wxeyeNH

Here you go. GFS goes out further but there is no real snow after hour 240 so it is a side by side comparison. (Note the crazy amounts down in the Mid Atlantic on the Euro)

Hum Euro? just your average 967mb low coming through New England at hour 160. Both Euro and GFS have crazy snow amounts coming up for NNE

Just for total fun here is the total Kuchera snowfall for today's GFS run. Cut it in half with a 1:10 ratio. After a quiet January synoptic wise it looks like we are going into an active pattern with all kinds of possible outcomes. J Spin, PF, Phin and Alex have 50" plus totals

18Z Euro continues the trend of intensifying the storm in the Gulf of Maine. Down now to 979mb. Throws back alot of precip. Kuchera clown maps are nuts. Seems the jack is around Phin south to Eastern NH. Over 2 feet. I know they are over done but a nice storm.

Phin, it always seems to exaggerate the upslope and downslope qpf. Euro is much better in my opinion for the mountainous areas. In general Plymouth NH is a bit of a snow hole with the Whites to the northeast

Reggie has me over 30" and GFS gives me under .25" of qpf!

Maybe someone has already posted this but this is impressive. Winter Storm Warnings for the entire NE population centers.

Question for you guys. Here is the 12Z GFS qpf output. It seems the GFS always way over does upslope and downslope regions. Heck it gives me less than .25" for this storm. The Euro is much more evened out with precip. How much does the GFS over enhance? Lots of have's and have nots. Clear day going but cirrus slowly moving north on the southern sky. The old time meteorologists use to call this a weather breeder day

The last many days i thought the low would mostly spin out south of me and I would get some rotting snow this far north. It will be ironic if C NH is in the jack zone. Better ratios up here and now the Euro puts Dendriteland in the goods.

Just saw this. Ha. I live in a 230 year old house. From time to time a mouse gets in. With 3 cats it doesn't last long. It's funny but mice don't bother me but roaches do. When I lived in a apartment building in Boston just out of college the building had roaches. I read someplace that they crave dark moist areas and that in slums they sometimes go up people's noses or in their mouths when sleeping. That freaked me out. Mice, spiders, snakes, no problem. With a roach I'm outta there!

I call it glaciated snow. It takes a lot of energy to melt it off. One 40F of sunny weather can melt away 6" of fluff but once it goes threw it's melting and refreezing cycles it is very, very durable. A cutter does not easily melt it easily either. In the begining of April you can make a vertical cut in it and see the different layers from the many storms over the winter. That is why once you get a durable pack like this your good until spring. Once we get into April there will be big disparities between south facing sunny slope and north facing shady ones. Snow pack is great but once you get to May 1rst and still have snow and bare trees it starts getting old. I'm getting off track but I find that I run about 3 weeks later in the spring season than my folks in Pikesville. I bet your at least a month later than your place down there. I'll get a call from my folks in Metro Baltimore saying the trees are almost fully leafed out while it is still bare up here. April is spring down there while May is our spring month. Black flies are a whole other discussion!

Looking beyond the early week storm things don't look too bad for winter weather next weekend. Many different possibilities. For those of us that missed the upslope event it sure has been a quiet January. So whatever happens a week from now looks at least interesting to watch. We are almost getting to the time that the solar insolation is strong enough to start heating the interior of your car or eating away at snowbanks even if the air temperature is well below freezing.

You need a Nest Cam so you can rewind and see what is going on! Just looked on Google. Coyote? Step in the right direction for NNE the storm early next week. I think the Maine guys have gotten the worst shaft this winter

It's now 2 hours later and I see the pair of deer in the woods. Escaped this time!

I don't want to look past the Monday/Tuesday event. Even if we get a cutter it will probably be just a reset of some sorts. CAD is so good at my place that I usually just stay in the 30's. This year I just have so little snowcover that it won't take much to melt although most is glaciated and water logged. This morning I was sitting in my sunroom looking out on the pastures and 2 deer ran by and a coyote in hot pursuit. The Nest Cam caught the chase. Don't know how it ended. Deer can run pretty quick through a few inches of snow. Here is the video. The deer and coyote come in from the left. By the way my steep south slope is chewed up because we had 32 turkeys yesterday digging for grass. This is the place that always has the least snow. https://video.nest.com/clip/079c432e07fb428d891593d6f0e25432.mp4

-1.4F was the low. Dusting of snow overnight. Snow cover is only 3 or 4" since I was shafted in the last event.

12F Temps dropping nicely. Mostly clear under a full moon but have light flurries. With arctic air it seems like it wants to snow even if there are no clouds to speak of

Impressive Euro run. energy rejuvenates low and at least east portions of NNE get in on the action but we are still days and days out and many many model runs to go.

Newfound had huge areas suitable for skating yesterday but last night snow ended that. More light snow and showers will screw it up even further for this weekend. Going to be bitter on the lakes especially Saturday

Wow, nice 12Z Euro run for next week. Good way to end a cold blast with a nice slow system.

Do I get the booby prize? Ta da! 1"

Newfound is half frozen over. The bays have ice that was great for skating but now are covered with about an inch of snow. Winnisquam is probably shallower and froze earlier. Friday and Saturday will be in the single numbers so the ice will thicken. Lake Winn has a forum with info for the lakes over there. Maybe get more info with that of a FB group? Have fun and dress warm

On a lighter note, 32 turkeys are enjoying about the only grass they will find within a mile of my house. The south facing steep part of the lawn has just a bit of grass. Otherwise it's a tough ice and snow covered landscape. Hope they can enjoy the pickins quickly as things will probably get covered up tomorrow

I was going through old files today and found the attached letter from back in the 1980's. I lived in Metro Boston at the time and was friends with some of the on air met's like Barry Burbank over at Channel 4, Mark Rosenthal over at 5 and Harvey Leonard and Todd Gross at Ch 7. Todd seemed to be the one that was always on the cutting edge of technology. Other than TV or radio there was no way to get weather information unless you worked in the field. Todd setup this hotline as outlined in this letter. Todd was the one that introduced me to the new thing called the internet. Phone lines were the only way to get online back then unless yo went to internet cafes. I remember going down to Harvard Square and using Webcrawler one of the first internet search engines. It was amazing to find dozens of links for weather information. Before the current forums there were "usenet" groups. Todd formed one called ne.weather. Then came Eastern Weather and years later American Weather. Those of you who are young just don't realize how little information there was. When I was in collage I interned at the National Weather Service at BWI. That was in 1978. Even at the National Weather Bureau as it was called back then there was no radar, no satellite and just rudimentary weather models like the LFM that came over on dyefax machines.

Alex, just a beautiful (cold) sunny day over this way. Even looking north towards Franconia Notch was mostly sunny. The is the only downside of living where you do weatherwise is that on a NW flow you seem to clear out last. Much more cloudiness, even in summer. Hum, maybe this week I can score more snow than you. Have a good week.