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F5TornadoF5

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Everything posted by F5TornadoF5

  1. F5TornadoF5
    2.75'', Mod snow. Just came out of a heavy snow band.
  2. F5TornadoF5
    Moderate snow. Already some mini "drifts". ~1in
  3. F5TornadoF5
    Light to moderate snow. Solid coating. Winds are fairly impressive this far away from the surface low.
  4. F5TornadoF5
    Dusting on all surfaces. Light snow falling
  5. F5TornadoF5
    CP - 8.5'' JFK - 5.5'' LGA - 7'' ISLIP - 5'' NE NJ - 10'' NW NJ - 14'' My backyard - 6.5''
  6. F5TornadoF5
    6z 6z 00z
  7. F5TornadoF5
    Looks like some slight improvement on 6z rgem compared to 00z.
  8. F5TornadoF5
    Upton now has Winter Storm Warnings for all of Suffolk County URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 347 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 NYZ078-080-179-162100- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ Northwestern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southern Nassau- 347 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Northwestern Suffolk, Southwestern Suffolk and Southern Nassau Counties. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...There is still some uncertainty with how much, if any mixing occurs Wednesday night. Snowfall amounts could be a bit lower than forecast along south coastal portions of the region if more mixing occurs. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 347 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 NYZ079-162100- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ Northeastern Suffolk- 347 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 55 mph. * WHERE...Northeastern Suffolk County. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...There is still some uncertainty with how much, if any mixing occurs Wednesday night. If more mixing occurs, snowfall amounts will be lower. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 347 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 NYZ081-162100- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ Southeastern Suffolk- 347 AM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 55 mph. * WHERE...Southeastern Suffolk County. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is still some uncertainty with how much, if any mixing occurs Wednesday night. If more mixing occurs, snowfall amounts will be lower.
  9. F5TornadoF5
  10. F5TornadoF5
  11. F5TornadoF5
    Yeah I agree, 18z had that as well. Looks like it is further south a tad on later panels.
  12. F5TornadoF5
    GFS looks similar to 18z, maybe touch cooler on back end.
  13. F5TornadoF5
    Icon, fwiw
  14. F5TornadoF5
    Cut those almost in half and that would be my forecast, specifically for our area.
  15. F5TornadoF5
  16. F5TornadoF5
  17. F5TornadoF5
  18. F5TornadoF5
    A little over a day ago, it seemed like NYC was in the sweet spot. Every model while not the jackpot totals in most runs, depicted a scenario of 12+ for most runs. Still think it could have some small surprises.
  19. F5TornadoF5
    Islip more than CP is an interesting call. Personally think they get around 3-6in and the city 4-8in.
  20. F5TornadoF5
    GFS still kind of on its own. Maybe it will score big with this storm? I doubt it but you never know.
  21. F5TornadoF5
    If you cut rgem total even in half, would result in warning criteria for a lot of the tri state area. Think most would take that in a heart beat.
  22. F5TornadoF5
    RGEM looks similar to 00z on black and white, at least surface low placement. Waiting for better images.
  23. F5TornadoF5
    Agreed, Still think most on this sub forum get more than 6in except eastern Long Island and immediate jersey shore. Front end thump looks pretty impressive. 3k front end thump on nam depiction is no joke verbatim.
  24. F5TornadoF5
    Looks like 540 is further southeast, could be my eyes playing tricks. Also, hard to tell without hours between frames. Looks more dynamic, depends on track and could drag in cool air.
  25. F5TornadoF5
    UKMET looks cooler and maybe slightly stronger? Hard to tell though.
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