pasnownut

While that's a way to get the goods, I'd say it needs to ride the boundary. If it hangs back too far.....suppressed can also be the outcome as the frontal boundary is stout and can overwhelm the pattern pressing the boundary too far below us. Failing is much easier than winning isnt it? Always seems like 12 ways to fail, and 2 ways to win.

staying power....we hope. Decent shot at a white christmas down here. If you look at 6z, verbatim we'd be eatin rd 2 or 3, or finishing off the last few dozen cookies Christmas night while watching the snow fall. I'm down w/ that.

i took the day "off" and snowblowed 6 properties....yeah I feel my age. i couldnt imagine doing it all w/ a shovel. Muscle relaxer knocked my arse out and i slept like a kitten.

@showmethesnow great writeup. Just parsing over overnights, and while not perfect, there surely is s steady stream of opportunities thru year end (and beyond) Will gladly take my chances w/ what the pattern is showing. 6z gins up a coastal that pops on the frontal boundary. Not buying the evolution....but would take the result.

Just spent the day snowblowing. Great event. Glad this looks to stay around for a while and hope we can be tracking in the next few days. That Arctic front for Christmas looks to mean business. Hope we can use that for our next chance at padding totals.

Thx psu. Hoping this pans out.

You putting much weight into 0z NAMs?. They look decent for part 2. I’m always Leary of wraparound down here but it’s been modeled for multiple cycles even down here. I’m spitballing 2” addl before it pulls NE of us.

NAMs all the way....

Checked the MA forum and many are flipping back to sleet and snow. Just a little longer....

You are seeing addl accums not total.

Since the NAMs had a decent go at this event...let’s let them wrap this up.

Yeah I didn’t see and ledge jumpers gettin ready here. We’re a bit better than that.

Radar building nicely to our sw. that was worry #2. It looks like she is also flipping back as well. nan it is sleeting unbelievably hard right now.

Snow mixing in again here as well. Not much but it is mixing in again. Seeing Md wins have shifted well south gives me hope that backend is legit.

Thanks bud. Wasn’t sure. I’d take .8” sleet with a couple inches on top. You think you’ll get to 18”? From mesos I think you’ll be right close.

Wonder how well it does with factoring sleet in?

You and I both. Sleetin sideways over here.

That’s my bar. 10” of some of this and that and I’m fine.

Man I hope that backside # is legit.

You waited this long ??

Crankin in Lanco but pingers have mixed in for first time.

Pukin snow in Akron. Best rates of the day. hoping we can hang on for the heavy stuff still coming from northern Md. still snow down there too.

weather.gov National Weather Service Watches, Warnings & Adviso Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 441 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 PAZ028-036-052-056>059-063>066-162230- Perry PA-Lancaster PA-York PA-Northumberland PA-Adams PA-Franklin PA- Cumberland PA-Lebanon PA-Juniata PA-Dauphin PA-Schuylkill PA- 441 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF PERRY...LANCASTER... YORK...NORTHUMBERLAND...ADAMS...FRANKLIN...CUMBERLAND...LEBANON... JUNIATA...DAUPHIN...AND SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES... HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow with sleet mixing in at times will rapidly reduce visibility to near zero as it moves northward through the Lower Susquehanna Valley. This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 437 PM EST, a band of heavy snow was along a line extending from near Cashtown to near Cross Roads to near Havre De Grace and moving northeast at 70 MPH. This includes the following Interstates... The Pennsylvania Turnpike from mile markers 214 to 295. Interstate 78 from mile markers 0 to 8. Interstate 81 from mile markers 30 to 106. Interstate 83 from mile markers 0 to 50. Interstate 283 from mile markers 0 to 2. SAFETY INFO... The snow will accumulate so rapidly that it will be extremely difficult for the road crews to keep the roads clear. Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. Consider not traveling. && LAT...LON 3972 7762 4068 7718 4066 7701 4064 7700 4064 7693 4066 7692 4058 7607 4052 7626 4049 7644 4014 7587 4010 7594 4004 7594 3996 7599 3987 7599 3985 7602 3981 7603 3973 7610 3974 7611 3972 7614 TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 215DEG 59KT 3992 7744 3982 7652 3959 7609 $$ Dangelo Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1251 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 PAZ024>028-033>036-056-057-059-063>066-170600- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-201217T1200Z/ Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 1251 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 22 inches with the highest totals between Harrisburg, Huntingdon, and Lewistown. * WHERE...Southern Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 10 AM today to 7 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions will impact this evening`s commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Bands of heavy snow with accumulation rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour are likely late this afternoon and tonight. The heavy snow could mix with sleet for a time tonight, mainly over York and Lancaster Counties. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$ Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 424 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 PAZ024>028-033>036-056-057-059-063>066-170930- Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 424 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ U.S. Dept. of Commerce NOAA National Weather Service 1325 East West Highway Silver Spring, MD 20910 E-mail: [email protected] Page last modified: May 16, 2007 Disclaimer Credits Glossary Privacy Policy About Us Career Opportunities NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE

If we can hang on for a few more hours, I'll still be happy. With these rates, we'll do alright. Not 20" alright, but we'll have snow on the ground for days w/ the sleet that is progged for us. Just turnin lemons into lemonade....

Crankin in Lanco. for now. Parachutes...big ones.