
snowman21
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Everything posted by snowman21
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October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow
snowman21 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I'd try to unload him in the off-season. He's 32 (a few years past prime for a pitcher), thrown all of 43 innings in the past two years, and despite being 18 months removed from TJ still looks nothing like the pitcher he was before. Going forward he'll be Pedro post-rotator cuff - some flashes of the pitcher he used to be, generally serviceable, but never in that top shelf elite category. Unfortunately the deal the Sox signed is Bonilla-esque. -
October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow
snowman21 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
If you want apples just go to the grocery store they have tons of apples there. Weather problem solved. -
Hey we have a Garrett who can't pitch without the spider tack too, but fortunately the Sox aren't paying theirs $325 million over the next decade.
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October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow
snowman21 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I did the HFD to DXR drive down 84 on Sunday afternoon and there was zero color in that corridor. -
Rays were 11-8 against the Sox, but hopefully we can get a couple of starts of yore out of Sale in the ALDS, and the bullpen which melted down so many times against Tampa Bay this year should be better.
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October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow
snowman21 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
It's an older crowd in here, probably a lot of folks in their 50s/60s. Eat dinner at 4:45. In bed by 8. And like it sunny and 70 (a.k.a. CoC weather). The cold makes their joints ache, and snow is just a pain in the ass for them now. Classic snowbirds. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
The quickest drop this time of year usually happens between 6 and 9 PM with clear skies and calm winds. It'll slow down after that. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
if you hit 34 wouldn't that be considered your first frost? -
What does this mean for places like Florida and Louisiana which have lots of people living in low lying areas? The Florida coast is densely populated, so do millions of people suddenly see their flood insurance premiums spike?
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
I'm not an expert on hydrology, but Oct 1st may start the year because that's when you start getting storms again that will increase water in rivers and snow in mountains which means September is the lowest point in that cycle since you've just gone through the summer and any snow from last winter/spring has melted and run off by that point. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
It's a USGS hydrology thing that CoCoRAHS keeps track of as well. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
I think this sub skews towards an older demographic, so it's not surprising how many prefer hot over cold. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
As warm as it has seemed, we're still only looking at departures of a degree or two above for the month. Also only one day of double digit departures. The month has been a very even keeled steady step down for a transition month that can have highs in the 90s followed by a morning in the 30s just a couple of weeks later. Probably thanks to lots of humidity which helps keep the range of highs and lows compressed. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Heavy rain here under that little cell along the CT-NY border. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
At noon for the 18th of September at BDL the 1981-2010 normal dew point is 53.6. 90th percentile is 66.0 and 10th percentile is 41.0. At BDR it's 55.4/68.0/42.1 respectively. For BOS it's 54.3/66.0/41.0. ORH is 51.8/64.0/37.9. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Dews in the mid-60s this time of year is 90th percentile level humidity. Average at BDL for noon on 9/18 is 54. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Wonder how many sites in NNE have had their first frost. Of the 107 sites with published frost/freeze probabilities, 33 of them have passed their average first frost date based on the 1981-2010 normals. -
That's not what they did. They used estimates like it says "according to annual Census Bureau estimates that are not related to the official 2020 census counts. The annual estimates are based on births, deaths, construction permits and other records" and "according to new Census Bureau estimates, which do not reflect the 2020 census counts. The agency will release the final 2020 census tally in March." The article also has some incorrect information like claiming Rhode Island and Connecticut continue "longer-term [population] losses" when neither state has lost population in any census going back at least a century (https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/dec/popchange-data-text.html), so who knows what they mean by longer-term (2 years? 5? 10? 25?) or "losses". Anyway there's no point in using an article when you can go straight to the source and look at the data yourself. Furthermore it's kind of dumb to look at year over year change in a population estimate to infer some kind of trend. It would be like climate scientists using a single year of estimated temperature data to show how quickly the climate is warming.
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Only one blue state lost population (Illinois at -0.1%) based on last year's census. The other two that lost population were Mississippi (-0.2%) and West Virginia (-3.2%). This is the raw data directly from the Census Bureau: https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/decennial/2020/data/apportionment/apportionment-2020-tableE.xlsx. Your source is likely using intradecadal estimates and not decennial census numbers.
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Massachusetts is gaining population state outdoor shower laws be damned, so apparently people aren't fleeing.
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September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Most penguins live in warm climates, including near the equator. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
I think his point was if you look at 9/16 under the old normals published a decade ago, BDL's normal mean temp was 63.8. With the new normals put out a couple months ago by NCEI that's bumped up to 64.8 hence his comment about the increase by 1 degree. -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset=normals-daily&timeframe=30&location=CT&station=USW00014740&month=8 -
September Discussion Thread: Bring the frost; kill the bugs.
snowman21 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Growing season is extending in the fall by about 0.5 days per year, and Septembers overall have been warming by a steady 0.1F per year going back 35-40 years. -
Thanks to warmer Septembers, we don't have nice foliage here often anymore. Trees 90% foliated and a dull green color into the end of October followed by them blown off by the November nor'easters. You need cool nights to go along with decreasing insolation to help break down chlorophyll efficiently.
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- leaf peapers
- crisp autumn nights
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