pasnownut

Im actually proud of myself....I've been more active this summer than the last 10 summers...........combined. lol

ya know how the weather gods are spooked by the skook.

looks like they are bettin on da King.

Yeah, but I was meaning seeing snow within 1000 miles of MBY....hehe

Preach it brotha..... days and days of white.....speaking of...were about 5-8 weeks away from hopefully seeing the first blues showing up on the models....

That should make you happy no? Sounds like you and bubbles are in short range crosshairs. sure hope so.

Yeah thats hard to bet against for sure, but even if 1/2 of what the GFS depicts verifies, many lawns across the state will approve, or come out of dormancy....lol (and sorry). I too have been lucky enough to get the rains JUST in the nick of time when my lawn was starting to stress. Been looking better every week for the last few (so much that I may put that fertilizer on this weekend). Been waiting for the dry period to look like its officially behind us. Me thinks that's the case.

Yeah I saw GFS and thought that much of the state would approve. No big winners, but the east scores early and the west gets it from TS Fred. Overall not a bad week qpf wise for many.

3k says no wood for me........but we do get the shaft.........verbatim. maybe we can give it a little blue pill... towards the end of the 12z 3k it looks to bring a little more tropical love to our region (if one focuses on SE locals of our area. I'll be watching that in coming runs.

agreed. We did get a couple close cracks of thunder and brief rain just after midnight. Prob. a 15 min deal...but i only had 1 eye open at the time...

Maytown.....you are clear for launch..... NEPA will be winners in da rain bucket race today. Best lift misses most of true central as well. GOES-East - Latest CONUS Images - NOAA _ NESDIS _ STAR.html

Then they should put disclaimer "N/A" to let people know it is not functioning because some folks could skew that for other purposes. I'm sure the NWS uses those "totals" when making drought forecasts etc.... Just saying. If were all about the data.....lets get it right. No reason for this to be an ongoing issue. Plenty of areas around that airport to put a better weather station.

Thats funny. I thought w/ the early sun and visible satellite showing little to no clouds, that we were going to run a good number for yesterday...and we did. Although i was surprised on way home from office, that temps were only in 85-88 range on car thermo (w/ partly sunny skies).

agreed. if you look at hourly obs....heavy rain w/ no qpf raises ones eyebrow....or should. Trust me....both days had at LEAST 20-30 min of mod/heavy steady rain. Last evening closer to 1 hr. I'm callin foul....

I saw 70-71 on car themo... I also agree that when overnight lows don't get below 70 that normal diurnal heating with no major adjustments to pattern makes a run at 90+ pretty easily achieved here in LSV. Looking forward to the cool down this weekend.

HMMM....seems like more data reporting issues that include the NWS. KLNS data for last couple days. I live 5 miles from this station and received easily between 1.5-2'' in the last 2 days. Friends to the W of this location also told me they received heavy rains both days.......and somewhere in between... .03. yeah right. 12 07:50 Calm 2.00 Fog/Mist VV002 72 69 72 69 91% NA NA 30.06 1017.5 12 06:53 E 3 0.25 Fog VV002 70 67 90% NA NA 30.05 1017.3 12 05:53 Calm 0.75 Fog/Mist CLR 71 68 90% NA NA 30.04 1017.1 12 04:53 Calm 3.00 Fog/Mist CLR 71 68 90% NA NA 30.03 1016.6 12 03:53 Calm 4.00 Fog/Mist CLR 72 69 91% NA NA 30.03 1016.6 12 02:53 Calm 4.00 Fog/Mist SCT002 72 69 91% NA NA 30.03 1016.6 12 01:53 SE 5 0.50 Fog VV002 71 68 75 71 90% NA NA 30.02 1016.0 12 00:53 Calm 3.00 Fog/Mist CLR 73 70 90% NA NA 30.02 1016.1 11 23:53 Calm 4.00 Fog/Mist FEW002 72 70 94% NA NA 30.03 1016.5 11 22:53 W 3 10.00 Fair CLR 73 70 90% NA NA 30.05 1017.3 11 21:53 Calm 10.00 Fair CLR 74 70 88% NA NA 30.06 1017.5 11 20:53 W 7 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT014 75 71 88% NA NA 30.05 1017.1 11 19:53 S 3 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW050 FEW070 FEW110 74 70 92 72 88% NA NA 30.04 1016.8 11 18:53 N 6 10.00 Thunderstorm in Vicinity Light Rain BKN110 74 70 88% NA NA 30.03 1016.6 11 17:53 NW 29 G 56 0.50 Thunderstorm Heavy Rain and Windy SCT027 BKN045 OVC055 73 65 76% NA NA 30.03 1016.6 11 16:53 E 7 10.00 Thunderstorm in Vicinity BKN044 90 75 62% NA 101 29.96 1014.2 0.01 0.01 11 15:53 E 5 10.00 Overcast BKN044 BKN060 OVC100 88 76 68% NA 99 29.97 1014.7 11 14:53 S 5 10.00 Thunderstorm in Vicinity FEW060 91 75 59% NA 102 30.01 1015.7 11 13:53 W 7 10.00 Mostly Cloudy SCT037 SCT046 BKN060 89 74 91 74 61% NA 98 30.02 1016.1 11 12:53 W 5 10.00 Fair CLR 90 74 59% NA 99 30.03 1016.6 11 11:53 W 5 10.00 Fair CLR 87 73 63% NA 94 30.04 1016.8 11 10:53 SE 6 10.00 Fair CLR 84 73 70% NA 90 30.05 1017.1 11 09:53 Calm 10.00 Fair CLR 79 71 77% NA 82 30.07 1017.9 11 08:53 Calm 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW008 77 70 79% NA 79 30.08 1018.4 11 07:53 Calm 5.00 Fair with Haze CLR 74 69 74 69 85% NA NA 30.07 1017.8 11 06:53 SE 3 3.00 Fog/Mist CLR 70 67 90% NA NA 30.04 1017.1 11 05:53 Calm 1.00 Fog/Mist CLR 69 66 90% NA NA 30.04 1016.8 11 04:53 Calm 3.00 Fog/Mist CLR 70 67 90% NA NA 30.04 1017.0 11 03:53 E 3 2.50 Fog/Mist CLR 70 67 90% NA NA 30.04 1016.8 11 02:53 Calm 5.00 Fog/Mist CLR 71 67 87% NA NA 30.05 1017.2 11 01:53 NE 3 5.00 Fog/Mist CLR 71 68 73 71 90% NA NA 30.06 1017.3 11 00:53 E 3 6.00 Fog/Mist CLR 71 68 90% NA NA 30.07 1017.9 10 23:53 Calm 6.00 Fog/Mist CLR 72 68 87% NA NA 30.08 1018.3 10 22:53 Calm 10.00 Fair CLR 72 69 91% NA NA 30.09 1018.8 10 21:53 Calm 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT070 72 69 91% NA NA 30.09 1018.5 10 20:53 NE 5 10.00 Fair CLR 73 69 87% NA NA 30.04 1016.8 10 19:53 S 10 7.00 Thunderstorm Light Rain SCT095 BKN120 72 68 92 72 87% NA NA 30.06 1017.4 10 18:53 NW 33 G 59 0.50 Thunderstorm Heavy Rain Fog Squalls and Windy SCT005 OVC055 72 68 87% NA NA 30.07 1017.9 0.02 10 17:53 E 8 10.00 Mostly Cloudy BKN039 BKN049 BKN060 86 73 65% NA 93 30.02 1016.1 10 16:53 E 6 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT047 SCT060 88 70 55% NA 93 30.03 1016.4 10 15:53 S 7 10.00 Mostly Cloudy FEW045 BKN050 BKN070 91 70 50% NA 97 30.03 1016.5 10 14:53 S 12 G 16 10.00 Partly Cloudy FEW042 SCT055 91 71 52% NA 98 30.05 1017.3 10 13:53 S 6 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT046 89 71 91 76 55% NA 95 30.07 1017.9 10 12:53 Calm 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT034 87 71 59% NA 93 30.11 1019.1 10 11:53 Calm 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT075 85 72 65% NA 91 30.13 1019.9 10 10:53 Calm 10.00 Mostly Cloudy BKN017 83 72 70% NA 88 30.14 1020.3 10 09:53 S 6 8.00 Overcast OVC014 80 72 76% NA 84 30.14 1020.1 10 08:53 SE 6 5.00 Mostly Cloudy with Haze FEW008 BKN014 78 73 85% NA 80 30.13 1020.1 10 07:53 SE 5 3.00 Fog/Mist OVC015 76 72 76 72 88% NA 76 30.13 1020.1 10 06:53 E 3 4.00 Fog/Mist OVC013 75 71 88% NA NA 30.14 1020.3 10 05:53 E 3 5.00 Fog/Mist OVC009 74 70 88% NA NA 30.13 1019.8 10 04:53 E 5 6.00 Fog/Mist OVC008 74 70 88% NA NA 30.12 1019.7 10 03:53 E 3 6.00 Fog/Mist OVC009 73 69 87% NA NA 30.11 1019.3 10 02:53 E 5 6.00 Fog/Mist CLR 72 68 87% NA NA 30.12 1019.6 10 01:53 E 5 8.00 Mostly Cloudy FEW060 BKN095 73 69 80 73 87% NA NA 30.13 1020.0 10 00:53 E 5 9.00 Mostly Cloudy BKN065 73 68 84% NA NA 30.15 1020.5 09 23:53 E 6 10.00 Partly Cloudy SCT060 74 69 85% NA NA 30.14 1020.4 09 22:53 E 6 10.00 Partly Cloudy FEW075 SCT090 75 69 82% NA NA 30.14 1020.2

If you saw that satellite snapshot the instability (clear skies east of the storm line) that was a good look for things to hold together or pop in the east.

we got hammered with gully washer last evening here in Akron/Ephrata. I'm betting close to an inch. Storms looking good for tonight as well.

Look at visible satellite. It's looking ripe for stuff over Somerset to make it here. Plenty of time/daylight for added instability IMO. I think many in LSV get rocked in a few hours.

Thats where my head has always been. IMO the diff between 86 and 90 isnt a big deal, and just because some criteria is met....doesnt mean that the real feel is much different. To me the humidity is ALWAYS the biggest factor in the summer. 90 w/ 60dp is much more tolerable than 86 w/ 75dp. Guess it's up to the individual.

I really dont start to get giddy until after labor day and even then its usually a couple weeks beyond. I can remember September heat waves sitting in high school (w/ NO AIR CONDITIONING)....OMG....how did I/we survive?? if we can pull off some back n forth for the next couple weeks, i'll consider that a win and just be ready to move on when the first cold front of the fall blows in.

I know coming from me, this might sound crazy, but today is what i expect from summer....not what we had so far for the week. Trainer brought up the 5-7 deg forecasted vs realized differential in another post, and it is something that's been in my mind for the last year + as we often have seen it in winter mins/maxs as well. I think next week might have a couple days of that in play. That said, I also looked over overnighters and still see alot of firehose forecasts in the med/extended with a lot of movement as troughs/ridges switch off every 6/12 hours and temps reflect this, so as I suggested yesterday, I'm still not real worried about locking in on sustained heat.....but definitely normalish dog days for sure. And regarding mins for the week so far, every morning I've been at or within 2-3 deg. of forecasted lows. I dont really get too wrapped up in the hitting the mark stuff, due to microclimates that come into play, but do get pisses when forecasts bust 5-7 too low for days on end.

Looks like a week from today we will be looking at another shot of heat and humidity, but I'm not convinced it holds. Overnighters showing typical mood swings and really bouncing around. When you replace ridges w/ troughs....don't panic. Overall theme that I saw was that the NE looks to have some (enough?) troughing around to keep us out of extended heat. CMC and Euro both showing it. If one buys into the GFS....were cooked. Sure have enjoyed this week.

pillow might need a blanket.

Ground was briefly moist at my house.....thats it.