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snowman21

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Everything posted by snowman21

  1. Dews in the mid-60s this time of year is 90th percentile level humidity. Average at BDL for noon on 9/18 is 54.
  2. Wonder how many sites in NNE have had their first frost. Of the 107 sites with published frost/freeze probabilities, 33 of them have passed their average first frost date based on the 1981-2010 normals.
  3. That's not what they did. They used estimates like it says "according to annual Census Bureau estimates that are not related to the official 2020 census counts. The annual estimates are based on births, deaths, construction permits and other records" and "according to new Census Bureau estimates, which do not reflect the 2020 census counts. The agency will release the final 2020 census tally in March." The article also has some incorrect information like claiming Rhode Island and Connecticut continue "longer-term [population] losses" when neither state has lost population in any census going back at least a century (https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/dec/popchange-data-text.html), so who knows what they mean by longer-term (2 years? 5? 10? 25?) or "losses". Anyway there's no point in using an article when you can go straight to the source and look at the data yourself. Furthermore it's kind of dumb to look at year over year change in a population estimate to infer some kind of trend. It would be like climate scientists using a single year of estimated temperature data to show how quickly the climate is warming.
  4. Only one blue state lost population (Illinois at -0.1%) based on last year's census. The other two that lost population were Mississippi (-0.2%) and West Virginia (-3.2%). This is the raw data directly from the Census Bureau: https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/decennial/2020/data/apportionment/apportionment-2020-tableE.xlsx. Your source is likely using intradecadal estimates and not decennial census numbers.
  5. Massachusetts is gaining population state outdoor shower laws be damned, so apparently people aren't fleeing.
  6. Most penguins live in warm climates, including near the equator.
  7. I think his point was if you look at 9/16 under the old normals published a decade ago, BDL's normal mean temp was 63.8. With the new normals put out a couple months ago by NCEI that's bumped up to 64.8 hence his comment about the increase by 1 degree.
  8. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset=normals-daily&timeframe=30&location=CT&station=USW00014740&month=8
  9. Growing season is extending in the fall by about 0.5 days per year, and Septembers overall have been warming by a steady 0.1F per year going back 35-40 years.
  10. Thanks to warmer Septembers, we don't have nice foliage here often anymore. Trees 90% foliated and a dull green color into the end of October followed by them blown off by the November nor'easters. You need cool nights to go along with decreasing insolation to help break down chlorophyll efficiently.
  11. As far as I can tell these are the latest in SNE: BDL 9/21-23/1914 BDR 8/28-9/2/1953 BOS 9/21-23/1914 ORH 9/14-16/1915 PVD 9/7-9/2015
  12. That 10-day looks pretty warm. Mostly low-80s by day and mid-60s by night. Averages over the next ten days are lows around 50 and highs 70-75. Wouldn't be Torchtember without starting every morning with a +15.
  13. The solution is to crack down on the recycling centers. The thievery will stop once the incentive no longer exists.
  14. We just got Halloween candy a couple of weeks ago. Egg nog won't be on the shelves until around Halloween. Why do you guys get it so much earlier?
  15. I was just about to post the same thing. Since last winter I'd say. Since then it's been lots of clouds, haze, fog, and smoke.
  16. You could always sanity check it with the radar estimates.
  17. You would need sustained 39+ to meet the criteria. These are just gusts into the 40s/50s which is wind advisory territory.
  18. In their full record period, BDL (last one in 2018) and BOS (last one in 2015) have had six heat waves post-8/31, ORH has had one (1915), PVD has had two (2015 and 1983), and BDR zero.
  19. Hasn't it already made landfall in RI? Looks like it on radar.
  20. Yeah I thought that last night especially west of New Haven when it was clear this thing was heading east, but figured they were keeping it in place for the surge/flooding impacts.
  21. New NHC track makes landfall in Charlestown RI.
  22. Raining in Greenwich with no wind. Guess this is the start of Henri.
  23. Guess OKX just isn't gonna bother putting out an updated forecast for tonight and tomorrow?
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