pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Agreed. For my back yard I like what the nooners show but don’t expect them to verify.
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12k and 3k starts the nooners off nicely and looks more robust in qpf distribution. 3k really amped up. Verbatim entire subforum gets an appetizer tomorrow. Adams to Allentown stripe of best snow. Today’s a big day. Hope this is the start of a good one.
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6z gfs less robust with qpf distribution but it did bring better amounts into NC mtns. It’s one run and is slightly colder so I’m taking that as a +. I think ctp is staring down the barrel of a snow cannon. Just need to figure out where it’s going to be aimed.
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That what just a fantastic read. All weenies need to read this 2x and save it.
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Qpf doesn’t match surface map imo but It’s better for Central pa so in true weenie fashion we take...not toss.
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Verbatim SC Pa to C NJ is raked by deformation bands and would have best chance at the B word.
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Wow. That’s pretty. This is the one canderson needs to keep.
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Gfs ticks SE and gives eastern pa a beat down.
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0z gfs MSLP a tick SE for #1. Surface still really close but I’ll take that and hope boundaries follow in next few runs. That thermal boundary request is me wishcasting tho so buyer beware.
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And even if we see values drop it doesn’t mean we flip on a dime and go full on winter. Imo best we can hope for it low magnitude 4/5/6 or COD so that any AO/NAO opps down the line can do their thingy and let us play.
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That’s last nights run pal. Para comes out after GFS
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Go parse over 3k and you’ll see 540 line NW of18z and best accums lift NW a bit. If that trend continues the gfs could be correct wrt r/s. Still really close down here. Will know soon. Nice to b tracking again.
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Call me snakebit. Yeah it does historically do better w skill scores but GFS has been eeking NW and has me a bit “on edge”. Seeing NAM CMC and euro SE of GFS is nice for sure. Hoping next few runs to see the GFS come SE a bit.
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I scrolled thru the panels and thought the same. Need to make sure #1 doesn’t blow up much more as it could hurt # 2s potential.
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I really think you sit in the catbird seat. I’m concerned about LSV and taint or changeover for number 2 down here. I need boundary a tick SE for me wrt #2. also as long as spacing between 1 and 2 stays the same it shouldn’t change much w/ # 2 s potential. Any less spacing and dynamics get robbed a bit.
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0z NAM ticks SE. for #1. Not sure I expected that but welcome it for the main event later on.
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Man I’d lock that in for sure.
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NAM ticked SE for Monday. Like I said several days ago. Give us a few inches Monday and then I expect to watch the snowfall pile up to our NW like normal on Thursday. Well take some snow and then taint. I fully expect this.
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Just checking in from being outside all day. Happy hour NAM won’t disappoint the LSV either.
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I live on that fault line and have grown accustomed to it.
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That’s been in the back of my mind as well. Don’t be surprised if we “lose it” for a bit. It’s happened many times. Sure is lookin good tho. 6z gfs was pretty stellar.
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Yeah even when looking at GFS beyond range it looked to remain active and cold enough to suggest a wintry feel through the end of 2020.
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Yeah thats a marked improvement for C PA for sure. Hoping the goal posts move inward, and not outward from here in. Nice nooners....so far. Also nice to see thermal boundary safely below us.
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On them models it was.... 12z GFS pretty much holds serve for Central/Eastern Pa.
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NAM starting nooners off w/ LSV getting fringed for system #1. MSLP slightly NW of 6z but not enough to screw up the big Kahuna for midweek.
