My goalposts due to being rather progressive, and a 6-8 hr event was 3-5" in MBY as decent qpf is being modeled down here.
From Altoona to Poconos would be western periphery IMO. Pos tilt wont let this one come much further N/NW imo. Just running outta time, but hey I'd be glad to see further adjustments in favor or CTP.