jpbart

Yes, that may be a factor adding instability to the current climate and changing things so previous analog years are less predictive. The effect is likely small over time currently but it is not well understood so it's effects are hard to pin down. General consensus is it makes things more extreme, droughts a bit more intense etc.

This appears to be the new normal, snow is just getting to be a less frequent event over time. I have stopped thinking about it and have just moved on. Being in Columbia SC this seems like the best way to preserve my sanity. I wish all of you snow people luck and maybe a miracle will happen and I get flurries this year while y'all get 18".

2.48" in the rain bucket for W. Columbia, Yay! Had 0.21" the day before with hopefully a bit more today. Being this happy about muggy rain filled days is a testament to how dry it's been. Hope Y'all score some rain, but not too much rain.

I am of the opinion that this year the peak is in October, possibly late october. Once the atmosphere cools a bit and a few things shift around it will kick off. That ocean heat has to go somewhere.

I suspect the season might be more back loaded into November, December than usual. A few storms my pop up then in a similar fashion as late June, July?

Amen brother!

Thanks everyone, I appreciate the responses.

I understand what ONI in, and SOI, but what is RONI? I tried searching for but to no avail. Can somebody explain this please?

Personally, I find that dry too easily turns to drought, then to seriously bad drought and temps over a 100 with a water bill to match. Let it rain baby, let it rain.

Well it appears that the blocking we need for winter to get snow may arrive in March to get cold rain. So let's hope for 3 years no snow and get into the record books. I mean what the hell, might as well get something out of this misery.

The perfect set up for the March killing frost. Ah life in the south.

My hopes have turned to a mild damp spring that lasts until May~ish with out the killing frosts of March. Peach crops took a pounding last year, let's hope things play out better this time around.

After all of the back and forth between hype over models vs despair when they change the other way. I just want this winter to end for better or worse. Next up early spring and anxiety over killing late frosts.

Living smack dab in the middle of SC. I am curious about how the gap between potential snow fall locations. This kind of snow event is especially frustrating to those of us in the middle of the gap. Anybody care to enlighten us forever snowless folks?

At the end of February if we haven't had any snow (likely) then I hope we stay just above freezing at night with cool afternoons until May. As much as I miss snow I despise the early warm ups that transition to a hard freeze and a destruction of everything in bloom. I have resigned myself that snow fall will be an exceedingly rare event and anything I get will be a major unexpected surprise. Sort of like finding a $20 in an old coat you haven't worn in a long time. The constant back and forth between "we still have hope" and the "it's over" camps has become tiring. I now assume no snow is the new normal, drink a glass of whiskey and just enjoy the cool weather.