mayjawintastawm

Now the GFS is drinking heavily, with 2 feet plus of snow for much of NE Colorado next Sat-Sun. All the major models have 6 inches plus, even the ensembles. The ECMWF seems to have returned to its usual sedate self. Hmm. I do have a couple of lift tickets left.

0.72" rain between midnight and 7 AM today, most in one go since the November snowstorm. Nice! Though I've never seen so many flowers blooming in March since I lived in NC.

Euro's been fooling around with the GFS and thought it'd pull an April Fool's joke. Where would the cold air come from?

Yeah, I'm a little suspicious of that. Not sure how weather this dry and warm with no snow cover for a while now wouldn't result in a decrease in soil moisture at least. I'm guessing the data are lagging behind, somehow.

Had a glorious powder day at Loveland yesterday, but wow- what happened to the end of winter here?? DEN has had 1.07 inches of precipitation since December 1st. That's like actual desert criteria.

Wow, lots of red east of the Divide for 500 miles or so. The Gulf has been closed for business as regards any moisture.

Had a 65 mph wind gust at my house last night about 10:30 PM, though only a trace of snow. Biggest gust since I got the station a year or so ago. Still gusty this AM though much less.

And ice went out on Cherry Creek Lake over the last 24 hours, remarkable because 2 weeks ago it was at its thickest. 60s during the day with full sun and nights above freezing will do that. Short season this year, only about 8 weeks frozen.

We had 0.20" of rain and a trace of snow, and no precip after midnight. Only impact here was to tip over a few lightweight patio chairs. Quite the bust as the storm exited stage right faster than anyone predicted. Back edge of the snow is already at the CO/KS border at 9 AM.

But the QPF is still pretty robust. 0.5" Denver (5300'), 0.6" here (5650'), 0.7" Parker (6000'), but only 1 inch, 2 inches, and 3.5 inches of snow. Seems as much wet as a whiff. Strange. CO seems to have a force field against upper level lows lately.

Temps could be an issue with this one, though usually they trend colder with time. Also speed of the system. Also amount of moisture. Basically everything. But the next 2-3 weeks are the "most interesting time of the year".

Feb total 9.6" at my house, season to date 47.3". Doing well in spite of the relative dryness. Next week could indeed be interesting. Almost certain to beat my annual average of around 55-60" thanks to that big November storm.

We got just over 6" of a semi-surprise snow at my place. Gorgeous powder. Of course I had to catch an early flight so was shoveling at 4:15 AM and couldn't go enjoy it... would have been a nice XC ski outing.

Mountains have done great with this pattern but we've largely missed out, with <0.05" precip through Feb so far and a good chance it will stay basically dry (just traces here and there) close to the rest of the month. Last day with >0.1" water here was... November 9th. Since 11/9, 101 days, Centennial (closest station to me) has had 0.41" water. Grr.

Hopefully this storm will be juicier than the last several for the southern and central mountains. BV looks pretty dry in that picture.