pasnownut

I dont follow HRRR much (except looking for trends), but can say that even at go time...I've been less than impressed more than a few times. I know your just pointing out for discussion, but if 12zs major leaguers start showing...then I'd worry a bit more. 6z euro calmed my worries (which are minimal tbh). Guess we'll find out soon enough.

yep. Forgot to mention thermals. Its just an easy peasy snow event. I'll take these anytime we can get them. Even if not big hitter.

Its a "safe" bet and If anything goes wrong, they can still be right. If someone jackpots at 5-6 (you), they share the anomaly like you are the lucky winner of the jackpot....and you are.

Thats been my feeling, and I stated a couple days ago. It's just more of a run of the mill event and brings a bit of "normalcy" back to the game. Sorta simplish compared to many events we track. No handoffs or waiting for 500vort to dive in etc.. just a vort riding a boundary. Whatever happens, this was nice to track.

Yeah I know what they are. Just joking around. 6z's fixed us up...especially GFS, so i'll hust hug it.

FYP....what da frick did I/we do to deserve that shit.... Photoshop at it's finest....lol Not worried....well I am...but I'm not.

I’m sub 3”. I toss.

Huh. Whatchu smoking pal? That or share pics

TT needs new parts....done did break again...no 18z NAM for me...wtfrig

In honor of saurkraut week....dem der Germans came to the HH party. Slightly norther. Add another to the consensus pile. Snow maps not impressive but trends are the way to the promise land, and this trended towards us and not away. Nice HH

where do we sign.............

Ground truth is that they never really were....save some lolli's... As Mt Joy states....its in line w/ most, so concensus says we gonna snow. From where we've been....its a win to a lesser degree.

Absolutely. It didnt go away from us, so take it and run...

Its a pinch N at 42. Better than south I guess. surface really not likely to look mucho differente.

Largely unchanged "incoming" at 36. Pivotal's a pain in da pecker to toggle around. Just sayin..

Us too Scooby

Norther

I think its likely that most of us should be getting something. Gettin close enough that big shifts (bad or good) are diminishing. One caveat to this deal is that there is less worry about timing/handoffs etc. its just a simple storm riding the boundary below us and throwin qpf up our way. I think for a multitude of reasons, that we sometimes overthink it a bit-or just expect 70% failure and want to find out how we do that instead of just looking at it for what it is. I understand that for sure, but IMO this one has been "easier"...if you know what I mean. Does that guarantee anything....hell no, but other than that stupid little fly on the screen that was off GA coast that Bubbles and I were mentioning....no big surprises. Well for sanity's sake....I hope it ends this way.

CTP crowd pleaser....well its the best we got... for now. No BIG winners but we all get to play in it..I consider that a win.

was joking bud. Its a good point for sure. We can discuss till we figure it out. I just dont want to see thread derailed over what this is vs....what we gonna get, cause right now that's more concerning IMO. Thats all. gnight

No worries....I'm headed to bed....long ass day and a few busy ones coming up. Hoping my dreams of snow aren't crushed manana morning. Gnight gang.

Fair point. IMO I discount, only because in my mind its not really reforming....its just transferring energy to something else....but your point is valid as technically noone ever said HOW it has to happen....just that it happens...... Man....I was hoping to be done w/ this but its worth mentioning.

Sure. Plenty of models have us getting some love....and once sorted out a bit better, I'd think we'll be alright....maybe not DC digits from yesterday, but our boards will be covered.

I had to search for it, as the miller b stuff was just eatin my crawl, and wanted to find out who/what was screwin our pooch... Not sure in the end how this ends up tbh, but still think a "cleaner" evolution...win or lose is more likely. Gun to head, I think many of us get on the board. Dont see it slipping away, but we may not be jackpot zone (by much guidance you are in a good spot regardless of what happens over this way.