pasnownut

I really hope friday works around here. Would set the mood right for a fun period coming up. Nice to see most models coming around to something int he starved LSV

Bubbler wasnt the only one likin the next few days..... just sayin..........

After parsing over the nooners, I'm plenty happy with what is in the chute for the next 10 days. Dont even care to look beyond as I'm going to focus on my 1 week deep winter and enjoy every minute of it. And fwiw, no one model in particular has my vote, but they all have my interest. Very happy with what i perused over. Plenty of ways to fail, but if a week looks prime for snow, next week is it IMO.

That one has been if interest for a while and 6z’s were impressive in their consistent look. Hope the 12zs continue the trend. Haven’t had time to look in depth.

agreed. I'm liking the potential for at least 1 or 2 decent chances before we close the shades. Would be great to see a double digit deal around here,but you know what they say about beggars.... If one looks at the 6z's for Monday, I dare sat that's the strongest consensus for a flush hit here in CTP/LSV that I've seen in a while. Great continuity.....for the next few hours anyway.

you can also add the CMC/ICON combo to the "it wants to snow next week" train. Verbatim, 2 nice events for early and mid next week. Lock them up and I'd come outta winter with instead of look on my face to what has been a challenging winter for tracking enthusiasts.

models are showing plenty of opps and yeah, tight spacing does not help big storm development, but verbatim, i'll take frequent chances to score moderate or better events (ala Oz GFS suite). 3-6" events still get it done in my book. I'll never turn one down.....ever. edit....lols, i didnt even read Blizz's post above before typing my response to you..... Shows how us snow weenies think alike.

Oz throws a bone to us less fortunate. I'm down with this, even if I'll be up in the mountains. Enjoy my southern brethren.

You may want to look at the 0z NAM

We've been snowmobiling into the end of march in northern pa as well as Tug hill, so its not out of reach. It usually is a biggie that makes that happen, or an anomalous cold shot w/ lake effect for Tug.

I NEVER want to trade any snow chances away, but have to agree that once into second week of march, the cold needs staying power to keep it around for more than a day. The biggies are the easy way to that. We've had some decent march events around here so at least we have a pattern that supports more than just digital snow. North of 80 looks decent for a few inches tomorrow. Sure hope so, headed up with the sleds on Thursday and I really need that storm to deliver a few inches so I can get around with ease. Lets have some fun in the next couple weeks, before I head to the cave. :(.

have you been lookign at 12zs. Im ALMOST giddy.

and to add to it, look at what the 12z are throwing up for lunch and latching onto. CMC/pappa G/ICON all have nice opps showing up at varying degrees. Best takeaway is that chances are coming.

yeah, i think we get a couple chances at something. Just can believe the resilience of the cutter pattern we've been stuck in. Still shows up on op runs even thought base state has transitioned to more favorable w/ MJO/SOI.

wow. Batten down the hatches. sounds impressive.

DONT LOOK AT SNOWMAPS!! they are dream crushers and 6 hours later wet dreams. Fv3 looks like multiple threats to keep an eye on. 3/2 and 3/4 still have promise IMO. Not looking much beyond. Tellies say were heading into a good period. That's my long range for now. Once we get to Mid March it really doesn't matter as much for me anyway.

yup

lmao. aint that the truth.

and to add to this, If we can get any semblance of blocking, it COULD help to "slow the flow" and give shortwaves time to dig. Right now, tellies are not indicative of that, but as we get into next week and beyond, if one believes the ensembles, then we do look to morph into a workable pattern and all seem to show some continuity. That makes me feel better about where we are heading.

too bad not all of it was snow....

We are entering a time when wavelengths naturally shorten as we approach spring, so while we may lose some potential with a big blown up system, you can also play the odds at getting a decent hit if there's enough shit in the chute. Just another perspective. Im an odds guy, but yeah i want a hum dinger for sure.

I know. That blows.

Yeah, I saw they were close in time, so thats a good start. Pappa G had something brewin yesterday at that timeframe. edit....18z pappa G is goin all happy hour on us at same period Its amusing that were getting cranked up over 264 hour storms on Op runs, but what the heck. Period is looking good and storms are popping up. Hopefully by the weekend we see legit threats starting to get inside 7 or 8 days. and sorry, but no more cutter crap. I want a clean powder keg.

It had a monster show up several days back for that general period. Let’s get a couple other models to start showing some good hits and it may get nuts around here.

I can’t unsee this. Damn you.