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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Most majors have something decent for Friday. Looking at 6zs from afar, enough continuity to think we should have another similar event (snow wise). Signals been there for almost a week now, so we should get some snow on snow. I'm not divin in too deep wrt storms/pattern as I'm just going to enjoy the winter landscape that we all long for.
  2. steady light snow in Akron. Prob started to pick up about 6:45. Starting to get white. Bye bye grass for a week-ish. Good luck all. Enjoy
  3. continued flurries here in Etown. Just setting the mood for later Radar also starting to fill in to our SW, so like other events of the past, maybe we do get off to a bit earlier start than early evening.
  4. 19/20th has been consistently showing up for quite a few days, and pattern supports the possibility, so lets cash in while we can.
  5. sorry to hear. Good luck to the Steelers. Hoping for a PA sweep tonight, but the odds are about as good as having a blizzard in 10-14 days from now.
  6. LIke a few others, some WAA flurries were falling when out to get a sandwich at lunch. Looking forward to first flakes as we head home to watch some hopefully good games.
  7. yep. Rush hour or just beyond. Will get everyone enough time to get beer and popcorn for the Eagles game.... lol Go Eagles!!
  8. awesome enough, even if qpf ticks down a bit (as often the case as we close in on go time). Not suggesting it will, but wont be surprised if that does occur.
  9. and add the GFS to the better look category. SLP closer to coast and precip shield responds accordingly.
  10. RGEM and several mesos lookin nice for all east of Susky. Looks like LSV can now afford one last tick NW and will still be sitting nicely in the snow cone of best qpf. its gonna snow!
  11. Yeah, I'll take a nice snow event like this any day, plus my ground was finally frozen this morning, so hopefully we should have staying power for a week of snow covered landscape around here. Been far too long. Enjoy all!
  12. they discussed possibility of 1 or 2 snow events. Thats a big stretch as it is..... Friday will be icing on cake if we can eek out a couple/few inches in the LSV tomorrow night/tues
  13. German house model musta heard that I poured a white russian and did NOT approve. Cut back a tad, but like many spouses do, we'll take our 2"...and pretend we like it.
  14. I'd think 0z runs will be when they hoist, as we'd be inside of 24 hrs and as long as all models dont crap the bed....
  15. Yeah, that was a nice HH run for sure. It must have heard me pouring cocktail and approved of my pour...
  16. looks like Sunday funday started off with that tick N that see oh so often, and if that look holds, we have a fun little event coming...especially us snow starved SE'rs. Still liking that Fri/Sat deal as well. Snow on snow....heck yeah. Happy day all. Enjoy
  17. CMC gets the most votes for "nooner model to hug" status verbatim, snow on snow as the 19th event is coming back into the fray. TTFN
  18. at 102 1007mb vs 1003 at 6z. Precip shield responded and NW quad was not getting r done. Still ok, but not what we wanted to see. trough to pos tilted and she gets 2pts for escape.
  19. and a tinge better w/ norther precip field at 90. Yes, I'm still here. This is important shit. To heck w/ clients
  20. Its coming around and I'm fine w/ where its at. Notably SLP pops in central NC (which is about 200-250 miles NW of 6z. Gut says GFS nooner is gonna be good.
  21. As I just stated in last post, I'm riding the GFS (due to decent Op run consistency from D7 and in. Its done pretty well wrt showing storm potential and while its waivered some (as they do), its never really "lost" it.
  22. Had to think abt this and where it applies....
  23. Glad to see things coming back around. Truth is GFS has never "lost" the storm, and this year has been decent to follow. Like I suggested yesterday, we just want most (and hopefully Euro soon) to have the storm. One thing I'm hopeful for (and think is starting to get sorted out on morning runs) is the amount of different pieces of energy and which one becomes our storm. GFS and CMC are much cleaner presentation at 6z, and ICON is a hybrid B and shows a secondary pop at 108 (I think Bubbler was chatting about it). Personally not a fan of B's - redevelopers, even if LSV is in the jackpot (right now). Subtle timing changes and too often our storm goes poof for MBY. I'll take 6z GFS and CMC and sign right now...no matter the upside (and like I said yesterday - watch energy on backside for that sharpening of the trough. The more it dives in, the more neg tilt and that could really run up some better numbers for many.) Another part that gets me and likely a bunch of us giddy, is that whatever falls, aint goin nowhere for a while. Been a LONGG time coming to see that. Happy Friday gang. I'm busy today so I look forward to the various PBP's and expect Bubbles/Mitch/ and toothless Blizz to be on point as I'll be reading from afar.
  24. IMO its more of a warm air advection kinda deal out in front of the main show. Something to watch (for a bigger boom) is the backside ULL and how it interacts. 12z shows a little better dive in on the backside, and tugs the SLP closer to the coast. IF that happens a bit more, it'll help to keep SLP closer and should help thermally to add some more sicks of white dynamite to our precious storm. Look at the ULL in Illinois. IF we can get that to dive in, the trough could go a tad more neg, and up she comes. CMC sorta shows where my brain is at WRT to this. TTFN
  25. Just took a look at Kanook model before heading out and yeah....nice signal showing for next week. Happy Day all.
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