pasnownut

still has the storm.....all we need to worry about right now. I dont mean that in a snippy way, just saying we need the storm and as long as its there and coming from the south, thats the focus to me.

i too have flown in snow, but unless its a doozy, its of no worry and has had no effect whatsoever....guess i'm just lucky.

now we just need a happy hour shellackin before it all goes down the sh!tter Mindy you I'm not honkin any crazy snow horns....I'm just happy to see legit threat windows and storms within....thats all

well then you all should be rather rested this year..... just sayin......

a 964mb low sitting 100 miles off the south jerzzzy coast in peak snow climo....sign my ass up PLEASE

this is the one I'm getting jacked up about.

You know what?? Your tired of chasing 10 day Unicorns?? I'm not even looking much beyond until we get into next week, as I think that as long as we enter this new pattern thats been advertised coupled w/ our back weighted winters, that we may be seeing a decent window open. Sure hope so.

when we see MA and SE snow totals popping up like this....its time to get the coffee ready. Lotsa tracking to be done. Some of the 500 maps for next week are just beauts.

if the gfs is onto anything, we have plenty of opportunities to score in the next couple weeks. Really liking the 2/5 and beyond time frame. That pic above is drool worthy.

I'll tell ya this....if the 6z Goofus has any merit to what its showing, I'm gonna be happier than a clam. That was one of the snowiest runs i've seen in a long time. Train of opportunities....and a doozy right in the middle 2/7 weekend.

I'm gonna sleep on it...... G night

Yes, the "relaxation" has been showing up for several days now. I suggested the other day that it was looking likely on most ens guidance, but that relax, brings the cold WAY south (likely coldest the SE has seen this year IMO), and beyond seems to be the time that opens the window for a decent run at winter. For how long....I dont know, but tellies are in support of something less transient and more sustained.

Saw that. Nooners tell us GFS/CMC/GEM/ICON all see the storm. Thats enough concensus to annie up.

well if they are.....shame on them. There is not a person on this board that shouldn't know better by now....and if they don't know better....start paying attention.

Yes. I never look at a map at 5 days out thinking “that’s gonna happen”. I search for trends/continuity, what players are on the field and in what areas. That’s it.

For it to bomb we'd want the 500 much closer and "diving in". Verbatim too much space between, but column is cold enough up here as 540's are running through southern Va. Trough is neutral, so as Bubbs (is that better ) suggests, its progressive and cant really go nuts. IMO this isnt done coming north. Just look at some of our better looks so far this season, and how north theyve corrected. Atmospheric memory.

yeah, it'll get there but I'm worried about it ending up in Eerie.....

above 2 images show a nice consensus for not wanting to give up on this weekend.

that sucks... this doesnt though.....

Z Germans must like Mondays....nice trend. Hoping it doesnt end up in Eerie by go time......

Ops this far out are going to bounce around like a ping pong. Not unexpected IMO. step 1. keep the cold in the east step 2. keep the storms coming along step 3. wait patiently (hardest step)

I’ve been called WAY worse. Just havin fun.

I sure did. I’m not writing this weekend off yet either. I think Bubbles suggested yesterday about marginal temps and think he’s right but if we can get the PJ to dive in a bit more it would help.

BUT...........if this one doesnt work out....I'm cautiously optimistic that we will be quite busy in the next couple weeks as it looks rather active and with the NAO trending more favorably, the flow at 500 (with the exception of maybe a day or 2) really looks to support a notably colder regime. IF we can keep the storms coming, the odds of putting some snow on the boards would likely increase notably as we get into Feb. Here is GEFS at 234.....nice PAC ridge and trough in east. NAO is there and verbatim thats cold and hopefully snowy.

IMO Too far out to really dig deep. With the variability on the models we need some continuity. Best takeaway is that we have stuff to track and if all works out we will need plows n shovels. Personally I’m happy to be in the game. Looking forward to tracking what seems like a legit threat window.