CentralNC

Dude - in Kville? You are going to get more than mulch covered. Give it time.

Also upper level lows are known to do this...

41, cloudy, wind calm here

RAH going 2-4 for Forsyth which sounds pretty safe at this distance NCZ021-080900- Forsyth- Including the city of Winston-Salem 317 PM EST Thu Jan 7 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...Snow with a chance of rain after midnight. Snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. .FRIDAY...Snow. Total snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Cooler. Near steady temperature in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with snow with a chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy with a chance of snow after midnight. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Cold with lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as cool with highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear, cold with lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s. Lows in the mid 20s. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. .TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.

GSP pretty bullish in afternoon disco for mtns, foothills and NW piedmont

Thanks man! We are living on the edge as usual!

Good post. In fairness to DT, who I like to criticize, his first guess maps are usually inflated like you said but he does a good job of realizing his mistakes and makes major changes to later calls. I've been dinged too many times by his early calls in my area that are way too high. I've learned....

Bingo.

DT is off his fooking rocker on that map.

Still a lot up in the air. They will expand as necessary this evening or even tomorrow morning.

That looks very reasonable.

Don't blame them for being conservative. Marginal temps mean accumulations will be hard to come by. Screw zone and bust potential pretty big on this one as it is with most of these ULLs.

RAH with nice write up tonight. Sounds like they might be upping totals https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=RAH&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off

Robert (WxSouth) honking pretty loud on FB FWIW

I consider Friday the start of the weekend, so weekend rule in effect!

We look forward to your updates!

Brandon - what do you think about the NW piedmont triad area?

Yeah NAM treatin me right so far here in the western piedmont

Which model?

Cut them at least in half when dealing with marginal temps.

I'm with ya. Remember it well.

Still I have seen that kind of wording before and will sit there and ride 31/32 at my location for a couple more hours than they anticipate.

"everyone" is a big group but I would think anyone north and west of I-85 will see at least a little sleet. But this is predominately a ZR scenario outside of the mtns.

I think we end up with high-end nuisance event for us here in the Triad. My location usually does pretty well with these....depending on the dry slot.