pasnownut

Guessing someone got offended and called the popo in. Sure hope Atomix is not out as there are others that have tried harder to muck up our crew...and they are left unchecked. and btw, I'm dead to a couple in here. Enjoy your snow this weekend. You know you will a weee bit.

thats about as good as one could ask for....considering the source and normal bias.

anyone feeling a good ol NAM'ing for HH? Hope that offends noone.....

@Atomixwxi'm just messin w/ ya dude. You add alot of "color" to the group.

Yeah, to the other side, we've had some years that we've been in the goods whily they might have pushed Atomix over the edge a tad....

Agreed. Not sure why my TT is seemingly slower than y'alls/ younz? Happy for you rich retired guys that get the premium stuff.

Its what we do down here. IMO to cry about what we often see here is silly and we should know better than that (or move)..especially based on pattern and lack of deep cold air. Just happy to see "us" in the game...even if some of us are not the stars of the show. Any snow is welcome snow in MBY. I'll be at cabin, so I'll likely be on the northern periphery anyways. NBD. Hoping you get your souther tick before the dreaded norther one comes a callin. At least we are slowly runnin outta time for big changes.

We NEVER separate threads here. You'll get everything you wanted (and didnt) all in one big lump....and like it.

pleasant surprise eh....

or when they say so.

Based on track its no surprise to some of us that are used to this. MAG to Poconos has always been my early goalposts w/ about 75-100 miles on either side "getting the goods". I may be wrong but Im not afraid to share my thoughts. Me thinks 8-10 is big winners and I'm ok w/ my 3-6" until further notice. lol

"Tamaqua split" is what you called it.

No matter how the cards fall in the next couple weeks, it's great to see chances lining up in the short/medium terms. ENS guidance still wants to dump the trough in the west until about 8-10 days when a more basin wide look seems to show. Hoping we can score a couple before that happens. Further out, with AO/NAO still neg and PNA showing a move twds neutral, that basin wide look might have merit and could be fun for us.

and like so many times in the past, that blue dot between the 4.9 is right over my house. Some things never change....hehe (not for a second do I really care or worry about it) - just funny how models consistently do that for Lanco. It's like they troll me.

After general review of nooners, only worry I've got down here in LSV'ville is that 540's ticked north, and at 72hr out, still some subtle jogs left to decide winners and losers....Hoping that trend stops, but as many of us know, that is something that happens all too often. That said, there should be a decent amount of winners in our group (norther/westers).

Definitely the "hug worthy model" . Nice to see nooners upping the % of a widespread event for many snow starved geeses (cause y'all LOVE geeses).

Iget ya. For me/others its all about consensus building and creating goalposts. Happy to see its on board for something. Thats all.

and for marginal areas, intensity is the way to the snowy white promise land. Words that live in infamy....we can overcome.....

6z seemed to be an outlier (right or wrong)

pattern always suggested this would be a quickish hitter with no deep troughing to help slow things down. I'll take my progressive 3-6 and be giddy at that. Beggars........

RGEM thermals a tick better for LSV at 78. All i can see for now.

You've been doing this long enough. Weenie rule #1 is hug ANY model that give you snow, then cherrypick for your wish list.

I get your being jaded, as we share same weather and like you, i've been at this hobby for over 35 years. Point I'm making is that while we still may fail, many here can see signs for optimism and didnt need to wait for someone to say so. Doesnt mean we all win, (and we all know that losing is always the safer bet wrt our precious snow), but unless the bottom drops out, we are in short term, and staring down our first appreciable event and cautious optimism is warranted. The reasonings why have been shared by some of us for some time now...and are largely ignored/dismissed by others. On a disco forum, that's the rub for me anyway, and while almost all of us have no formal titles or pins to put on our chest....we still have plenty to offer towards good weather disco and offer info to support our claims...right or wrong. Isn't that what a disco forum is for? While he and others are pretty/really damn good, they are capable of being off....just like the best of the best here and everywhere. Part of the fun for some/many is trying to nail down an event long before it happens, and frankly for me, what I enjoy most. The event is almost anti climactic, as i need to start searching for the next one to hunt and sometimes they are few and far between (2016 and last year come to mind). Here's to some great nooners.

Agreed, its nice to have a system stay under us...no matter how it unfolds. While I see all of the nice maps, like some/many, I realize the typical climo says LSV is often on the edge. Me thinks that IF we can get things in E Central Ohio to clean up a tad, that may help to protect our precious thermals down here. See below and you'll see what i'm getting at. CMC also has it to some degree. GFS notsomuch. Mind you we cant wish things away, but as not all models have it, its what I'm focusing on for the next few runs.

looking over Euro 850's there is a warm punch on the MD line on 6z where it was 50-75 miles further south on 0z. Unfortunately it's not outside of the rhealm of possibilities. Hoping consensus says otherwise with nooners.