pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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That what just a fantastic read. All weenies need to read this 2x and save it.
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Qpf doesn’t match surface map imo but It’s better for Central pa so in true weenie fashion we take...not toss.
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Verbatim SC Pa to C NJ is raked by deformation bands and would have best chance at the B word.
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Wow. That’s pretty. This is the one canderson needs to keep.
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Gfs ticks SE and gives eastern pa a beat down.
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0z gfs MSLP a tick SE for #1. Surface still really close but I’ll take that and hope boundaries follow in next few runs. That thermal boundary request is me wishcasting tho so buyer beware.
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And even if we see values drop it doesn’t mean we flip on a dime and go full on winter. Imo best we can hope for it low magnitude 4/5/6 or COD so that any AO/NAO opps down the line can do their thingy and let us play.
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That’s last nights run pal. Para comes out after GFS
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Go parse over 3k and you’ll see 540 line NW of18z and best accums lift NW a bit. If that trend continues the gfs could be correct wrt r/s. Still really close down here. Will know soon. Nice to b tracking again.
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Call me snakebit. Yeah it does historically do better w skill scores but GFS has been eeking NW and has me a bit “on edge”. Seeing NAM CMC and euro SE of GFS is nice for sure. Hoping next few runs to see the GFS come SE a bit.
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I scrolled thru the panels and thought the same. Need to make sure #1 doesn’t blow up much more as it could hurt # 2s potential.
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I really think you sit in the catbird seat. I’m concerned about LSV and taint or changeover for number 2 down here. I need boundary a tick SE for me wrt #2. also as long as spacing between 1 and 2 stays the same it shouldn’t change much w/ # 2 s potential. Any less spacing and dynamics get robbed a bit.
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0z NAM ticks SE. for #1. Not sure I expected that but welcome it for the main event later on.
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Man I’d lock that in for sure.
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NAM ticked SE for Monday. Like I said several days ago. Give us a few inches Monday and then I expect to watch the snowfall pile up to our NW like normal on Thursday. Well take some snow and then taint. I fully expect this.
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Just checking in from being outside all day. Happy hour NAM won’t disappoint the LSV either.
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I live on that fault line and have grown accustomed to it.
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That’s been in the back of my mind as well. Don’t be surprised if we “lose it” for a bit. It’s happened many times. Sure is lookin good tho. 6z gfs was pretty stellar.
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Yeah even when looking at GFS beyond range it looked to remain active and cold enough to suggest a wintry feel through the end of 2020.
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Yeah thats a marked improvement for C PA for sure. Hoping the goal posts move inward, and not outward from here in. Nice nooners....so far. Also nice to see thermal boundary safely below us.
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On them models it was.... 12z GFS pretty much holds serve for Central/Eastern Pa.
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NAM starting nooners off w/ LSV getting fringed for system #1. MSLP slightly NW of 6z but not enough to screw up the big Kahuna for midweek.
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If the R/S line were about 25 miles SE of 0z Euro, i'd agree. You and I both know how we do w/ big storms in the LSV. Fortunately, CMC and GFS being on the southern side gives a little wiggle room for further corrections as goalposts start to narrow.
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I'd take a blended look of 0z EPS and 6z GFS and call it a great day. That would get ALL of the subforum in play. If LSV can eek out an appetizer and sloppy whatevs for part 2, I'd be down w/ that to see you guys in true CTP (and even our KPIT lurker brethren) in the game. I'm not greedy.
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gets coin jar to head to turn into chips.
