jpbart

Try living in Columbia, SC. Complete failure while others score is the new normal. We did get something like 1/2" that lasted about 3 hours and there was much joyous celebration over that. Otherwise, cold rain is our normal winter outcome, with some black ice when the cold arrives after the main event.

Around Columbia SC we had several tornado signatures on radar (3 or 4?) and tornado warnings posted. Storms overperformed a bit in the sever weather dept.

Hoping for a long spring with sunny days but not needing the A/C 24/7 until June. Yeah, I know. A man can dream, a man can dream.

Thanks!

Question: I want to access the various computer model outputs like a lot of members here appear to do. Is that possible and how do I do that? Site recommendations, any help, or advice would be greatly appreciated.

UHG! ICE galore for Columbia, SC. Curses!

Yes, that may be a factor adding instability to the current climate and changing things so previous analog years are less predictive. The effect is likely small over time currently but it is not well understood so it's effects are hard to pin down. General consensus is it makes things more extreme, droughts a bit more intense etc.

This appears to be the new normal, snow is just getting to be a less frequent event over time. I have stopped thinking about it and have just moved on. Being in Columbia SC this seems like the best way to preserve my sanity. I wish all of you snow people luck and maybe a miracle will happen and I get flurries this year while y'all get 18".

2.48" in the rain bucket for W. Columbia, Yay! Had 0.21" the day before with hopefully a bit more today. Being this happy about muggy rain filled days is a testament to how dry it's been. Hope Y'all score some rain, but not too much rain.

I am of the opinion that this year the peak is in October, possibly late october. Once the atmosphere cools a bit and a few things shift around it will kick off. That ocean heat has to go somewhere.

I suspect the season might be more back loaded into November, December than usual. A few storms my pop up then in a similar fashion as late June, July?

Amen brother!

Thanks everyone, I appreciate the responses.

I understand what ONI in, and SOI, but what is RONI? I tried searching for but to no avail. Can somebody explain this please?

Personally, I find that dry too easily turns to drought, then to seriously bad drought and temps over a 100 with a water bill to match. Let it rain baby, let it rain.

Well it appears that the blocking we need for winter to get snow may arrive in March to get cold rain. So let's hope for 3 years no snow and get into the record books. I mean what the hell, might as well get something out of this misery.

The perfect set up for the March killing frost. Ah life in the south.

My hopes have turned to a mild damp spring that lasts until May~ish with out the killing frosts of March. Peach crops took a pounding last year, let's hope things play out better this time around.

After all of the back and forth between hype over models vs despair when they change the other way. I just want this winter to end for better or worse. Next up early spring and anxiety over killing late frosts.

Living smack dab in the middle of SC. I am curious about how the gap between potential snow fall locations. This kind of snow event is especially frustrating to those of us in the middle of the gap. Anybody care to enlighten us forever snowless folks?

At the end of February if we haven't had any snow (likely) then I hope we stay just above freezing at night with cool afternoons until May. As much as I miss snow I despise the early warm ups that transition to a hard freeze and a destruction of everything in bloom. I have resigned myself that snow fall will be an exceedingly rare event and anything I get will be a major unexpected surprise. Sort of like finding a $20 in an old coat you haven't worn in a long time. The constant back and forth between "we still have hope" and the "it's over" camps has become tiring. I now assume no snow is the new normal, drink a glass of whiskey and just enjoy the cool weather.

Personally I have given up, getting snow in these parts is damn rare and appears to be less likely every year. Especially around the Columbia, SC area for crying out loud. I just decided getting frustrated and angry over failed storms was silly and not good for my blood pressure. I keep an eye on things for fun and to know when I have to go buy milk and bread in larger quantities than usual. I still hope for that one storm to arrive and hell the Detroit LIons won a playoff game. anything can happen.

After a season when it snowed at the coast and in the mountains, and everywhere but in Columbia, SC. I have learned to relax and just enjoy the show. Do not get my hopes up too much, and do not get too frustrated when it all goes bust. Years of being a Phillies fan has prepared me for this, it's all ok. Just relax, have a glass of bourbon and see what mother nature is up to.

A fun scenario to think about on one of the hottest days of the year. If would be fun if we got the central SC heavy snow (4+") unicorn event. Still after so much disappointment I remain quite skeptical. I am also buying a lottery ticket because you just need it to happen once to declare victory in these parts.

Curious about the possible Super El Nino and what it might mean for our area in the S. East. Anybody want to chime in on their thoughts? I figured the number of hurricanes should be reduced, but we might get a few big ones because the ocean is pretty warm and getting warmer. Drought most likely outcome from this? Heavy rain? Mass hysteria? How would this differ from a regular El Nino?