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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    Icon just went south with decent precip in central Md. also brought out totals up a bit. Just looking fir wiggle room.
  2. pasnownut
    i was looking at both 850 and 700's to see how good the column looked, and shouldve posted the 700's as they only looked to get real good once best qpf has left the area (gfs).
  3. pasnownut
    You can blame me if that doesnt verify
  4. pasnownut
    Thanks. You also just answered my question about Isotherms so no need to reply I was assuming -6 to -10
  5. pasnownut
    WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 3 AM Sunday to 5 AM EST Tuesday. tell me last time you saw a 50 hour storm warning in CTP
  6. pasnownut
    Readin that to me is akin to my wife readin 50 shades of gray.
  7. pasnownut
    15.5" 1.28 qpf
  8. pasnownut
    LOL. I'm a team player and totally happy w/ you gettin the creds. When youre looking at ratios, you look mostly at -6 to -10 istotherms for best snow growth?
  9. pasnownut
    how does that compare vs 12z?
  10. pasnownut
    when he's on board....you know the snow train is rollin.... Let's enjoy this gang.....looking like this is "one for us".
  11. pasnownut
    I'd think were too far east to achieve anything more than 12-13:1 as its not that cold of a storm. per GFS heres warmest panel then as coastal gets cranking we see this during max precip. and ccb's. IMO thats great but not cold enough to really fluff it up. Still not a complaint in the world for me.
  12. pasnownut
    Now thats a confidence booster. Just looked at the 18z GFS and it looks better than 12z
  13. pasnownut
    Until Monday night I dont think your concern is off the table. Big nooners today were pretty much awesome, but its still far enough out there to warrant concern. B's have the short term ability to rob and steal like Yeagermister did in rudolph. Seeing the majors tracks makes me feel we should be able to get somewhere between ctp's conservative approach and some of the nooner Op and Ens guidance. The retrograde really helps the ccb's IMO. Meso's should paint the picture starting tonight
  14. pasnownut
    Just parsing over nooners/HH runs as I was helping a friend do some projects. I dont believe or trust this for a second, but DAMN its something we rarely see. Just stare and dream a little dream.
  15. pasnownut
    we did the important stuff..... liquor store.
  16. pasnownut
    as much as i want big totals I'm still happy with that. Still think we can go higher based on nooners
  17. pasnownut
    Crazy to centerpunched inside of 24hrs. We have wiggle room which is all I want no matter how much the sno sticks measure.
  18. pasnownut
    Yep. We still need to keep the taint part in back of our minds. Think back to Monday. While setup is rather different we’re always close to warmth so no Restin easy until 0zs for you festus trainer and I
  19. pasnownut
    Sweet Jesus I like how you think!!
  20. pasnownut
    Agreed
  21. pasnownut
    and as its time to start payin more attention to meso's, 3k supports the same trend and puts us squarely in the crosshairs.
  22. pasnownut
    It also brought best precip into our forum. Was a tick south of 6z. Not sure if thats just noise, but it was notable. IMO it just supports a ctp beatdown. And as always, only look at snowfall maps for trends, and not forecasts for back yard rulers.
  23. pasnownut
    out to 39...WAA snows in 12z NAM are really nice so those still worried about coastal should feel good about that. Even if coastal were to poop the bed, you'd still have a blanket of snow on said bed and will help with the cleanup.
  24. pasnownut
    When there is a 90% chance you don't get less than this....I'm....well......I'm in.
  25. pasnownut
    Thanks for "stopping in". Always great to have you.
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