coastal sounds like its the only real rug tugger for us. I'm hoping for SLP in WVA to hold together as long as possible (based on progressive flow aloft and lack of trough in east, but thats wishcasting. Coastal is largely a miss for most...even us far easters in CTP land
I forgot to look, but when my wife went out to start her car, and came in, I asked "is it cold"....
Her reply....."this is bullshit".
Only reading I got for ya this morning.
but to bubbles point, temps are cold, but not THAT cold. At height of storm (ish), here are 700s. Not supportive of 20:1 IMO. 12-14 as he suggested is more reasonable.
Edit: Norther westers may get backside fluff factor, but not round CTP IMO.
It really is a nice run and nice to see dryslot worries diminish as coastal takes over. Just a nice clean handoff of sorts. Prob helps that its a 1006mb SLP and not 980's as that would dryslot the hell outta us me thinks.
And it happens plenty. This is just a good reminder that as I semi jokingly called it model watching before bed last night, it is easy to sometimes get lost in the trees while looking for the forest...if ya know what I mean.
Not for a second was I thumping my chest....just sitting back and watching things evolve without getttin too whacked out between 1-3 vs 2-4". Something is gonna happen and that has not changed for days. Models are doing what they often do...thats all I'm sayin. None of us here are good enough to fret about the details (except red taggers).
Its been fun to watch evolve and let the chips fall where they may.
ebbs and flows of models still gets us every time. Ya'd think our old asses would know better...and just when we think we do...
Thats the fun of being a bunch of weenies....we dont get paid (and dont need to act like we get paid) to know better. We can just chat and have fun with it. (well thats how I feel anyway).
Nice to see overnighters holdin on to another event for Friday. Getting close enough that the carpet might get tugged on, but it shouldnt get ripped out from under us. 2-4 on top of earlier week event makes for an awesome week, as no matter the end result....its snow on snow.
Happy Pre Snowy Friday to all.
was out on snowmobiles w/ son tonight. Basically burnt some OLD gas out and put some fresh in for weekend.
First time in almost 2 years since we've been able to ride down here. Was bony as hell in plowed fields, but hoping we take care of that this weekend. Decent amount of other tracks, so I guess we weren't the only ones anxious to ride. Have fun model watchin all, I'm headed to bed.
after reading the last few pages, I will giggle my ass off if this starts to moisten up as often IS the case as we get closer and we get back into 2-4".
Most of us know how things roll and know that EVERY map has a degree of bias/adjustment needed when viewing. Didnt think this needed said after doing this for as long as we have.
I'm assuming you know better as well . If not, catch up...
btw, one of "our" guys is coming back from a break on the board. I'll let you figure out who....
I promised him that most of the crap that's been going on recently seems to have subsided and that trolls seem to have crawled back into their caves. Of course good "outsiders" ARE ALWAYS WELCOME.
Hoping we keep it that way.
Heres to HH not shartin the bed any further and keeping our 1-3 safely in play so we can all enjoy a winter weekend.
and an upcoming period of neg departures to subtract from the "ugly". Like you I'll enjoy the current winter and will worry about ugly later, and with a few beers, it may not look so bad after all...:).