moderated - censored like it once was, but I'm no fan of one sided slander, and if were gonna play that stupid game, let both sides have at it (mind you, I'm no fan of the trash talk, and wish there could be sensible dialog....but please show me where that exists in this digital age?? I dont see it anywhere, but maybe I'm just snakebit as to where to find truth anymore....but I look at a myriad of sources in search of.... Bias is all to prevalent, and is rather disheartening when the masses deserve the truth... rant over, Its gonna rain today. Hope y'all are doing well.
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Mowing went from 2x to weekly to weekly. Brown n burn poking up in spots. No ideal how many, but 10ish would be my guess. Go bears Go phils...yes I've started watching happy summer. TTFN.
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which is different from when it was Twitter?....lol
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I thought this as soon as i learned of when it happened. Its no silver lining whatsoever, but the human impact could have easily been in the 100's. not trying to start conspiracy, but that ship was well left of the green channel beacon. Hoping no malicious intent. Thinking of all that are or will be impacted. In other news....I mowed yesterday. First and last mow report for season, but I'm "on the board"....lol Happy Spring all. Coulda snowmobiled in Tug Hill this past weekend but hosted family for Easter (my side), so sleds never made it north for a second year straight.
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with AO/NAO heading solidly -, it just has to be enough to bring boundary south enough. Add the PNA showing slightly +, it might be enough to get the trough far enough south, and while your point is a good one, I'm pulling for earlier the better....cause ya know...."too warm today for it to snow tomorrow", or "sun angle", or "warm ground wont hold any snow" stuff...which becomes increasingly more true by the day in MORCH
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as suggested last week, it'd likely be till this week for models to start reacting to better indicies, and I'm hoping the 6z GFS is a result in better signals being advertised and not a mirage...
