pasnownut

As Mitch pointed out earlier, early looks are already being revisited due to ENSO (or lack thereof), so yeah, like you, I'ma gonna take it as it comes and hope for surprises, or futher tweaking of long lead forecasts (Weather World was quite the Debbie....)

511 cam east of mansfield due east is lookin rather snowy. Steady light snow continues and sets my mood just right. Thanks Mo Nature.

I like how you think. You should be a lawyer in your next life. Yeah, as there seems to be some correcting going on wrt ENSO, slight nina can be workable. Just need AO to frequently peturb polar regions and keep that cold conveyor belt working. BTW win down here. frosted roofs noted on way into office. Perty. Happy Friday all

Yep. Where the boundary sets up follow Tuesday event will be what to watch. Historically we seem to underperform in that regard, so that's the first fly in the ointment that we'll need to work through. Fortunately some runs have it notably south, so nothing set in stone by any means. edit, looks like this was just stated by Bub

Hi res NAM, still has 2 qpf max's first one is poconos w/ SLP placement just puking snow on them, but as SLP goes retro on us, wraparound surely favors somerset/laurels. My pal just bought a place in Terra Alta WV, and they think 12+ as he sits right up top. He's not going to be down for this one, but i told him that i'd be inviting myself sometime when a good ol upslope event looms. getting snowed in is fun stuff, and sorely missed.

Nope. Never did it. yep, cabin in for a good shellacking as we sit at 2275'. I go up next Friday. Didnt put the plow on the UTV, and wondering if I may regret that.

yeah poconos have been where i've always thought the best accums may come from. Of course somerset (seven springs) will try to 1 up em. Will be fun to see how it evolves, but base on LP sitting over eastern pa, chips pushed to NE for me. Awesome to see other opps lining up for next week n beyond. Cant ask for more as we are just getting started. Happy pre friday all.

at this range, plenty of waffling expected. As suggested by a few, Op/Ens are seeing the storm, and the pattern is close enough to get it done, so that's good enough for now. Lets just enjoy the chase, and hope for the best (well that's what I'm doin anyway).

No matter how it plays out down here, I'm with ya, to be considering the prospects of snow....is a big win. Good luck to all and if this one isnt yours, maybe the next one will be as a couple shots of fun may be looming in next 2 weeks. Good enough for me.

Cant believe not a chirp about next friday's shop till ya drop...or get buried in a snow drift special. many this place IS rusty.... LFG

lol. I fully know, and chuckled, but dont want others to think less of me than they already do.... so in fear of being cancelled...."I responded appropriately"

Oh stop....I'm not that guy..... Snowmap for period in question is fun to look at.

In the spirit of thanksgiving, feels somewhat appropriate.

posted link above. Go look at the 222 thru 240 panels on GooFuS. that should get the chatter up....for the next 6 hrs. anyway.

Happy White Friday. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=eus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2024112012&fh=222