CentralNC
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Everything posted by CentralNC
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Thanks! As you can tell, it's a nervous forum down here as we have had the rug pulled out from under us too many times!
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Alright who's going to get dry-slotted?
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is this 12K NAM?
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Anything goes in the sanitarium!
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I agree with them in Triangle but not Forsyth and Guilford
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Seriously...hopefully the coordinate tomorrow. My money is on GSP!
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Wow what a difference in AFD between RAH and GSP. Not unusual. RAH will play catch up like they always do.
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I guess they love playing catch-up. They are right about the amount of uncertainty though.
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That deform band with that storm was the heaviest snow I have seen in 28 years at my current location.
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Thank you voice of reason...
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At least Tim will hype when it's time to hype...unlike Lanie Pope...
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Yes, obviously going to be a huge storm but everyone has to keep in mind there WILL be some aspect of the storm not modeled correctly. Cold air, timing, track, phase. Something will throw curveballs. I think we all have learned to cast a weary eye at the clowns. Not trying to damper but we have seen it so often.
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1000% agree. If this was Friday I might throw it out but still too far out to throw any solutions out.
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Although an outlier at this point, don't think we can totally dismiss it.
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Could we be dealing with GFS cold bias?
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Well it's a distinct possibility. I would worry a lot about IP/ZR however. Back end thump may be nice though.
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And that storm was tremendously underforecasted by the NWS. I know Bastardi gets ripped on here a lot but he was on local radio at the time and really stepped out calling for 6-10 inches and was the ONLY one doing so but as you can see from the graphic the sharp cutoff was really close. Gonna be some hearts breaking on this one. Good thing we have the sanitarium!
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Sub 1040 will still get the job done up my way.
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Bastardi has been saying that for days...even though he does that on every storm. I think he's right this time.
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You should. Most likely a snow-to-sleet-to-snow scenario for us in the western piedmont.
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Happens every time.
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Agree 100%
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Setup reminds me a little of Dec 2009 http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20091218/
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I am thinking North.
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Prepare for a snow-to-sleet-to-snow scenario in the Piedmont
