pasnownut

Sounds good by us... while MJO influence may be muted, its proven to be stoudt when it show bad, so now we just need the goodr look as it propogates thru 7 and into 8 to hold. NAO/AO looking great on 2 week progs. PNA workable. I'm actually ok w/ no pig ridge out west, as if and when? it rolls over, like it often does, conus floods w/ pac and not polar pac origin air. As shown above, I'd pull many chips outta pocket and push em forward. Hold my ass baby.

Starting to get a better feeling about first 1/2 of Jan. after that....dunno, but lets ride this train as long as we can (assuming it doesnt derail before it gets here...:)).

up at 3:15 to take daughter to philly intl for her flight back to Colorado. Snow started to fall on way home around downingtown. Bittersweet as she loves snow like I do, so a nice (but sad) ride. At least we got to see her for a couple days (although rather sick). It was and is gorgeous to see on Christmas Eve. Wishing all a very Merry Christmas and safe travels.

tellies are looking nice as we enter the new year. IF the look holds, i'd think we'd be trackin stuff a week from now. Biggest help is that the MJO is looking to go solidly into 8 and with NAO/AO and PNA looking pretty good, just may need a little patience....grasshoppers.

That'll do.... VERY nice stick burner. Hope the smoke was a good one.

do you have a thermal blanket for your smoker? I've got a Green Mtn pellet smoker that has the blanket. It's a big help in temp control and pellet usage in the cold months. check it out. https://www.bestproductguider.com/best-thermal-blanket-for-pellet-grill/ I've tried with and without, and yeah, over the long haul, worth the coins IMO. Mind you mine came w/ purchase off FB market, but I'd spend it knowing how it helps. Enjoy smoking the brisket. at least beers wont get warm :).

A great day for you. Enjoy!

same here. flurries have once again started at office.

Be careful, but enjoy every flake you see (on and off the field).

My parents/family are from St. Clair/Minersville areas (coal region) and most heated w/ coal. My dad did down here when I was a kid. it was good (but dirty) heat. I'm primary wood stove w/ catalytic and while the wood itself can be dirty in house, it burns clean in my Blaze King stove, and the heat is absolutely second to none. We hear it all the time when friends/fam come over. Hope yall enjoy whatever snow you get today, cause rumor has it tomorrows sun angle will nuke it (and it likely will down here). Norther/westers just icing on your white christmas cake. Lucky bas!ards.

flurries here in Etown while unloading sleigh full w/ coal (problem job) and replacing w/ goodies for afternoon run.

Despite the despair us SE'rs have been suffering through, many parts of central/northers/westers have had a handful of events that would make you and I borderline giddy. Snowcams to prove my very point. I'll let you go look for yourself, as the links have been posted by me a few 100 times over the years.

Had to do some cherrypicking, and Dubois usage is down 30%

Gonna say that the meso's are doing a splendid job of trolling snowhounds. If we can pull tomorrow off, I'll be happy to say that I was wrong and didnt see this being possible, as I expected a notably more norther solution wrt thermal boundary. verbatim, it gives many in ctp a legit chance of a white christmas (staying power of 1" dependant). Norther/westers look to be a lock for it. Congrats as usual. Sleigh loaded....reindeer are restless. Have a good one all.

I had no clue, but like you was wondering. Now im in the know.

oops. happy PRE Friday santa and sleigh time makes the days run together for a sales guy that tries to visit top 20 in a 10 day stretch.

You keep posting the cabin cam pics, youre gonna started getting trolled like when i post Sweden Valley sno cam pics. Keep it up btw. I appreciate it Thx for sharing. Happy Friday all.

They likely caused me to be diabetic (jk...i know better). Could nock that green box of 20 off in a day when I was young. You know the ones.. that went on sale post Christmas....yeah those boxes. I've often said that I enjoy the simple things...and they are truly one of em...

It was like a blanket thick over east of you in myville....

Morning gang. Just parsin over the tellies and maps, and yeah it looks like the see saw ride will continue till we warm up to end the year. Moving past the holidays they continue to hold a workable look, as the NAO, PNA and AO have +'s and -'s where they need to be, but no overwhelming signals. MJO earlier this week looked to get into a better phase 7, but then did the pump fake and tried to loop back into 6 (not good- maritime phase). This morning that appears to be gone, and just higher amp 7. ENS guidance still lean twds getting into 8, but that's no lock. MJO influence may be muted based on current ENSO state, but it still looms large IMO and something I'm watchin as we end the year. +pna is great only when we can get cold press in the east, or if often means were just flooded w more pac air. IF it goes to 8 w/ other indies holding as shown, zonal to slighly troughed in east would be a legit possibility and a workable pattern may show. as the current look for the new year is, we need NAO/AO to help offset pac influence just warmth just rolls east or NE thru conus, and we get cuts and post frontal cold (as we've gotten rather accustomed to). Was hoping MJO would keep moving and better looks would be showing up, (other than the always good looks of 360 hr ens guidance shows) -but we've all seen them enough to know better. It's just a tool....fool, and for now they are just eye candy. Speaking of candy, there's candy canes over in the candy basket, so I'm going to snitch a couple. Have a great day.

GFS "warmed" up to the idea. Antecedent cold is a sketchy slope but 1042 HP off S Maine coastline doing its thingy....long enough for a little fun on the front end.

WOW. Now that's a SCORE! Enjoy the game.

Nooners starting to look like some stuff to watch as potential reshuffle may be taking shape. I'd pay good coin to WATCH the PSU snow bowl.... While I care who wins, I care more about snow....:)

Proceed w/ caution bud. ENS guidance notably less troughy on that same period. Of course I'm rooting for above to happen, but throwing it out there. You can still ask santa for an early stocking stuffer though.

ENS guidance starting to look a bit better for the 12/20 weekend and beyond. Not GREAT, but better. Should at least let talk of snow chances have some merit. Tellies overall looking better this morning. MJO still needs another week to see if it gets outta 6 and into 7. If that happens, it could be a nice look just in time for santa.