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Everything posted by wxeyeNH
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Looking at the 12Z GFS for snow. No snow through 384 hours.
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Thanks! The other thing and we talked about it a long while ago is I wished the NWS could have stripe colored lines or some way for the public to look on the main page and see multiple advisories, watches warnings in a given area. For instance right now if you look on the map it is just shaded for the wind advisory for much of NH but not for the flood watch which is in effect too. I still have 12" of snow on the ground and with 2" of water inbound that may cause it's own problems
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With this storm it is the wind I am worried about. Our house has an unlimited horizon view to the southwest and west south west. Being at 1100 feet the wind may really roar if it mixes down. Our power source comes over our mountain so I am preparing for a long power loss. We can heat by wood but people that rely on electric to run their furnace might be in trouble with temperatures dropping to below 10F and staying in the teens for a couple of days. Our snowcover is down to 12". We might get a quick inch or two at the begining but it will be interesting to see if we lose all of it. Whatever is left will be like a glacier like. All and all it will be interesting storm for sure up here. More interesting to me than a run of a mill all snow event.
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Alex, I'm guessing you will be fine as far as flooding is concerned. It is a quick 12 hour warm sector then within an hour or two back into the deep freeze. I think the snowpack at elevation can absorb the heavy rain before it gets down to the river. With a flash freeze there is going to be a lot of ice around. Ski areas are going to have to work fast making snow or the trails will be hard and fast for sure.
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Alex. That is a good question. The highest wind gust I have ever recorded on my Davis station is 61mph. That brought down a lot of trees around here but we have lots of big maples, ash and oak. Up in your area I think there is a lot of small spruce trees that are built for wind and snow. With your funneling effect maybe you do get that kind of wind but it is very rare that I have seen actual 60mph gusts on the official ASOS reporting stations. Of course a heavy wet snow or ice storm is worse. Long story short is I don't know?
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Below are the maximum wind gusts forecasted (Weatherbell products) from the EC and GFS. GFS is a bit faster but you get the idea of the speeds as they pass through. I don't believe we will widespread 60-70mph gusts like the GFS is showing. When was the last time that happened? but does anyone remember the last time we had a 970mb low just NW of New England? I am curious as to anyone's thoughts? One thing is for sure, if there is widespread outages it is going to be a cold Christmas for many.
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After the snowstorm the other day it has been perfect icicle growing weather. Near freezing during the day and 20s at night. With the Christmas lights on in our sunroom and the snow outside it looks like a movie set.
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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
wxeyeNH replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yes, love my Mustang Mache! -
Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
wxeyeNH replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Just got in from 2 hours of snow blowing, clearing the cars, walks. I'll make a deal with someone. Next time it looks like another 20"er up here and one of you guys wants to experiencing it, we have 2 spare bedrooms. Stay over, enjoy the storm but the deal is you have to go out and do storm cleanup! -
Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
wxeyeNH replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Just woke up to a winter wonderland. 31.7F Light snow My big 5 foot snow stake in the field is just under 18". The smaller stake in the back yard which is open to the sky but sheltered from any drifting is around 20" The first part of the storm had temperatures around 29F but it slowly crept up to 31.9F during the night with a much wetter snow. Down to 31.7F -
31F Light snow. My snow stake is plastered but it looks like we are in the 10-11" range.