WmsptWx

"Hrrr." I'll take "Model or Constipation" for $500.

In my experience growing up in SE Huntingdon county and living in the Cumberland Valley and HBG metro, my opinion is that they have the same weather due to being within valleys. Even with ridges (Jack's/Neelyton/Fannettsburg/Kittatiny/Blue mountains) separating the Shade Gaps and Chambersburgs of the world, the valleys generally share the weather as Franklin/Adams/Cumberland/Dauphin counties. As a result, I would understand breaking Fulton/Huntingdon/Mifflin/Juniata counties up into "ridges" and "not ridges" the same way the Pittsburgh office does Fayette and Westmoreland Ridges. Those low-lying areas will likely have similar results to the LSV. So yeah, I would take that green line of yours and shift it just a tad left and tell the ridge denizens to expect worse lol

Nevermind. They went with WWAs at 3:00 lol

I think they're in between a rock and a hard place east of I-99/220 and especially the river, which is likely why the counties in the ridge and valley still in the Watch zone and the six unproducted counties are that way. They may wait until tonight and see if WWAs are more applicable for those regions. It seems to be pretty locked in, at least according to what I am seeing that all frzn precip will occur west of I-99/US 220, which prompted the upgrade.

I am warned. Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 125 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022 PAZ006-010-011-017-024-033-034-160900- /O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0002.220116T1800Z-220117T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KCTP.WS.W.0002.220116T1800Z-220117T1800Z/ Potter-Elk-Cameron-Clearfield-Cambria-Somerset-Bedford- Including the cities of Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, Emporium, DuBois, Clearfield, Johnstown, Somerset, and Bedford 125 PM EST Sat Jan 15 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 11 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph on Monday. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour possible late Sunday and Sunday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$

And if MDT gets less than 4-6 he's a model hugger.

That's half the state if you cut it like it's a PB&J and remove the crusts. The knife gets a little weird around Bunions, so I will assume we're dealing with crunch peanut butter here.

That has the mix in ****ing Kitchener.

Wow. It's raining at the SW coast of Lake Raystown there. I don't remember seeing plain rain modeled that far west in a while.

I am for that, as I believe my being close to 100 miles west would slot me in for 50 under any kind of third circling. I don't know what I'll do with 50 inches of heavy, wet snow, but it probably includes looking for a new home after my roof collapses

Yes. Maybe I will get 27 inches being in the 11 and 16 circles.

Sunday A chance of snow after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 23. Wind chill values as low as -5. Light east wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Night Snow, mainly after 7pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 20. Northeast wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. M.L.King Day Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 30. West wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

You just said you're not a scientist. Shut the **** up and let the scientists science. What do you know about how it works indoors or out? Stay in your lane fool.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzombies

Every time I see the words "cancel culture," I want to swim in a pool of flaming jet fuel and then drag my burned carcass through razor blades and salt...

Realism is good. Model hugging is bad. The Euro is the only model that has not trended towards the NAM's "I have a Nightmare" solution it seems. It's also the weather forecast guidance model of the Montreal Canadians. Yeah, we talk about 26 championships, but the last one when Jesus was still just a shitty cabinetmaker. It's time to admit it's not infallible.

A week ago I lamented that while dyslexia is the known issue within the Dave Tolleris experience, and it's what you come for, it's the autism that makes you stay.

It would. As rain.

I'll take 6-10 and being snowed in with the playoffs on. I have a decanter full of Winter Jack. I'll sign off on that graphic.

**** that's the first I saw the wind chill graphic. Time to close the window in the bedroom.

WHTM looking really ****in stupid tonight.

That's nice

If it ends up rain up this way, I'll blame myself for moving and bringing the cold rain with me lol

And if the NAM gets this one right and the Euro does, will you take your lips off the Euros zipper?