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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Been on my mind as well. A bad handoff would wreck dreams of many snow weenies. Thats why B's make me nervous. GFS and CMC had some sloppy handoffs showing, so hoping todays runs clean up a bit.
  2. Living a happy life is learning to compromise. We'll all be happy w/ an EPS/GFS compromise. See....that was easy.
  3. Long duration is a win no matter how it stacks up (well as long as it stacks up enough to play in). 6z GFS says the same snow late morning sunday right into tuesday morning rush hour. AND......if thats not enough, it looks like more opps coming on the heels of next weeks event. Takeaway is it looks and feels like normal winter....and normal is good.
  4. That’s what we needed to hear. Less mixy means he’s cavin to the king.
  5. Nice post. That low cluster to the western side still would be great for many inland and ok here in LSV although more taint possible. Cluster just off the Chesapeake bay seams reasonable given spread shown.
  6. Wow. I didn’t look at color maps. Just 500s and surface. Good to see it coming in line. This might actually happen.
  7. Nice tick in the right direction and a couple moves away from a whopper. Primary dies a bit quicker death and once secondary pops it comes up and stalls then crawls up and out. Verbatim it also shows a prolonged event with approx around 48 hrs of snow.
  8. No explanation needed and well stated. Just playin.
  9. Thx Debbie... that was fun for 1 hour though....you gotta admit. I'm playin around cause the potential and setup look better, but reality doesnt always see it that way, so I'm just savoring the moment and hoping for more moments.
  10. so fitting i couldnt resist. This is you and you know it.
  11. BTW, verbatim the Euro shows the LSV snowing basically from 144- 178 (spitballing 6hr panels). Even if that only amounts to a shovelable snowfall.....I'm down w/ that.
  12. Thats what i was hoping we'd get for this "event". Got ice skates??
  13. 12z Euro transferred earlier which helped greatly IMO. EPS control is just NSFW (compared to what we've been seeing of late). Takeaways are we've got ducks on the friggin pond again....and a big honkin goose as well. Who's gonna cave? I think Mag nailed it when you look at 500's and ridging out west. it makes a big difference here in the east and todays runs are starting to see that. Chips slide to the foreign/Northern models. Onto happy hour.
  14. also to add to above, the GFSs late handoff would present thermal issues into same areas that saw them today, as lover levels would warm while waiting for secondary to pop. The "others" would not present that worry as SLP stay under and East saving our precious thermals.
  15. the transfer on the GFS looks much less appealing when one looks at the ICON/Euro and even CMC. In my mind, GFS oozes dryslot w/ spacing issues it shows. That's all I'm getting at. The "others" just look more clean and consolidated (even though CMC was a bit wonky and strung out). In my eyes its the GFS holding the primary longer that makes it look less appetizing. Plenty more runs to decipher, but hey....we're trackin.
  16. Hoping the King (I'll call him that today for obvious reasons) stays close to its look, and even a compromise between the big guns gets all of us into something....with the GFS being the worst of the bunch. Hoping it caves soon and Euro stays south for a bit longer.
  17. Im no Mag, but yes. GFS was ugly and strung out. Euro was nice transfer (earlier than prior runs), and then pops and stalls off VA coast. We need the GFS to weaken primary in upcoming runs and go to the ICON/Euro looks. Not sure where i'd place money right now, but I know where i wanna....
  18. Only wish is that it would continue a bit further up instead of out. Surely a beast so as it is, but as Mag suggested, with better ridging out west, it might help for this to turn up a bit more. With the stall between 144-156 it really would bring eastern Pa into the goods. Not a complaint whatsoever for what it just spit out. Just remember we are still 7 days out, so keep the lube handy, cause this could still get the shaft in the end.
  19. based on snow maps and how far south this shows, I think it fair to put that worry away....for 6 hours anyway
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