wxeyeNH

Wow

Snow totals are going to be extremely hard to measure with this storm. People are going to be posting all kinds of wild numbers. I was 13 years old in 1969. I think that was what was called the 100 hour storm. Us kids were able to walk up to the roof of our school building while other areas had bare grass. (Wayland) Drifting was huge.

Ray, how about wind gusts? A 960mb system bombing out must be able to bring in some huge gusts? 1978 was a 984mb storm but had a stronger high pressure to our west/north

The NAM run was just such a thing of beauty. I doubt it will happen as shown but just savor this moment. You wait years to see something like this. The GFS will bring us down a few notches....but if this NAM run were to verify Saturday afternoon Eastern Mass would be around 15, wind gusts over 65 (if my Weatherbell wind gust product is correct) with extremely heavy snow. That would be about as close to a blizzard as we are ever going to get.

Ray, I thought you were on crack yesterday with your forecast. Hope this trends holds for you.

Is this true? Is there evidence the GFS follows the trend of the FV-3?

I have lived in Central NH for 32 years. Last winter was mild. This is more like winters of old, just not much snow.

Just woke up. Took a quick look at the gfs. East. Didn't look at anything else.

18Z Kuchie Clowns Euro vs Nam

Oy...it is the 84 hour NAM but I'm looking for the nearest cliff especially up here. Wouldn't it be ironic if this wiffed for everyone?

I will take my .02" up here and run. I don't see anything exciting with this run. Guess I'm a Debbie for up here. What a storm if this tracked thru the cancel. Still time but I don't like the trends

Nice system to be watching. I have finally learned that when the media broad brushes Central NH they never include the down sloping from the Whites. Plymouth south into my area around Newfound Lake seems to do better in SWFEs. I'm behind in snow totals for the season and not expecting more than 8" even if the system comes closer.

I just wanted to catch up and went through the last many pages to get some Met or semi pro thoughts. With so much being posted in this thread that is not really storm related or "weenie" posts maybe a new post could be made for just the serious analysis of what could be a historic storm. I am not sure how it could be monitored but just a thought?

Biggest Euro run of our lives (until 1am tonight) Hold Serve? Go East? Go West? If it comes in at 955mb on benchmark with a capture media will really start to honk

Here is a comparison of 12Z and 18Z GFS qpf

Just using the Weatherbell site, the GFS for Plymouth NH 12Z 1.32" 18Z .21"

12Z Euro

Euro much weaker. Only 954mb vs 946mb.

Just checked 946mb Long Island

I have a couple of questions. Just went through all the posts to see if someone already asked. What is the deepest cyclone in mb at the latitude of the Cape/Boston? Would the Euro 946mb be a record? Sure would seem like it. Blizzard of 78 was 984mb (I think) but a stronger high out west. What has been the steepest pressure gradient over New England for a winter storm?

Hum, I am not sure what I am seeing in this picture. I took it yesterday mid morning from my house looking SW towards Ragged Mtn. It was still very cold down below and it looks like there was a weak inversion. The "cloud" at the base of Ragged was there for awhile and changed shapes. It almost looks like their snowmaking guns were producing snow that was drifting down the mountain and settling near where the lodge would be. Any guesses? Edit: I really zoomed in. Perhaps they were just taking advantage of the -10F and making snow along the trails at the base of the mountain

You guys get all the fake snow! So much fluff that you can measure 8" that is half air. We need to handicap anyone north of the NH notches and the Greens. My stuff has staying power.

I just updated my snow amounts. 26" That is pretty pathetic for 1/22. At least this winter we are getting the zero nights. The GFS keeps trying to get a huge coastal next weekend. Some runs have been out to sea and others close off well south. A Georgia or Carolina blizzard?

Alex is already down to -8.5F https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNHCARRO4

18Z Hour 210. 958mb Nantucket Should we lock it in? Last run was a 30" blizzard for Georgia.