pasnownut

I read that earlier. If one goes to Sunday and looks at 500/mslp panels, souther gets the nod, but 12NAM has LP in midwest and Icon has what i shared. GFS/CMC say no thanks but arent out of correctable range at 4 days. I've also read that the arctic hounds dont look as stout as earlier depictions, so that could argue for a more northerly correction once again. Just throwing out stuff to chew on for lunch.

Dunno what to think. Euro had Sunday event till last night, then suppressed the hell outta it after several straight runs. Go look at nooner CMC and tell me that isnt a parade of storms? Spacing too tight for bombs, but verbatim an active look. Guessing everyone is tired or afraid to discuss because of the model mayhem. lol Rest up gang.

This is for Cashtown, Carlsle, and Bubbles. And as always is just for fun. Just keep an eye on it.

Yeah it sure is. Fun times ahead. One benefit is that cold looks to hold and after Sunday we get a respite from the cutters for the next few storms. Yeah they may be suppressed, but as Canderson or someone suggested the other day....a cleaner storm pattern w/ less issues to worry about. I'm ready for "clean" A's to come n get us.

Yeah I know, but this one is a day closer and a nice event that has some support, so eyebrows should be raised at the minimum. Its not on its own, and for those that say toss it, we had some that were tossing snowmaggeddon that some are still digging out from, as they thought it would be too far east. Were here to discuss, and looks like we got some discussin to do win lose or draw...thats all I'm sayin. Love it.

ICON verbatim (I know I know), is MY idea of an acceptable Miller B track. Primary to central WVA then nice transfer under is. Yeah, typical LSV dryslot for a wee bit, but I'd sign for that loop every day and 2x on Sundays....especially Super ones!!

ICON doesnt miss whatsoever. Sweet Jesus.

Boy you guys are just killin it w/ this event. Wondering if the 3 day stall is helping pull the boundary south for Fridays refresher. That's something thats been on my mind for the last 24 hours.

Just parsing over overnighters and several models show the northern stream vort Mag called out yesterday and it’s dropping in for Super Bowl Sunday. CMC has it but Gfs misses the phase (but still is close enough to keep an eye on. Next Thursday looks good on several models and verbatim could be a good one. Overall pattern looks quite wintery and I feel good about next couple weeks. I’m going to enjoy this period for a bit before I start digging into long range beyond mid Feb. looks fun.

Lol. I don’t but there were many for sale 2 months ago. This has been really good for sledding up in northern Pa as its been rideable since mid December storm. We have peeps coming from many states as they didn’t have snow like we did.

This event was a forum wide crowd pleaser for most and 56 hours after it started, is still padding stats in central Pa. Gonna be hard to top this winter IMO. But let’s try...

Yessir it did.

NAM says....lets party for Friday. Sorta didnt expect that, but hey, inside of 24 hours....anything goes round here. lol

yep. Gfs still separated but ticked in right direction. Plenty of time for it to come around although suppressed is def a possibility as cold is fresh and deep.

X3

NAMs did well w/ the taint part, but while the flags went up I sorta dismissed them (cause the weenie in me didnt wanna believe??) There was enough other support to my reasoining so I stuck w/ it. All good. Glad to see you got into decent numbers as you were late to transition "down there" lol.

Been rather NON gusty here as well. Poor Canderson. It always blows where he lives . Maybe HBG is the new Windy City.

I remember it well. Went out to shovel at halftime. Would be awesome to get the weekend event.

dunno but its cool ask google

Yeah looks like more chances and as others suggest, were only headed into prime time with things looking decent pattern wise. It was a Miller B, and yep, one should never underestimate the "jip" potential wrt dryslot/taint. I made my error into thinking the quicker transfer/erosion of primary would occur, when it appeared that primary hung on a bit longer which is why south of MD line got gut punched IMO. That would have been a couple hours less or further south w/ the warm nose intrusion into our area. That wasn't being seen on all models and we clearly had 2 camps inside of 24, and I went with the thought that the coastal would suck the steam outta the primary and the column would collapse a bit sooner. My gut was wrong, and I'm no met, so I'll eat that one. No biggie. This was a ton of fun for me/us. The board was great (although I though Pawatch was meltin a bit pre storm (lol all good buddy - it was a nervous time for a bit ) I enjoy the thrill of the chase and the fun/education convos we have when gettin storms. Much of it still happened how my head thought it would, that that was a personal win for me. Onto the next one............

Temps marginal, but here is surface. I guess the standard w/ cutters. brief sleet or zr before drippage ensues, but the hounds of winter come roarin in after. Sunday event stepped closer together wrt NS and STJ. Still not dancing tho (speaking specifically about GFS).

Just densifying the pack for the next events to pile onto...

New bar has been set for this winter. Yes, they are riding horses

14 was my top end......just sayin. I figured taint would knock us down, but in truth didnt think we'd get as much dryslot and sleet as we did, so that part was off in my guestimations. Still take the win tho. lol Really nice event....and in truth the big totals weren't necessary for me. Long duration w/ 14.4" is just a stellar result IMO.

Totally agree. See above.