I can't see the Euro, but it looked like the last run of the GFS lost the Christmas cutter. Still a mild-up, but no wound-up rainer. There are a couple shown a few days later, but that's la-la land.
Sorry - the post was ambiguously worded but I should’ve done my own fact-checking. Funny how memory works, as it seemed plausible based on my personal experience. I also realize that my area is still in the game for some action next week, even if we don’t jackpot.
Shaping up to be pure torture. GYX posted yesterday that there have only been 2 Christmases since 2002 with more than a dusting on the ground at PWM, and that trend seems likely to continue. Anyway, enjoy it SNE!
GYX decidedly meh for snow chances up this way next week - going with cold and dry for now. Guess I'll enjoy my remaining parches of crust and see how things evolve.
We’re about 1/2 mile from the ocean. Wouldn’t be surprised if there’s more west of Route 1. Good discussion earlier about the torched layer and how it likely inhibited accumulation even with decent intensity. When we started to flip around noon I figured we were primed for a thumping.
Not liking my Scarborough coastal location right now for much accumulation. As others have said, it's a shame we don't have a better airmass to work with.
What's extra frustrating in this case is that it seemed like a relatively straightforward setup for our area. We weren't waiting to see if 17 different elements would come together at just the right time. Looked like a very predictable 3-6" thump, and we barely pulled off a sloppy inch.
You know it’s bad when the main forecast x-factor in the AFD is whether frontogenic forcing will enhance rainfall rates. Oh well - sucks after the week of deep-ish winter that we just had, but these happen every year even up here. At least ski country should be OK.