wxeyeNH

69/67 Light rain. Wind sustained 17 gusting to 39mph Out of nowhere big first gust came through 39mph.

Were there leaves on the trees? A 45mph gust with a bare tree verses a wet leaf tree is very different

For all the people posting pictures of a leaf down just wait.

Okay, I'm an old timer, 63 years old and have been through so many New England TC's since the early 1960's. My takeaway is that it seems Meh on the right side but just wait. It will roar later. I've never gotten a weenie tag yet and will be happy to receive many tomorrow when you tell me "I told you so".

The problem with this environment is by the time the warning goes out and people look at their phones and decide what to do the spinup is 25 miles downstream. Brief spins are so hard to predict and then act on the prediction

1 million without power now

Brother in Ocean City MD says lots of damage to awnings, chairs thrown around, trash in the streets. He is on the 3rd floor of the hotel and says that water from the pool is blowing 3 stories up to their balcony. He's a 50 year old doctor not a kid making this up. Just wait till later. Big wind coming

Watching SW. Heavy shower just past west. Here is a 15 sec timelapse of past hour https://video.nest.com/clip/3e2fa1cd60bc46f3afa887b04fcc58e0.mp4

Totally different. Bob went east. My brother just texted from Ocean City MD. Crazy strong winds on the backside now Very dark just to my west. I'm watching a shelf cloud to my west but moving NNE, right on the edge of these heavy downpours

Just like Hurricane Bob which I remember well, very little rain to the east of track but the wind became insane for awhile. I remember most of the leaves on the trees turning brown on the Cape Cod east of the track with so much salt air

Brian, does the LLJ being a bit more east bring stronger winds into Central NH?

930am 68/65 Light rain calm wind

Dumbing down and translating this to English I think you are saying these crazy winds will probably not happen up here to any great extent

Need some advice from the Mets please. The Euro has been consistent in bringing a core of very strong gusts through the NW Lakes Region of NH. It actually intensifies the core as it moves north just east of the Conn Valley. Im at a high elevation with a south exposure. I rarely gust over 40 and my all time high in a winter cold front is 61mph. That did a lot of damage. Is this core of winds even remotely possible. Euro says 80-90mph gusts. I don't believe that but even 60 would be very strong

Wow on some of these wind gusts. Depending on models I see 50-60mph up here. Euro gust product has a core of 80-90mph going through NH. Don't believe that but this hurricane is going to go down as one of the big boys. Under hyped in the media. With such widespread damage and Covid protocols some may be without power for a long time. Sit back and seatbelts on for me up here. Hoping for 1" of rain

83 to 96 knots

Oh, I agree on that. Even if there was a swath of stations reported gusts to 60mph there would be widespread power outages. Not often do you see gusts in the 50's except in a isolated severe thunderstorm. If this comes up the east coast with population centers on the right side there is going to be major problems. Power crews might be very busy for a large area. I firmly believe this storm is going to overproduce compared to what many people are thinking. I don't think I have ever honked so loud on this board.

You really don't think a core of very strong winds on the east side are going to rapidly come up the coast? I just can't tell if your serious or not?

Recon 985.5 if Im reading it right

I can't determine yet if the TS Watch for interior NNE was changed to a Warning like SNE was earlier today.

Surprised no upgrade. Do they have to wait for science based evidence before making an upgrade? Maybe politically so? If they ever upgraded and then it was crying wolf situation it would not be good for the NHC.

If that were actually to verify it would make Isaias a very big deal. A 55-80mph gust area this large would bring a huge amount of power problems. Unlike so many storms where the hype far exceeds the harm this could be reversed. Usually we have a decaying slow moving TC coming up the coast or interacting with a September airmass. This would be an intensifying storm with a trough yanking it poleward and going west of New England. Maybe my weenism is getting hold of me this afternoon. Hold on for quite a ride over the next 36 hours!?!

If it is upgraded at 5pm to a hurricane (which would be my guess) can they super impose a hurricane watch over a tropical storm warning for areas up the coast? Don't know if that can be done?

They knew this afternoon would be the critical period, would it get it's act together at the last moment as some models suggested so just wonder how they can have a 4-6 hour gap at the most important time?

Just saw on the tropical thread on the main board that no recon going in till 730pm? That seems nuts with a 5pm important advisory coming out as it approaches the east coast and seems to be getting it's act together.