pasnownut

You are also in catbird seat pal...

smart minds pal.....smart minds

Here's a thought..... Have it at Sauss's place. Picture this.....a bunch of overweight middle aged bald guys standing around a pool waiting for the first guy to jump in I crack myself up.......

lol....i expected nothing less.

first round....no problem. I'd need to take a loan out for bar tab w/ some of you (and me included) at the party....

I think HGB/Hershey/Lebanon are in the catbird seat for this event. IF I can find a way to not taint....I'd win, but I'm not confident whatsoever. I'm in the game, so its all good.

For me, now I start to focus on mesos and thermal profiles. 700's for GFS was ever so slightly warmer at 24 but better beyond that for LSV. 850s slightly worse for Lanco n east. I see the normal battlelines shaping up. Was hoping that wouldnt be the case down here.

fwiw, Icon came in a tick colder (only thing I was looking at on it). Its alwasy been Meh for this storm. May be right but I hope not.

glad someone picked up on that.....

You may think I'm crazy, but sometimes its worse getting rain/zr/sleet.... while you snow. Sometimes I'd almost rather nothing, than missing out while someone close by "cashes in". Mind you thats living all but 5 yrs of my life down here, so I've seen it so many times, I'm used to riding the razors edge, and getting cut just gets old. Thats all.

I may have an extra 15 min after your 10 min, as I'm 10 miles north of Lanc city so I get ya. I know it sounds trivial to parse over but where you and I live, makes a BIG difference. Our northern/western brethren just dont know how good they have it....lol. and to add to this, I cant tell you how many times (like currently) that when I drive from Akron to Lancaster (down 222), then get on 283 and head to Etown, you can see how we have snow, and Lanc city loses it, then you see it building back towards Etown.

and 850's fwiw. IMO notably souther shift at lower levels (likely because LP pops off VA coast and column responds??) Thats my hunch. 6z 12z

HMM...looked a tick colder to me. Yes, its a thin line as always down here, but thermally I looped both 6/12z and 12 at 700 is slightly better for LSV battleground. May just be noise and could tick north tonight anyway, but Im ok w/ what it shows verbatim. 6z 6z 12z

Yeah as MAG so eloquently stated, w/ part 2 we need coastal to wrap up and get us an easterly fetch to throw the goods back this way, but even if that doesnt happen light overrunning events may attack the thermals, but may not wreck them, so I'm sorta ok w/ either.

yeah i dont think you were done w/ the run when you posted that. Truth is we are getting close enough that most in our forum are in for something, but so long as nooners hold or even tick back north at many of us expect, we should still be fine w/ this event. Sligthly south is a great spot right now IMO

or we just stay at 6-9 and be happy to overachieve.... i guess its all in how one looks at it.

Thats about as good as one could expect to hear from CTP. Ok....I'm in.

it IS HH ya kno.... Sounds like a cold snap kinda night.

lol was thinking the very same thing. Thats funny.

He gets to pick how I eat my crow Friday....

Icon verbatim was a nice 2 part deal....I like it. Not sure if I believe but man do I like. Blizz's heads gonna get stuck walkin thru the door cause this is his storm.

thru 60 GFS ticks southeast w/ best accums but gives LSV the wiggle room it needed for tomorrows north jog. If this look holds tonight, I'm thinking this one is a safe bet for down here in southern pa. 540 came south a bit as well. Little colder is nice and needed and might help w/ ratios a bit.

the techy term is SOUTHER get w/ da program pal.

I noticed a slower less progressive look at 12z wrt MSLP eekin its way NE off the Chessy bay area. Was hoping that was legit as its likely helping w/ backbuiling of qpf for part 2 of the event. Love it.

Den dats a B...... not an A wtf