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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. if thats hell...i'll take it. NO semblance of SER. just rather random w/ chances and general w/nw flow. Mets will throw fits as to who are the have's and have nots in the daily rain bucket. Popcorn T storms we used to call em. Mind you thats just parsing over 6z so as usual, the look may change by 12z, but it's been showing enough consistency that I'm interested in the respite from the moist weather we've been having.
  2. NWS shows nothing for us here in Akron yesterday, but let me tell you we got "smoked" w/ about 1/2 hour of steady/heavy rain and a few rumbles thrown in for good measure. Spitballing 1/2" based on intensity. I think NWS is trying to cook the books to hide their infield error (baseball reference based on the last few pages).
  3. Not even gonna look. Just gonna hope that it holds. We discussed the other week about the LR looking like the sticky heat pump from Bermuda was going on vaca for a while, and it sounds like that may be holding up. Awesome.
  4. squall line looks to be aoa dinner time tomorrow per mesos. Like loostoe said it looks like the dynamics should be right for some and the line looks to be 40 N kinda deal per 12k, but 3k looks a bit more S w/ best dynamics. Being this close to the game, that doesnt inspire much confidence for the where, but the when looks like we should all plan on indoor dining for supper.
  5. Nooner 12k just took away any side action for the M/D line. When mesos show a notable change like that, it raises eyebrows.
  6. mowed last night. My ground is SOAKED.... I'll gladly give you all of my rain pal. You live in a truly beautiful area (went through 2x on rt 30 w/ Harley this year), and I'd hate to see it take on a more scorched look than it already may have.
  7. less sun....less lift for that shear you find so dear..... but in truth, yeah you can get it done w/ what you described. Just may be more rain and less kabooms
  8. parsing over 6z beyond mid range, it loses the SER and verbatim would shut down the sticky heat pump.
  9. if that ridge gets far enough East, we'd be in better shape w/ boundary being close enough to have influence. Bring it west....we bake.
  10. we (like many), got ROCKED last night. Vivid ass lighning show and i think all 4 corners of the house were hit . that was one to remember. Almost put a pillow over my head for protection....hehe
  11. I know it well. Always used to like to climb suicide hill pipeline w/ the snowmobiles. We sled over that way a lot as Marshlands/Ridge/cedar mtn/thompson hollow are all big connecting roads to other areas.
  12. log cabin is about 1.5 miles before you'd get to that gift shop (now closed again). BTW that is heading west towards Gaines/Galeton
  13. we got pummeled in Akron. NWS from KLNS says .9, but I guarantee we did better here. It dumped. I wouldnt be surprised to hear of 1.5 or 2" amounts near me.
  14. I'm betting you know where the gift shop w/ the caboose is?? I'm up on top of that "hill".
  15. Yeah anyway. Cabin is 15 miles west of Wellsboro in Pa Grand Canyon....ya know Gods Country.... I'll be there tomorrow night sipping on a cocktail w/ my lovely wife. Hoping to hear some raindrops on the tin roof.... but truth told, I cant wait to get out west or up to alaska.....or NORWAY. all bucket list items. Daughter just moved to Denver, so I'm anxios to see the rockies.
  16. about 5-10 min of steady rain here w/ a couple wind gusts. That was it. Meh....tv 27 dude was right down here. Radar off to the west looks to be falling apart over cashtown. hoping tomorrow does better down here
  17. Btw. I saw 100 on car thermo between Lancaster and ephrata around 4pm.
  18. That’s what I was getting at this am when I suggested the high qpf totals. Line is a sloowwww mover and likely gonna fill some pools up. My lawn is hoping it survives for a few more hours.
  19. radar starting to show some potential for true central. We might even get a pinch if that first line holds up east of the mtns.
  20. spot on.....pun intended. Gonna be localized qpf maxes unless we get some training (were the front to stall as earliers depictions were showing the possibility. The more progressive look still gives most of us an appreciable event tomorrow, but weekend looks drier due to progressive boundary eeking too far SE for us. Otoh, it looks a bit less ridgy and more active in the mid/long range (based on model watchology....not tellies). That's too deep a dive for me in summer.
  21. hehe. I missed yas....what can i say? hoping y'all are having a great summer.
  22. Frontal boundary still pretty far NW. I think he's more right than wrong, but afternoon max heating might surprise. Watch WV as thats where our show will come from. Boundary gets close enough and mixes w/ max heating and maybe so. These pesky SE ridges usually need better forcing for LSV as we are too far east of the domes western edge.
  23. if we get the qpf modeled (and likely) for thursday.....I'll take the NAM weekend maps for $1,000 Alex....
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