pasnownut

That would be funny as sh!t.

While epic looks have degraded, we still are in peak climo and we can do it in less than stellar looks. Something to think about as we wait for the next unicorn to chase.

Boy that’s not far away from a nice look.

fwiw the18z gfs looks like it’s trying to bring LP further east and if one looks at last few runs its definitely something to watch. IF this finds a way to work it will rattle the brains of many. Gotta hope for antecedent cold to hold (much like last event.). Only diff is that this one with exception of GFS starts off with better track.

That’s what I’ve been thinking.

Yeah I agree that right now it’s just a couple models runs and likely a couple more model runs from something way different (and likely worse). Thing that raises my eyebrow is that we have a few big gums showing g something close to workable for us. Enough antecedent cold and maybe we sneak some mangled mess in.

Wouldn’t it be crazy if everyone checks out and we sneak one in?

That how i roll. I'm the guy they all like to see out because during decent events, my big snowblower is everyones best friend (not me of course...) In a good storm, I usually come home w/ a buzz due to them all knowing i "work" for beer(s). Yeah, I wish we could have gotten a bit more white, but as you know, the white look diminished as the sleety looks took over. That verified for sure. Still nice and white around here, so I'm ok w/ it, but sounds like some got a bit more jipped than hoped. Oh well onto the next one.

Just shoveled/scraped neighbors and its about to turn to concrete. Glad i went out when i did. With early to mid week temps, those that got it should hold it for a few days of wintery appeal. Going to be a glacier tonight.

Will be interesting to see what the next few days offer wrt next weekend. GFS showing a cutter much like yesterday has to be a red flag. Sure hoping Euro and CMC are onto something...even if its a rainer for many here.

My thoughts regarding the CAD were that it would hold better the further east one was in the state. Some models scoured rather swiftly and some held on (caught on) at the end. I'm not sure how this chalks up from a forecasting perspective, but to me the CAD did as well or better than modeled. GFS showed the warm nose that would punch late and it did a good job of it. The "win" in my book was staying frozen as long as we did. IF that warm nose didnt verify, I'd seriously be out snowmobiling (and can still play around a bit here). I had fun throwing my thought out there early on....and stood by them. Thats what I'm here for.

Well I hope we get into something next weekend, because it was nice to play around in winter weather yesterday. Snow/sleet combo also had me around 2''' prior to backend light rain/drizzle and warm nose did its thingy. Still have enough compacted snow/ice that i may rip around in the fields today. Reports of 4-6" in northern Pa (friends up to snowmobile). Will get reports later today as i think they may have gotten enough to rip around a bit (Base was wiped out so not sure). I think Nam and GFS did a decent job w/ this event. Looking forward to the next one.

It’s melting......... 36 here. Hope cold front gets in the move to save our precious snow.

Zr here.

Big pingers with occasional flakes. While true snowfall did not quite add up, I love sleet. Worked out as I thought it would hoping for a little whitening on the back side. CAD held strong here. enjoy.

All sleet 28. no zr yet. My hopes have verified for a non rain event here.

About 1.5-2. Just switched. Pingers.

Still Snowing.

25 at 730 now 20 1” from round 1

25 at 730 now 20

Steady snow. Started at 8am. Happy happy. Time to Enjoy. out with smokepole. We are havin a blast.

Gut says 6zs will paint the picture As CAD almost becomes nowcasting as even Messi struggle to pick up duration.

Total storm qpf

FF at 850

Best forcing S and SW of them