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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: There are some 12"+ totals on the 18Z GFS for the Chessie area. That is not too common to see. Nah....it was about this post above. Its getting old guys....
  2. Just said the same earlier. Slower gives it a chance. Having a couple models working to better solutions is a refreshing change. Still work to do but, ya know.... beggars....
  3. Yeah I know.... If you dont like something or see something to share against what others post...post it....otherwise.....thanks in advance. The gigs getting old...especially in these hard times.
  4. Not sure what you're looking at??? It ticked just tevery way we could have asked it to. It moved closer to an event here.
  5. One can hope for trailing system to slow down a bit. Every bit would help give your baby bumps a chance...
  6. Yeah without ridging, its not a deep winter look but would be a much better deal than of late. In my mind its just bring the current look further south w/ less cutting for a period. As per above, rooting for the home team model for sure w/ broad based trough kinda look.
  7. I'd settle for the flatish look we've had, and just being on the colder side of the boundary, as we've been hoping for. With all of the vorts we've been seeing, that'd set up a nice conveyor belt of snowballs from the midwest. This looks to be progressing twds the promise land. Just gotta hope NAO/AO dont mute the signal, cause we all know how easy it is to fail.
  8. FWIW, Ens guidance is notably flatter for timestamp above, so glue your fingernail back on.....it wasnt worth the chew, and extrapolated, shouldn't cut, and would likely be something for all as it fits the NAO/AO at same timestamp. Looks to be best window we've had (on the maps and charts anyways).
  9. Even if taboo... if one uses this for what its worth, it shows that opportunities for white gold may be getting closer to our backyards. Mind you....if one looks at the 192 GooFuS Op, it went from no storm at 6z to this at 12z. Just an example of why even in medium range its only a tool....and shouldnt be worth chewin one fingernail over.....Beyond 3 days, search for trends...good or bad.
  10. Verbatim yes...but still plenty of time for a small shift either way....and one of them gets the LSV's attention.
  11. as a realist....sure is. Just dont remind me so often.....K??
  12. But you don't reference the historical snows in CA....see what I mean..? One can always find an anomaly to fit ones feelings. Some years the sierras are drier than a popcorn fart....some years they set snow records.... Weather is like a chess board....predictable and ever changing from game to game....year to year. Alright...I have to get back to work. Have your fun...TTFN.
  13. He, Chill and I used to chat it up and PM....when he left....I was close on the heels. Mitch was level head, knew his shit (as a hobbyist mind you) - but like others... got tired of it. Thats the part that I dont want to see happen here, and as our pool of knowledgeable posters is a bit less. Again, not a dig....just a fact.
  14. I'm tellin ya.....he's a saint for putting up with what he does.
  15. On December 28th.....yeah just a tad. If you follow/understand enough (and i think you do), yes there are still enough signs that nothing should be written off....yet. Now in 6 weeks....you can have at it....If that happens....I'll be long gone by then anyway, so it wont matter one bit to me. Anyone in this sport for enough time knows that warm/losing is the correct bet 70-80% of the time anyway...and that's no new norm and hasn't changed much at all (if one views purely snow (not warmth) records. We go into winter knowing that, and don't need reminded every 6hrs. That's where instant gratification society and weather (snow), just don't mix at all. FWIW, it's not my board...and I wont act like it is. You do you....but if anyone thinks the undertones don't have an effect.....you're kidding yourselves. Just look at the forum to the south....most/many good ones left for a reason....and that wasn't my doing. Carry on....
  16. After a few snow lovers and talented hobbyists left... I no longer go there, but like it or not....similarities exist. i just don't have the pain tollerance that PSUHoffman does. God love him (if he still posts there much). Its also a societal thing, and not just weather....
  17. But we bye and large still do much better than they do, and will likely for the foreseeable future, so no, I disagree. Last year was great, but our instant gratification society has little to no memory, and we willl complain much more readily than we used to. Some stat guys/gals can surely post dud winters of the last 100 years if they wanted to remind us that this may not be "the new norm" snowwise. Not ever year is a winner.
  18. I respectfully disagree, but I'm not here to fight about it either. The underlying tone is surely there pal. take a step back and look....you'll see.
  19. oh ok. Pine creek in is a decent place. Been there a couple times this year and tried to eat there Tuesday. Doing the best they can in this continued shit show. BTW, old OX Yoke Inn.....gone....poof....bulldozed. Someone mowed the restaurant/cottages down and is putting in high end cabins (i'm told). That place had a ton of history....makes me sad.
  20. Our forum is starting to look/sound more like one to the south of us.....ya know, the one everyone lol's at. Just sayin..........
  21. FWIW it did pull the boundary north enough to keep an eye on it. Thats what we need for this deal to work out.
  22. spacing will be the challenge for #2 and not enough time to dig/bomb out. Best shot is hoping the boundary comes north, but as most do, we've also seen SLP's slide south...way south....so dunno yet. Glad to see something to track though.
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