pasnownut

If one believes the NAM we surely have rd 2 to contend with. Nothin substantial but def some light snow as coastal gets goin. I approve....and cross fingers. 1-2 for eastern Pa.

I coulda posted qpf but that too is misleading as we are in various forms of frozen, so I just posted clown map.

Not sure I'm buyin what its sellin, but ask and ye shall receive.

Looks like a couple more hours till winds shift and coastal pops (small green blob), so yeah here is the taint part (unless some decent rates can cool column a bit.

Radar seems to be done w/ lunch break and is firing back up. I'd not expect widespread snows, but bands of light (as per meso's). Whoever gets under them, looks to get 1-2" topper.

sorta....... Weenies wait for ANY moisture capable of being converted to snowflakes. Were not picky like that......hehe

Its been modelled as a 2 part storm for a while. I think because of the dryslot/lul, many are already calling bust, but like you...if I can get another 1-2" on top of the mornings 4", its well within the scope of my expectations. After dinner tonight....weenies will back in here model/radar watchin to see what they can score......It's our crack.

If you don't start to see radar backfilling by 18z time, I've got some crow marinating. Just waiting to see if I have to eat the crow, or drink the marinade, and throw the crow in the garbage....

No biggie at all. Just wondered if it was legit because nothing else close has been reported. It's still a respectable number at 9.5".

was the conshohocken 14" verified? Thats a small distance for such a HUGE qpf disparity. Looking at 511 cams, I think I answered my own question. They've got snow, but I Dont see 14" in those cams....but if you add any 3 together then ok...maybe I'll bite.

So........am I eatin crow tomorrow or not?? Need to plan ahead......

actually I post what I really think will happen...just with a positive spin on it #realisttothecore

Hrr goes to 18hrs, and many models have light snow well into tomorrow morning. While best accums may be over for some, there is more snow to come. Consider it mood flakes. BTW, your concern was my concern from days ago when N and W were showing big totals, greater than the LSV. This storm has a progressive look to it (thinking trough axis)t, and not a diggy one (that is what you needed for the coastal numbers to verify. Its more of a wave to weak coastal (and that's not bad at all)....but is just not good for everyone. I think conshohocken folks approve of this event by a 14" margin. It seems like a general 4-8 is reasonable (NW to SE gradient), so I'm not complaining a bit...even as i hear pingers mixing in w/ my 4". If I can eek 2 more inches out through tomorrow morning....thats fantastic.

If one looks at 12z NAM, you can see a warm layer "trapped" and thats why the sleet is likely happening. Good news is that as coastal takes shape, that layer quickly gets scoured out and column cools, so IMO sleet may be around but I think by afternoon, its back to a snow event (this is based of NAM which does pretty well wrt temp profiles).

mod snow here in Etown.

verbatim its a lot of back n forth w/ ridging and troughing in the east as lobes rotate around the conus. No torch, and IMO it'll just be timing things right to get more bonus snow, because after today, I'm calling winter a big success for me (basing off of what we thought we'd have back in early Dec. Feels like winter. I'm happy.

lols....he got me for sure.

and as we enjoy the snow....go look at 6z GooFuS loop. It thinks winter is not over after this event, w/ 2 next week. Do I believe...dunno, but I'll just say I like what it shows.

what the hell is this??? Joke right??

You definitely are the one we need to listen to as you'll ping first in forum. As long as you are reporting s of some variety....I'm happy.

Just did. Yeah thats a forum crowd pleaser...verbatim. Nice tick N w/ best accums. Grab it in run.....

that second max is achieved in WAA side of event. Just remember how well that did the other week.....just sayin. I'd shave 2" off that n be giddy if I lived under it.

Gotta say verbatim coastal looks to be tucked a bit more than GFS's depiction. Not bad....not bad. Not sure how well N and W crew will do, but it wasnt hard to look at.

Looks to be following the cutback on NW side of the storm though. Purple ticklin the Mason Dixon line at 23

correct.