wxeyeNH

Here up at Newfound Lake we have a closed facebook group of around 3000 members. During interesting times I post a weather forecast for the area since Ch 9 WMUR is the NH affiliate and their forecasts are geared to S NH 60 miles south of here. People always complain they are wrong since we are at a higher elevation 570 feet to 1900 feet locally. I am usually more accurate than them because I get input from this group and my weather knowledge. This morning I'm getting lots of requests for my ideas as what will happen. I have been hesitant as a few weeks ago the models were over zealous with a heavy wet snow that really didn't happen because we didn't have the rates. I got to post something. I'm thinking of a couple/few inches of wet snow overnight not sticking to pavement. Only .30" or so of qpf Main takeaway is the cold and wind tomorrow with passing rain and snow showers and freezes at night over the weekend. Any thoughts? I'm 20 miles NNW of Dendrite.

Jeez, 18Z Euro. Seems like I'm in the bullseye qpf as the strip runs SW to NE. Temps drop to 30F. Quite the May storm for me *if* this run verified. Still 48 hours out and lots of time for change. 975mb storm in Gulf of Maine. Impressive for this late in the season

It didn't work out too well a couple of weeks ago when it was marginally cold enough but we never had good rates.

Nightime event, my elevation are positives. May 6th is late but certainly not unheard of in Central NH. My climate probably runs 2 weeks behind metro Boston

NAM run brings heavy snow into Dendriteland. I'm done and don't need power issues. Trees just leafing out

This would be a nightime storm which makes the odds of it happening higher. There is no leafout here in NNE but how much of the forest canopy would be in leaf by Friday in SNE? That would make this much worse...Still much can change but the chance of someone seeing frozen in NE seems over 50% even with a weaker or shifting storm track.

12Z GFS Wow for New England if this happens

Beautiful May 5th morning. 37F gusty wind and mostly cloudy. Reminds me of the first real fall cold fronts with quick blowing Cu coming down from the NW. I see Alex and Franconia Notch got some snow earlier. Late week looks interesting. Snow for some? Forest canopy still bare here but ready to open. Going to be a late leafout in this pattern. Such is life in NNE Picture from the top of Cannon Mt this AM

Have not paid much attention to the weather lately. I knew just a cool cloudish week up here. But ouch on the 18Z GFS! Birch bender for sure especially with leaf out begining. Probably a 20% chance of happening.

I'm sorry. He probably promised more snow. Now you get the nice weather. As the country is 95F with a 70F dew you will be comfortable in the 70's.

Noon April 30th 39.3F Light rain NICE

This is a great idea.

It's about May 1rst. Time for a Warm NNE thread. Grass is turning green and the first forsythia is turning yellow in our area. I'll start out the thread with a picture of a bluebird which I just took outside. We put out bird houses a few years ago and the opening size seem perfect for them. Each year they have chicks and the bluebird population is increasing on our property. I had never seen one when we lived in the Boston area.

Last night I received about 1/4" to 1/2" of snow. I'll go with the 1/4" that puts me at 76.25" for the 2019/20 snow season. My guess is this about average for me. It seemed like I had less since there were many more frequent thaws between snowfalls. Many times this season it seemed the rain/snow line was just south of me. I am sure Concord NH had much less and it's only 35 to 40 miles south. Time for a quick greenup. Forest canopy is 100% bare and within a month from now will be in full leaf. Spring and falls seem short up here as compared to when I lived in Baltimore and then Boston. That makes sense as you move poleward on the planet as daylight increases and decreases much faster than periods further south.

37.3F Light rain on and off most of the day. Slowly changing back to light snow now

Was a bust here for snow. Expected at least 2-3" sloppy inches 36.6F Light rain mixed at times with a few mangled flakes .50" rain About 1/4" of snow last night. Low dropped to 32.7F Looking up at the ridge behind the house it looks snow stuck to trees at the 1500 level. Ground white up there.

42.7/26 Heavy virga. I really expected heavier precipitation by this time of the evening. Just watching endless virga. Occasionally the mountain ridge tops will become obscured in precip and then visibility increases again. Just can't seem to precipitate very hard. We have had a few sleet showers over the past couple of hours. Is this going to be a big bust?

47/21 Precip just started as sleet

Nam really cuts back qpf here. Very little happens this evening on this run. Every model run is so different. Dews sure dropped 48.7/18. Noticing visibility well to my SW is dropping. Kearsarge and closer ridge lines still below virga levels.

Just started snowing on the Killington webcam (2pm) https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-cam

Your about the same as me. 52.3/28. This is the time I would be having the family argument . Please can't we just stay till tomorrow? Other half. Let's get out of here before any bad weather!

OceanSt, how come you didn't go with a WWA for Grafton County NH? Lots of elevated areas. Most of the population is on the east side of the county.

12Z GFS is much better for CNE and NNE

Matt and Danielle really cherish their privacy and time with their kids. I was cleaning brush along our wall and in front of his driveway yesterday and could see through the woods they were in the yard. I just hesitate to be too neighborly and walking up the driveway to say hi or to ask Matt what he thinks.

50.5/29 I don't know what to think. My neighbor who lives 300 feet higher than me has a long steep driveway and messaged me an hour ago and asked me if he should spend time and hitch his plow. I told him if he can hunker in till Wed PM all should melt off of his asphalt driveway but 32/33F snow is heavy and greasy. I put my snowblower away and will just let it melt. If I'm to guess I'm thinking 3 or 4" for me??? Wonder how much qpf I'll waste getting temp down?