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snowman21

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Everything posted by snowman21

  1. snowman21
    Figured we were gonna get downgraded to an advisory since we can't meet the 6 in 12 or 8 in 24 requirements for a warning.
  2. snowman21
    5 inches now, tapered off for about an hour, but snowing heavily again this is probably the grand finale with the back edge of the good stuff moving through the city now.
  3. snowman21
    2.5 inches already
  4. snowman21
    Shoot 'em.
  5. snowman21
    The flakes are big and fluffy and accumulate quickly though it's relatively warm so for now paved and concrete surfaces are just wet.
  6. snowman21
    First inch down
  7. snowman21
    SNC did it today at 1755z, though that may not be an official ASOS station.
  8. snowman21
    HPN has been 1/4 mile visibility in heavy snow for three straight hours. Think they are just shy on the wind gusts though.
  9. snowman21
    This band means business. Visibility <1/4 mile at this point.
  10. snowman21
    In their discussion they said confidence wasn't high enough for three straight hours of <1/4 mile visibility and frequent wind gusts over 35. Blizzard warnings don't seem to have a high verification rate.
  11. snowman21
    Can't believe the snow is having such a tough time moving north. Almost an inch here after several hours of light snow.
  12. snowman21
    Snow has started here
  13. snowman21
    First flakes in Greenwich CT
  14. snowman21
    Public schools and some universities require proof of vaccinations to attend, so we've always had a vaccine passport.
  15. snowman21
    Getting some bigger flakes now. A steady light snow now with a little dusting on the roof.
  16. snowman21
    Very light snow beginning here.
  17. snowman21
    Very light snow here now - tiny flakes that are hard to see.
  18. snowman21
    Models kind of do this through MOS. It's not machine-learning, but they can account for their own biases in the output. If you're looking for something that knows that NAM is always too NW with low center placement in winter, well that's basically what the humans are for, and there's a published catalog of known model biases on one of the national center sites.
  19. snowman21
    Poor Philly on that snow map. From 12+ to zero.
  20. snowman21
    Some of those higher end numbers are silly because that's the only number people will remember, and for a storm that's gonna be truckin', it's gonna be tough to put down widespread totals much over a foot I think. A foot is still a lot of snow. For our state, I would probably say 6-10 or 8-12 and mention localized amounts 4 inches higher than the top number (i.e. 14 or 16).
  21. snowman21
    Connecticut is a two hour drive from Philly. You don't have to go all the way to northern New England to get in on the action.
  22. snowman21
    Virtually everyone is saying rain/snow coast right now. OKX seems in line with that thinking at this time range. You're splitting hairs on a D6 forecast that they may have just kept the default grids without wasting any time tweaking something that's going to change a bunch of times anyway.
  23. snowman21
    I believe it. Stronger winds than Isaias for about 5 minutes.
  24. snowman21
    S45G60 at Norwalk Harbor
  25. snowman21
    I think so. They should just get it over with and move to Florida. CoC, outdoor dining, and t-shirts year round!
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