Jump to content

PWMan

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,308

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by PWMan

  1. PWMan
    GYX makes it official. The general scenario for Thursday and Friday is an upper level trough digs south through the central U.S. with low pressure developing along it and passing to our west. The deterministic models continue to have differences in timing, but they do agree at this time that our region will be on the warm side of this system...meaning a cold rainfall for Christmas Eve night and early Christmas morning. A possible Grinch storm, indeed.
  2. PWMan
    This is pretty much my mindset, though for me Christmas Eve is maybe even more important in terms of "mood." Seems like we've had some really disgusting Eves over the past few years, with super high dews, roaring SE winds and aggressive downpours. I'd be fine with some warmth and maybe even a bit of fog or mist, but it's hard to ignore a warm firehose that pounds the windows and washes away a beautiful pack.
  3. PWMan
    I stayed offline until now because I wanted to just enjoy the storm, and watching this thing overperform without constantly tracking radar, checking models or reading nowcasts took me back to being a little kid. Just a pure positive surprise. We didn't even get in on the truly insane rates, but still a big overperformer.
  4. PWMan
    Sweet - enjoy. I lived in Clifton Park for a few years during my youth (Shenendehowa alum). Saw some good ones there in the late 80s.
  5. PWMan
    Surprised to see GYX doubling down on warning snows for my area, though they noted the discrepancy between the low-res and high-res modeling. I'll be happy as long as we aren't totally skunked. Should be a fun one for most of the board, which is great for this time of year.
  6. PWMan
    Radar tease incoming
  7. PWMan
    Funny thing is that 3 or 4 days ago I would've been very happy with 2-4 inches. But once those bigger totals are shown and you see that warning color on the map there's no going back - feels like a screw job.
  8. PWMan
    Definitely a step back in the wrong direction for us. Right on the edge.
  9. PWMan
    Well, that was fun for 24 hours or so. We advisory here, maybe. Congrats SNE
  10. PWMan
    No thanks
  11. PWMan
    Our sons' school announced that there will be "snow days" in the sense of there being no instruction - including remote - if staff can't get to the building. So at least the kids still have that.
  12. PWMan
    In my humble opinion, the complaining about the over-hyping of snowstorms has eclipsed the amount of hyping that generally occurs. Sure the media can sensationalize, but I think a lot of it has to do with how much better medium/long-range forecasting is now - so these things have longer lead-ups. More advance warning is generally a good thing, especially since more people now live in suburbs and other areas where the kids can't just walk to school uphill both ways.
  13. PWMan
    Big improvements for us over the past couple days, but still on the periphery with major bust potential IMO.
  14. PWMan
    Yeah, that depiction is about as close to a forum-wide win as you'll see.
  15. PWMan
    Missed that minor detail. Thanks
  16. PWMan
    Looks better for this area than I expected based on the "SE" play-by-play posts.
  17. PWMan
    Dim-sun buffet is closed.
  18. PWMan
    I'm not too proud to run with the NAM.
  19. PWMan
    Amazing how consistently all of these models show a brick wall at the ME border.
  20. PWMan
    We fringe. I could see the cutoff being even sharper than that. Should make for some fun radar-watching.
  21. PWMan
    There were a few runs that showed a decent event well into CNE/NNE, and the NAM had been a bright spot over the past 24 hours. Anyway, it is what it is. Congrats SNE if that's how it plays out.
  22. PWMan
    Yeah, was just hoping for something before Christmas. I'd rather have my snow in December than March (just personal preference).
  23. PWMan
    Yep, this one's slipping away from NNE as the modeling converges and the clock runs down. May be a complete whiff here.
  24. PWMan
    Goalposts seem to be narrowing. Hope it doesn't end up wide right for me.
  25. PWMan
    Looks like we may have had our glancing "blow" from this one. Echoes sliding back SE after blessing us with about 30 minutes of non-accumulating flurries.
×
×
  • Create New...