wxeyeNH

With this storm it is the wind I am worried about. Our house has an unlimited horizon view to the southwest and west south west. Being at 1100 feet the wind may really roar if it mixes down. Our power source comes over our mountain so I am preparing for a long power loss. We can heat by wood but people that rely on electric to run their furnace might be in trouble with temperatures dropping to below 10F and staying in the teens for a couple of days. Our snowcover is down to 12". We might get a quick inch or two at the begining but it will be interesting to see if we lose all of it. Whatever is left will be like a glacier like. All and all it will be interesting storm for sure up here. More interesting to me than a run of a mill all snow event.

Interesting tibbit with this system. The arctic front just went through Dillon Montana. The temperature went from 27F to 1F within three minutes. That is nuts.

Alex, I'm guessing you will be fine as far as flooding is concerned. It is a quick 12 hour warm sector then within an hour or two back into the deep freeze. I think the snowpack at elevation can absorb the heavy rain before it gets down to the river. With a flash freeze there is going to be a lot of ice around. Ski areas are going to have to work fast making snow or the trails will be hard and fast for sure.

My pack is down to 14". Whatever is left will be a glacier cover. Tough for deer and animals to dig through. I had not been down my hill since our 19" the other day. Much less snow down below. In Plymouth today there was even some grass showing. Looks like some roaring south winds up here.

Alex. That is a good question. The highest wind gust I have ever recorded on my Davis station is 61mph. That brought down a lot of trees around here but we have lots of big maples, ash and oak. Up in your area I think there is a lot of small spruce trees that are built for wind and snow. With your funneling effect maybe you do get that kind of wind but it is very rare that I have seen actual 60mph gusts on the official ASOS reporting stations. Of course a heavy wet snow or ice storm is worse. Long story short is I don't know?

Below are the maximum wind gusts forecasted (Weatherbell products) from the EC and GFS. GFS is a bit faster but you get the idea of the speeds as they pass through. I don't believe we will widespread 60-70mph gusts like the GFS is showing. When was the last time that happened? but does anyone remember the last time we had a 970mb low just NW of New England? I am curious as to anyone's thoughts? One thing is for sure, if there is widespread outages it is going to be a cold Christmas for many.

After the snowstorm the other day it has been perfect icicle growing weather. Near freezing during the day and 20s at night. With the Christmas lights on in our sunroom and the snow outside it looks like a movie set.

Friday is setting up to be a travel nightmare, especially for the airlines. This is the 12Z GFS wind gust map. Chicago and the big east coast cities getting blasted, and heavy precip too. Lots of stranded Christmas passengers.

Yes, love my Mustang Mache!

Just got in from 2 hours of snow blowing, clearing the cars, walks. I'll make a deal with someone. Next time it looks like another 20"er up here and one of you guys wants to experiencing it, we have 2 spare bedrooms. Stay over, enjoy the storm but the deal is you have to go out and do storm cleanup!

Just woke up to a winter wonderland. 31.7F Light snow My big 5 foot snow stake in the field is just under 18". The smaller stake in the back yard which is open to the sky but sheltered from any drifting is around 20" The first part of the storm had temperatures around 29F but it slowly crept up to 31.9F during the night with a much wetter snow. Down to 31.7F

31F Light snow. My snow stake is plastered but it looks like we are in the 10-11" range.

30.8F Light snow 10" The temperature has been slowly inching up all day. This is my high.

3:15pm Moderate snow 30.2F (highest of the day) 9" Good snow growth all day

29.9F S- Euro has increased qpf to 1.60" for me. This is going to be an over achiver up here. I really didn't expect more than 7 to 10". Hopefully for the SNE posters next week will be their turn although with Christmas travel will be a nightmare.

29.7F S+BS 7.5" Heavy snow this morning, then a lull to very light stuff. Now vis 1/8. Good snow growth

962mb right over BOS

965 at the Jersey Shore, looks to go over/around BOS

GFS has the storm. Going to be further west. Hour 174 at Cape Hatteras

SN+ 28.5" 6" This band produced very heavy snow. Going into lull soon.

28.2 SN 4" Temperature is a couple of degrees colder than I figured so this is a fairly dry snow with some blowing and trees are clear of snow.

If the models continue to show this solution for the next few days the media is going to pick it up and go wild with it since it coincides with Christmas travel. Then watch..... things don't phase as shown and this ends up being much weaker or develop well out to sea and being a nothing burger. Mets will have egg on their face. I wish this was 4 or 5 days out and not 7. I will say (if I remember correctly) the big epic storms like 78 or 1993 were forecasted well in advance I believe since so many models were honking days before the event.

Crazy GFS. It had the storm, then lost it the last couple runs. Now a 960mb just SE of the BM. Crazy swings.

The upslope and downslope of the mountains is so interesting. It differs so much in short distances. Down here about 15 miles south of the Whites Plymouth and to a lesser extent me gets shadows on the NE flow. At the same time I do fantastic in CAD situations. Many times my warmest temps are right after fropa when mixing sets in.

12Z NAM is probably overdone but what a juicy run.