pasnownut

all good pal.... just having some fun while we wait for better weather......

this post for 1000......

carp? is that in the sucker family.......

I'm going whole hog on the 9th.... anyone wanna box him in and take 2/11??

and fwiw, I'm not doom n gloom, just being a realist. And the realist in me just looked at the tellies, and all is surely not lost. AO/NAO headed neg in Feb, will get cold back/closer PNA headed neg - not good but AO/NAO could offset MJO headed twds p7 may help as well Unfortunately MJO/NAO are volatile and can shart da bed w/ the best of em, but IF one believes what the tellie ouija board suggests....it should be more workable as we turn the calendar.

Don't "like" this post, but I agree w/ you. While I've taken a break from models (while enjoying winter IMBY), after lookin at overnighters, this weekend event would have been sneaking one in during a shit pattern. Next week may try to do the same, but we need wholesale changes in pattern before we can get better looks and thats a couple weeks out. If we can time something just right/thread the needle, then maybe, but those odds are a crap shoot down here.

Here is another that I use in case anyone want to look at a couple. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml Nice winter weekend. Now we wash, rinse and ...... repeat? Hoping this weeks warmup is short lived and we get the repeat sooner than later.

When I measured around 2:45 we were a tick under 4”. Guessing 1/3-1/2” addl at most. Still very light snow n I’m loving every flake.

Was just going to add that it’s snowing nicely (albeit rather fine). All shoveled plowed etc has turned white here as well. Enjoy every flake. Might be a bit till we see more falling.

Enjoy time w/ your son. Safe travels. 13:1 sounds rather reasonable for the whole event total.

You bring some good stuff to the group. Glad you are with us.

as well you should. Really light snow here and holes in radar say were close to a wrap here. Last measure for me was a pinch under 4" and it absolutely was a win for most of us as per obs that are being shared. Just got done doing my neighborhood snowblowin n cracked my last mad elf in celebration of a snowy weekend.

Just got home a bit ago. Eyeballing and spot measurements in Etown Manheim, Lititz and my house Etown 2.5 ish 27 deg Manheim 2.0ish 25deg Litltz 2.5ish 26 deg House 3.5 on back porch 27 deg Any previously treated surfaces were wet and melting. Anything not treated or plowed was snow covered or slippy for sure. These are obs during my 28 mile trek home to hang out w/ my wife. Except for Manheim, I got out and measured. Just beautiful out there. Saw fresh snowmobile tracks in manheim. Looking forward to some riding tomorrow. Last night on way home Etown was brining already whitish roads, so makes sense that stickage was gonna be tough. Steady light snow in Akron. Hoping coastal backend gives me another 1-1.5. Great friggin day. No chest thumpin here. Just enjoying a nice event that we saw from far out, and it worked. This will stick around for a few days at least...enjoy.

Oof. That sucks. Glad you got things figured out.

I'll be driving home shortly, so I'll get some eyeball measurements from Etown to manheim to litltz to akron. Eyeballing at least 2" here in our parking lot and other items that were clean prior to start.

best rates i've seen so far for this one. (in etown)

Yeah long leads lookin less than stellar, but as we know next week is warm, I'll start worrying about it later next week. I'm not gonna worry or gnash teeth in 6hr increments anymore. I'm just gonna enjoy what we got as long as we've got it. Was hoping PNA could offset AO/NAO, but time will tell.

Just got to office. 24-25 car thermo w/ a light to almost mod snow on way in. Etown already has their 1" threshold met. Lets tack a few more on today.

I didnt think 20:1 was legit, but that is why I'm a weenie and not a red tagger. 12-15:1 sounded reasonable going in.

snow started right around 5, which is when mesos have been suggesting for a day now. Steady light snow and TGIF. Its a good day. Enjoy all.

WAA ahead of next system is the culprit and why some parts of state were seeing flakes this am. Been showing up on mesos for a while now.

and if anyone thinks that ground isnt frozen, come take a snowmobile ride with me. Need fillings replaced in all my teeth from last night. Im telling ya, it was frozen tundra...like rock. Im just gonna use an easy analogy to further my point.....hockey rink Ok, back to weather and Euro snow maps on deck

You do have frozen ground underneath, so I'd take that bet. That's something we've not had in well.....like..... forever

and FWIW, I am gaining more trust in GFS Op, as its been pretty good IMO of late. That said, next weeks warmup will include 2 additional mixed/snow events for northers. Go look at snow map (I look for frozen potential, not for snow numbers in situ's like this). Not sure I trust it that much, but stoudt HPs show up at the right time in eastern Canada to help w/ CAD in CTP.

and fwiw, it woudnt surprise if we dry up a bit at HH or 0z's. It happens and is something I'm personally waiting for. As I've already ovestated....snow on snow. I'm good. Stickin w/ my guess of 2-4 and will hope for coastal pop to be delayed for nice crowd pleasing light event tomorrow.