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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. Makes sense. it is a rather large valley and a big enough basin to capture the heat.. edit - saw trainers comments about downsloping and that likely factors in as well. I remember my college days staring at the mountain waiting for snow and how it held at elevation while the valley was slushbombs or white rain.
  2. I always wonder why Wspt is such a hot spot? It always seems to over preform in the heat dept when one would think they are far enough into the Appalachian chain to be safer than they are?
  3. Gotta say we’ve had just enough rain to bring things back around here. Still some burnout areas on my lawn but Better then 2 weeks ago. good luck to all today.
  4. Light rain here in Lanco right now. Surprised me for sure as I was anticipating afternoon opps but not complaining.
  5. I’d say we got a good 45 min Rainer here. Had to be .5-1”. Glad for all that also got into it. Hoping for more chances in next couple days. Thurs looks decent for it. edit. Klns reporting .13 at 9pm but I KNOW we did much better than that. Will look for more reports. Here is HRRR
  6. Thursday is showing up on most short range guidance for many in our group. North crew may be notsomuch, but they have a whack tomorrow. At least its not the bone dry that being suggested. I'll take that as a win. I hate humidity....buy yards need copious amounts of it.
  7. this would make some folks happy. I"m in.... ARW2 is more 80 south, but still similar. They are meso's so maybe something to keep an eye on.
  8. actually not too dissimilar to the 12k. maybe the word POOF is appropriate (for LSV anyway)?
  9. we had cloud deck till 9am, then it started to clear. Sunny n cookin now.
  10. thats what i've been "concentrating" on. Seems like enough instability during mid/late week, that we could gin up some precip opps. Of course the ridging could act like like a shredding machine as we close in, but I'd not discount pop up events. Thats all.
  11. Yeah in truth I've not followed, and just casually peek to see how ugly things look. Guess I could look at verification scores. Both ens members seemed similar in 500 evolution, so i pushed a few chips in.... I have noticed the GFS op seemingly being to cold vs verifcation but again just glancing, not studying. GFS has been consistent w/ Wed and beyond chances for precip from late last week, so i guess that got my interest.
  12. Well i'm hangin my hopes on the GFS ens guidance for .5-1" of precip this week. I'm using my new winter skills of not going beyond 7 days....but if one peeks, yeah there is a pig ridge in the central basin later this week, but heights seem to lower as we get into early next week. Not saying big relief, but maybe a respite if the GFS camp has any merit. maybe its just me weeniecasting/cherrypickin what i want from the models as well....dunno?
  13. If only we could pull off a deal like yesterday and keep the cloud deck around. It was actually enjoyable outside. Sat on back porch w/ my wife and watched "our" hummingbirds hammer the sugar water. and....IMO the HRRRRRRR did a nice job on yesterday rain. Totally died when it hit the river.
  14. Radar says you should be into the rain now. Hope it holds together further east but hrrrrrrr said it goes poof as it hits the river.
  15. dude....love the recently altered location... thats funny stuff (well not really, but it gave me a chuckle.)
  16. well the hot tag is appropriate for all threads right now. keep up the good work and maybe we can get it upgraded to sizzlin
  17. i wish.... stone cold sober bud. that status will be tweaked around 7pm.
  18. nah....i'm prob a 1/4 to 1/2 bubble off center...... (nice play on words eh?)
  19. clinks mugs together...... BTW, a local charter in my area is REALLY hurting. Talked to a client (that also drives for them on the side) and he said 65 people have no work and they are not booking until early next year..... Hoping you are weathering the storm a little better. Gulp.
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