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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    spits coffee while reading
  2. pasnownut
    You know they'll be last to the dance. Almost always are.
  3. pasnownut
    Just looked at 12 NAM as its basically hitting the west coast. It initialized at 1000mb in basically exact location and HP in alberta came in at 1045 where most had it at 1043. That said, its a good start IMO.
  4. pasnownut
    look at qpf distributions over last 24 hours. One can already see where the models think the ccb's/defo bands will set up, and thats often west and north once the precip hits the bumps in the geography (mtns). Its basically lake effect in reverse fashion. In truth, given whats being shown, I'm down w/ whatever. Just nice to be looking at a storm of such magnitude. Only ask is that it survives the late week 2 day warmup before we go back to winter next weekend....but I'm getting way ahead of myself.
  5. pasnownut
    we mixed in 93 and 16 didnt in the 2010 twins or 96 (if memory serves) Yeah, we likely have to sacrifice for all you true centrals to cash in....were nice like that. But just once in a while, a pure snow bomb and not worrying about changeovers is nice to have down here. edit - lol. looks like trainer and i still have good memories in our old age.
  6. pasnownut
    Just confirmed the 6z euro eps members are se of the op. We good.
  7. pasnownut
    x2. Its so fun when we have stuff like this to track. I think the retrograde/stall will only be realized starting tonight. IF that look holds, it might get a little crazy in here, even in Lanco. Any further inland tho, and I start running outta wiggle room.
  8. pasnownut
    Thats comforting for us LSV folk, but as you suggest, its a great storm just as the op presents it. Its a little to early to be nitpickin anyway (as i currently am guilty of doing - lol) If all holds today and tonight, its going to be fun to see this play out. and as i suggested yesterday, the pattern looks like more chances in the coming weeks. Just loving having winter around.
  9. pasnownut
    Goalposts narrowing with all of us in them. just need euro to stop the northern ticks. As cold is on the way out that’s a concern, but I’m just being picky right now and I don’t want us to fail.
  10. pasnownut
    And to add to that the retrograde as depicted would give ample time for ccb’s/deform to really do its thingy. models should start to show that soon.
  11. pasnownut
    In truth that was a notable jump north. not concerned.... yet.
  12. pasnownut
    Did that yesterday!! well done overnight crew!!
  13. pasnownut
    0z had 999mb and 12 had 992 just a tick south @ OBX. My gut says thats part of what we saw today.
  14. pasnownut
    Thats why i posted. Its called wiggle room and as you know, some of us dont often get that (and still may not as its 4 days out).
  15. pasnownut
    If this storm happens as modeled....we may never let him leave again. Hi bubbles.....! We missed you
  16. pasnownut
    said it yesterday, thats a win for me. Im not expecting what the Euro just showed, but many solutions show long duration, so thats a win no matter what the snowstick measures.
  17. pasnownut
    I'll let the descriptors up to the individual but as we still have some less ideal transfers showing up, Its nice to have the big kahuna where it is right now IMO
  18. pasnownut
    Its a doozy. Someone post perty snow pics. BTW, it is really really close to CMC (if one toggles bak n forth). Going to be interesting to see who caves. Going to buy more chips....the Euro's hand is hot.
  19. pasnownut
    Did that hurt to say?
  20. pasnownut
    INCOMING at 120. Better cad showing up. May be a forum wide winner. 0z 999mb 12z 992mb about a smidge south of 0z near OBX
  21. pasnownut
    The models wore him down..... He caved
  22. pasnownut
    Hoping to add the King to the list in 20 min.
  23. pasnownut
    Navgem kills primary and overruning and just pops a perfect coastal. Souther and Easter folks approve
  24. pasnownut
    agreed. Likely more qpf back NW due to speed and fetch. If it holds close to this, i'd expect better precip panels to show up.
  25. pasnownut
    Snow maps are not too shabby. Entire forum approves of 4-8 w/ 10" lollies. Rather reasonable outcome IMO.
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