snowman21

The eastern eyewall is already east of the mouth of Tampa Bay longitude wise. As someone said above, this looks to make landfall between Sarasota and Venice in the next hour or so.

929 mb / 145 mph as of 8 AM EDT update

Looks like the new forecast takes it up to 185G225 at 6z tomorrow before the weakening trend begins.

925 mb / 160 mph on the 11:55 EDT update.

Yes. Sorry, 155 mph max sustained.

933 mb / 155 mph as of 11 AM

Looks like as soon as it crossed 92°W around 13z it turned due east.

First frost is the first low temperature at or below 36°F.

Average first frost date at BDL was 9/30 from the 1971-2000 normals, 10/4 in the 1981-2010 normals, and now 10/6 with the 1991-2020 set, so a shift of 6 days later over the last 20 years. Probably similar pattern at every station.

Enjoy that extra month of growing season if you're in northern New England I guess.

The ASOS record began in 1996 and exists primarily for air traffic safety. For example, if the RVR, vis, CHI, wind, or pressure sensor (especially class 1 stations if any still exist) goes bad, it's getting addressed pretty quickly. If a temp, hum, or precip sensor drifts, it'll get fixed whenever because it's not critical to aviation. A lot of the disputes here are less about siting and more about suspicious measurements. The climate record even at the first order sites are mostly stitched together through time anyway using nearby stations and differing equipment since the climate records go back before airports.

ASOS isn't really there for climate record keeping, so if a temp or humidity sensor goes wonky no one cares if it's close enough which is problematic for people that care about the integrity of the climate record.

Meteorologists can't even figure out what's gonna happen in 6 hours let alone 2 weeks. 3 PM NWS forecast for tonight: mostly clear. 6 PM NWS forecast: mostly cloudy. LOL. No one has a clue. You could go back to last Sunday's forecasts that showed partly cloudy/sunny forecasts for this past week and we all know how that worked out.

Front just came through... there goes the taste of spring.

Feels like spring this morning waking up to fog and 56°.