pasnownut

so many responses come to mind..... I'll stop now

if your unit is five around... Impressive. We all tip our hat to you.

looked like that much of the time. If you have a chance to get up there..do it. Not sure how long it will last, and don't make the mistake I did last year thinking it would. I missed much of it as a result. Glad to be able to cash in on first snowy period for the northers/westers. Hopefully more to come.

Sure is. Great store (but seems to cater to the well off, as its a tad pricey, but as it's not a chain, they don't have the buying power that Wallys and the like do. If you want to support a great local store, check em out. Your wife would likely enjoy as well.

Thanks for the kind words. Was a winter wonderland. We busted our butts chasin em round the big woods. Lotsa miles logged on my GPS. Blessed to be able to get around like I do with those that I do it with. I do pretty well for an old(ish) fart. 3 harvested. Me - 8pt and doe (w/ muzzleloader and bullets similar to those used back in mid/late 1800's - as i like to make things more difficult on myself and try to incorporate some old era "tradtional" stuff w/ modern era. Brother - doe Hoping yall had nice holiday.

Nothing at all in Akron/Ephrata. On way into office early this AM, north of Lititz in the hamlet of Elm, was "big" winner with slightly more than cartopper, as some slush was evident on back roads. Here in etown, barely a dusting.

Finally back from my trip up north. Hi temp observed in a 5.5 day trip was 27 and low was 17. Arrived w/ 4" otg and snowed every day. We left w/ 6" otg, with 2-4" addl being called for w/ current event. Fantastic trip w/ fam/friends. Was nice to see/feel winter. Good luck to all today.

My old bones agree, but my youthful mind is with the others....

you summed it up rather perfectly. Thanks for chiming in. Good to hear from ya.

Agreed. That sure would open the window for bigger things. Lets hope thats where this heads and not back to pig ridge/WAR in the east. Been there...did that a plenty. Time for a new regime (for as long as we can anyway as long rangers suggest Dec is our time to score.) I'm headed off grid for the next week. Dont miss me too much yall.

looking at longer leads...GEPS is the one to root on as it holds the basic trough E ridge W look thru its entirety. GEFS only out to 300 has it, but looks like ridging trying to pop back in east. For how long, only time will tell.

Unfortunately we dont see the trough axis heading west. Were that to happin words like WOOF and BIG DOG (Henry Margusutyism) would come to mind, but the current long term look is for "clippers on roids or clipperfest". I've got no problem w/ a parade of clippers.

240 storm extrapolated on CMC has "best of show" prize for nooners. Get that look to hold and that would likely deliver.

Trough axis too far E so very NS dominant verbatim, so clippers is the path to victory for us. at times of relaxation is when bigger threats might show.... Like 12/13. GFS once again showing the incoming bombogenesis maximux but verbatim is likely to cut like a knife as troughing is gone. Plenty of time for changes better....or worse.

Well stated friend. My brother, my son and several of his pals that call me POPS as they are all "my kids" will join us. Blessed and thankful is an understatement. My son just informed my wife and I that we are going to be grandparents for the first time. Last night my aged father called to tell me his time afield and at the cabin is done, and wants me to take his rifle... talk about resonate and life going full circle. I cant bring mysef to do it cause its the end of an era, and so many owe him their love of the mountains and being together. He was the glue that held it together for oh so long....now i carry the torch. Life's full of balance and oh so bittersweet. Be thankful all. I sure am.

that lighthouse is the one we were at this summer. I may even have a pic of our crew standing there (not sure if my camera was used, or another guys.

Was in Eerie on motorcycle trip w/ my son and many father son combos this summer. Presquile Isle is a beaut. I'd rent the cabin in Mercer county once again if I was in the chase. Bout 30 miles off the lake. I'll be at the my cabin and if service allows, will share what we get, as you know where i am, I'm in a favored spot for the NC snowbelt region. We NEVER get anything close those closer to the lakes, but I'm happy to see flakes flyin, and after looking at early nooners....we should have a few inches OTG by Friday AM arrival. Will have beer in hand while plowing w/ UTV. It's the little things in life that make me thankful. This is one of them for me. Love plowing snow. Happy Thanksgiving to all.

This is why I was poo poohin Mitchy poos post yesterday about not much to see. In the end he may well be spot on....but its not gonna be because the pattern sucks.... just our luck does.

you forgot to add moister. the GFS. It got moister too....check qpf panels for the doubters among us. Am I sayin its happenin....no, but I'm not seeing a shutout at all. Small ball can win games too.

aleet aleet.... 13th.... 13 will be the forums new lucky number and will dismantle 12/5 and associated stigmas of the past.

384 hr gfs rolled forward is an out and out blizzard on the 13th.

Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind. Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a - AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can. Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO.

I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always). Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings. Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime. Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.

I'm not at all bothered by nooner trends. GFS/CMC/ICON/GEM not too far off, and ticked in the right direction. Wouldnt be too surprised if we back into a little sumthin for turk day for true CTP'rs. Regardless I'm headed to cabin Friday morning and looks like it'll be just in time for first notable LES event of the season. Happy short week to all, and to those already on PTO....enjoy.

Tis the season..... Getting closer though.