Jump to content

pasnownut

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,770

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    Peeps need to remember that cold of late is often over modeled, and with that in mind there is usually a typical correction north wrt storm trajectories. It’s been a seasonal tendency for a while now. I dont “fret” over any cold that shows on the models. I just want it to show which means it’s going to be around.
  2. pasnownut
    ........Except for tomorrow’s event that just “ticked” north on most mesos.
  3. pasnownut
    Ya can’t shovel potential but that’s a shit ton of it verbatim. Now if we can even get 50% of it it would be a great period.
  4. pasnownut
    Enjoy for a few hours.
  5. pasnownut
    They’d be crowd pleasers for sure.
  6. pasnownut
    and fwiw, I dont really know how threats 2 and 3 work out, but fun to look at (for 1 model run anyway). Takeaway is that opps a plenty en route...
  7. pasnownut
    and if thats not enough....look at the incoming bomb for Sunday. That one looks to bury us (as modeled.) Wowzers.
  8. pasnownut
    yeah 12z's arent helping the LSV for tomrrow. We'll cheer on our CTP brethren and wait for thursday. More wiggle room IMO for that one to adjust north and put us in the goods.
  9. pasnownut
    Meso's say we can smell it tomorrow, gonna b close. Still enough time for subtle shifts in a good or bad direction. I mean the difference in 20 miles is the difference between 0-4" verbatim. lol
  10. pasnownut
    Thinking the LSV may be on sideline for tomorrows deal. Hoping we get the goods on Thursday though. Looking good for lower 1/2 of Pa for that one.
  11. pasnownut
    Nooners continue the NW adjustments (albeit minor) and squarely have LSV in play. As suggested, still enough time to get next layer NW into accumulating snows for Super Sunday. Not sure if there is enough time for much more adjustments but I'd guess advisory event becoming more likely down here.
  12. pasnownut
    Not for many in our forum, as this one brings a bunch into something. You should get your chances in the next couple weeks as the boundary seems to move around a bit.
  13. pasnownut
    My goalposts due to being rather progressive, and a 6-8 hr event was 3-5" in MBY as decent qpf is being modeled down here. From Altoona to Poconos would be western periphery IMO. Pos tilt wont let this one come much further N/NW imo. Just running outta time, but hey I'd be glad to see further adjustments in favor or CTP.
  14. pasnownut
    thats how we in the LSV turn the - into the + as sleet is a pack densifier for retention purposes.....hehe
  15. pasnownut
    short term model runs/radar matched up pretty well IMO.
  16. pasnownut
    I think that disclaimer may be a safe assumption for a long time coming. Wonder how long its been since we've had a stall like that? I cant remember any in my lifetime.
  17. pasnownut
    awesome. we only got about 1/2" in Akron, but it was pretty to wake up to seeing loamy parachutes fallin. Sunday looking a little better for eastern locals as boundary is once again correcting north as we near short term (was my hunch a couple days ago) If that doesnt hit, something should in the next couple of weeks. Plenty of opps to follow. Love it.
  18. pasnownut
    Nice mood snow here in Lanco. Love it. SE Pa gets a SB refresher and we all wait for multiple chances. Im giddy.
  19. pasnownut
    Wow. That was a rather Bombtastic run for sure. deep winter and snowpack.
  20. pasnownut
    Told ya a couple days ago to keep any eye on this. May want to keep both eyes on it now.
  21. pasnownut
    Germans are back to the thought of some SS snow.
  22. pasnownut
    Lol. I kno. I was joking cause that’s what I think I had for contest.
  23. pasnownut
    At least Fridays 50's are gone, so we can save precious snowpack. for Super Sunday ICON is on an island....and its named Fantasy....Was hoping the Euro kept something but it definitely trended away from anything. Mid next week is still looking like we have something to ponder.
  24. pasnownut
    i heard 14.4 w/ 1.28"qpf or whatever I had in the contest....
  25. pasnownut
    I read that earlier. If one goes to Sunday and looks at 500/mslp panels, souther gets the nod, but 12NAM has LP in midwest and Icon has what i shared. GFS/CMC say no thanks but arent out of correctable range at 4 days. I've also read that the arctic hounds dont look as stout as earlier depictions, so that could argue for a more northerly correction once again. Just throwing out stuff to chew on for lunch.
×
×
  • Create New...