pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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GFS also holing the line and wants to be crowd pleaser.
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RGEM holds serve. Backed off on ridiculous amounts a bit, but looks good.
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TT stuck at 6hrs.... i think we broke it
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tries to laugh......
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Not me.......
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Really hope you guys cash in. Your WAYYY overdue. Nice to see you in the game.
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and fwiw, most meso's still like this afternoon even here in N Lanco, and we may eek out 2" with the heavier bands still to come. SNOW on snow.
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NAM verifies my suspicion and give me a little room to wiggle...shifts entire qpf field slightly SE. I'll take it. Verbaitm I can smell the ZR/IP but you know the saying....
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just a hunch, but 12 NAM looks better early on for mid week mauler. Hoping the next couple panels verify my hunch.
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Fipped over to SNOW here in ETown. I'm giddy w/ excitement.
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Its been a rough year for me healthwise, so I've decided to cut out undue stress.....I'm staying out of there (unless i really really have to). Right now I'm happy right where i am. Gonna be a fun week, and fwiw, looking beyond on the GFS op, you could see a resurgence of the trough in the east next weekend w/ a shortwave in the pipeline. We may have snow on the ground for a while.
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I told you 2 days ago that you were sitting in the catbird seat, and with the progged path, and deathband that likely comes with it.....I'm standing my ground. You may not "win" but you'll definately be on the podium. #winning
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He's a great met and I miss his posting. You follow him on twit? Boy if he's right, I've no complaints about what we get in Lanco. Seeing the NWS 12'' probs and Carlisle at 71% is pretty stout and something rare to a weather weenies eyeball around here. Just think about that. Hell, I'm at 54% and giddy about it.
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I thought the same when i read his obs. slush bombs starting to mix in 30 minutes ago on way into ETown. 37 in Akron to 38 in Lanc, to 36 in Etown said car thermo.
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Yeah thats for sure. It like Christmas is coming early to CTP.
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last blizzard of 16 we were from a week out. Like this one...its a very unsettling and unusual feeling as were all too used to the jog NW inside 24, but reading ctp's disco....as well as NWS, its really a boost for ones confidence. On thing that has been stable is the thermal profiles, and for that reason, i'd wager the uptick in confidence.
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I'm like trainerboy, and dont have a problem w/ mixing as it does help for pack retention, but sleet/zr/r after an inch or 2 when 25-50 miles NW is in double digit totals is something were all too familiar w/ down here. It really is a kick in the gonads, BUT, if we can get to warning levels then mix....I wont complain as much. Ya'll dont know how many times i've looked to the NW knowing that was snow falling, while getting pissed on by mo nature at my house.
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6z gfs a bit better for true central as well. Still keeps me scarily close but I’d sign right now. Early morning trend is your friend for them. I’m getting nervous (like I always do after seeing too many big snowfall maps being posted 3 days out.)
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Not panicking yet but 6z NAM made the first notable tick NW and really throws the goods into true central (as I’ve been expecting) but quietly hoping wouldn’t happen (for mby).
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Sweet Jesus!! That 36” is 5 miles SOUTH of my house. I have wiggle room.
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As soon as they show up with consistency, you know NEPA is well placed.
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CMC also has LP tucked a bit more and you can see the qpf response well west into central Pa.
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Agreed. For my back yard I like what the nooners show but don’t expect them to verify.
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12k and 3k starts the nooners off nicely and looks more robust in qpf distribution. 3k really amped up. Verbatim entire subforum gets an appetizer tomorrow. Adams to Allentown stripe of best snow. Today’s a big day. Hope this is the start of a good one.
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6z gfs less robust with qpf distribution but it did bring better amounts into NC mtns. It’s one run and is slightly colder so I’m taking that as a +. I think ctp is staring down the barrel of a snow cannon. Just need to figure out where it’s going to be aimed.
