wxeyeNH

Yeah, run after run. If this came to fruition, we would not have strong high pressure in the northeast, so depending on the interaction with the trof perhaps we can get some rain up here? I noted the water temperature in Caribbean and much of the Gulf is still quite a bit above normal. Climatically it is really uncommon to get a hurricane to hit the US in November but I wonder how much on average the ocean in that area cools per week this time of year? What I'm trying to say is 1C above normal like turning back the ocean clock temperature a week or even two?

Do you see what I see? 10/20/2024 Newfound Lake

Peak day in my hood. The latest peak I have ever seen. Light winds and no heavy precipitation kept many of the leaves on the maples, allowing the oaks to peak at the same time.

Beautiful day in the White Mountains.

It's nice to see the White Mountains snow capped with the foliage at peak here. This picture came up on my FB feed. PF took this 4 years ago today?

Speaking of webcams, Loon has finally installed one near their summit. So now besides MWN we have live cams at the top of Cannon, Loon and Waterville Valley. That gives me a good idea as to what is going on in the Whites.

24.5F summit of MWN with snow. Live webcam shows lots of people still up there. The auto road must be slick. Also snowing on the summit of Cannon at 4000 feet.

Not a great look for hurricane weary people but still way out there. High pressure blocks the out to sea route

Of course just a few years earlier in 1977 the big May 9th snow

Fun fact. Before many of you were born I believe Oct 5 or 6ht 1982 we had 3-4" in Worcester County and snow was in the air all the way down to the suburbs of DC

Hum, the GFS has been forecasting a tropical disturbance to form in a week or so and with strong high pressure over the US it drives anything that would form to go west into Mexico. For the first time in many runs the high pressure over the US is not as strong with weakening in the Midwest. This allows the disturbance to gain enough latitude that it gets into the GOM. Just something to watch.

No power here since 10:30am. We have the Jackery solar genny so it is making plenty of power with the bright sun

Thanks Scott. I figured it was passed. There are going to be long lines of cars going over the Kanc and through the notches this weekend that will be disappointed. The wind post fropa will take most of the leaves down that remain. We are not quite peak here in the NW lakes region of NH. Usually my peak is Oct 17th but with wind tomorrow and then rain perhaps today is as good as we get.

Friday afternoon question... Is the foliage past peak in the Whites? It looks like it would be and this weekend's weather looks extreme at altitude. Lots of people coming up to hike and not prepared for the extreme cold, high winds and icy/snow shower conditions. Perhaps Sunday night and Monday the first snow high up?

On and off the next 24 to 36 hours I guess. Check www.spaceweather.com for more info

Very bright Aurora. Even through clouds. Overhead, west and northeast 7:15pm

How much of this is real vs the center moving closer into radar views?

Amazing live TV in Ft Myers. They caught a confirmed tornado passing by a traffic cam.

Hurricane hunters have reported large flocks of birds in the eye. They got stuck from the Yucatan. They are exhausted and will try to land once the circulation goes over Florida. Be on the lookout for them

My 77 year old sister-in-law lives at her 1970s house in Bradenton, Florida. 5 miles inland, 19 feet above sea level. She is staying no matter what I tell her. She even has family in Sanford FL in a new house but she will not go. I did get her to put her car in her garage. It is what it is.

The chances of this happening are probably 1% but could you imagine if this fantasy time frame GFS ever came to fruition? Three huge hurricanes within one month. Heartache, cost and politics...

I'm looking for that ENE turn to begin. I would thought it would have started by now. If the hurricane were to stay south of the projected path I would assume that increases the chances of a landfall slightly further south? Thoughts?

12Z GFS Landfall about 2 or 3 miles south of 06Z position. Southern Tampa Bay 972mb vs 968mb 6Z

I'm trying to visualize what it would look like meteorologically if you were in the middle of a 4nm eye? Wind blowing 175 miles an hour in opposite directions only a couple miles to either side of you. It wouldn't even look like CuB all around you as the towers would be too close. Just a pinhole of clear skies overhead with darkness and noise all around? I assume such a small eye has never been witnessed. There are pictures within Michael's eye near Mexico Beach but the eye was much bigger. 4nm is amazingly small!

i assume this plane will have to finish it's mission soon so we may not know how low it goes before it bombs out. I don't see another plane en route.