pasnownut

and with some luck, we will get leftovers late sat/sunday.

We saw clouds off in the distance. That was it. Nothing close to Lanc.

Radar looks like its blossoming nicely to the NW. Looks like we all have a chance to get into the goods. I saw a report right near my house of 2.12" yesterday. i didnt think we got that much, but we definately had to rounds of heavy rain. #luckylanco

@Voyager Ive had it done 3 times. 2 left - 1 right. labral tears and tendon tethering...5/8" ground off R clavicle for more "space" ...the normal shoulder stuff. Busted my ass in PT and well after ( its been 15 years since last one - still do pushups 2-4 times a week (incline). Take the disco cookies (percaset for me) to sleep and after PT....Trust me, but limit them as soon as possible to advil. Its a LONG haul back, but you can do it. 6wks in immobilizer sling each time. Is what it is.... Canderson is correct....do the PT. It WILL HURT LIKE HELL. Work through it. If you dont...less strength and range of motion comes back. BTW, left shoulder is getting weak again, but I still do most everything I enjoy in life...including my pushups. Good luck Steve.

someone sounds a bit snakebit..... We'd all love for you to drum up a good map for us (although good as useful, and looking good are two very different things). If we can get enso into mild la nina, how do you feel about it in our hoods?

lol regardless....I think we all approve of that map.

I was thinking EAST #battlegroundstate

WOW....thats scorched earth/grass....

also gets us into September at end of run..... Just looking for +++'s in the friggin mess of a year.

actually I think that their is some validity to what you are implying. Yes...it sucks.

To that very point, we also thought last year had a chance at decent and well all know how that worked out. Frustrating or not, that IS part of why many of us are here...the thrill of the chase...for snow. While I may not posses all of the knowledge that some do, I've been at this plenty long enough to know that we are nothing is a lock, and stranger things can happen. I'll can see when a window opens or when something might pop and just know that odds still typically are against us in the MA/NMA regions. For now, I'll take a mild Nina for now and see how the cards are dealt in the coming months. Regardless of the outcome, I still love looking ahead and giving my best guess as well as seeing what everyone is thinking. I'm a realist, so if you set reasonable expectations, it's all good.

GFS and NAM often tend to “bounce” around but can sometimes lock in early ie blizzard of 16 for NAM. I too think the NAM gets a bad wrap as we’ve all seen struggles wrt various models and their shortcomings. that said I often see a look from GFS at 5-7 days out that often ends up close to outcome, and often look hard at that lead time during winter. Just my years of watching and learning what works and what doesn’t. Euro is most consistent, but can be late to the game or out to lunch. This is the fun and challenging that I love about this sport. Happy Sunday everyone.

Thats not funny....... ok...... it sorta is.

wow. thats a shame. Good dude.

Yeah i've been watching the total qpf's and seeing the same. Morning GFS op is bone dry for CTP.

and thats what I was hangin my hat on. Enough models were showing showery, so i bought in. Looking at ensembles from early week, there also was a general consensus of active times in said period. In a word......P O O F

just catching up here and yeah sounds like the king nailed this one.

if you looked at 6z GooFuS, it's getting on board w/ da King's caravan to dryville. The "moist" period advertised for yesterday through Saturday (including flood watch has me overflowing w/ stinky smelling popcorn.

yeah when its snowing in atlanta and the storm is just starting in your area.....buckle up buttercup. That was from a dynamics perspective, the most impressive....but as we all know about snow hounds....its all about the MBY totals... and when i get long duration events, I smile no matter what the tally is. Just love flakes flying. Oh....and thanks for the mid afternoon derail. I've enjoyed it and am 1 step closer to wishing this dreaded hot ass mess of a summer/year away.

as I dont follow the summer stuff as my wornder is if they do a rolling 3month mean (ie Jul/Aug/Sept) and see more chances for precip moving forward?? dunno

If memory serves, western york up to lebanon and points NW never tained in 93', (or much less i should say), as is often the case down here in the LSV warm spot.

Oh dont get me wrong...its my #2, as its rather rare to see a triple phaser. Until 16 came, it was at the center of my mantle. 93' now sits just a tad to the right of Center.

isnt she a beaut?? 93' was a doozy, but when S+ turns to pingers....heavy pingers, it ALWAYS makes me feel uneasy down here. We had 4-5 hrs of them in 93' and while I like what they do for snowpack/glacial retention... I still hate to hear them in a big one. I was nervous in 16' but knew that an mix would be minor, and to that end we flipped back quicker than originally expected. It was just a beauty of a storm for me. I'm happy to listen and see what other storms mean most to the gang. Please share stories and pics/loops.

Agreed. I'm just happy to see cashtown and mag into the goods, but to your point, the pine creek last weekend was really low. We got a super soaker while visiting Straub brewery in St Mary's only to find tours closed (recording said otherwise), but that didnt do much to help long term.

here is radar loop