It is better to have these things come together later in the process than to sit and watch for 8 days. This showed signs a few days ago on the GFS, then went away, and now is coming back to some extent on all major models. This is good.
That's cool. I like the idea of a warm period to do even more yard work, and then when winter comes, it comes. Best case scenario in my view, especially given that we've had a decent amount of cool weather recently...several nights in the 20s.
As long as it snows during Hannukah....maybe Jerry has a version of that old favorite "I'm dreamink of a vite Channuakah"
Actually Xmas snow is nice, but NYE is my bday and I like snowy or at least cold because that night we usually burn one of our big brush fires.
For Tampa Bay, besides the severe flooding, is the risk that the water gets pushed out by the north east winds on the western side of the storm and then surges back in the Tampa Bay as the storm passes to the north east and they get strong southwesterly winds on the south western side of the eye?
Not that I expect a George-like severe blizzard of 2-4 ft this winter...but in the past sometimes an early fall pattern is a precusor. Certainly was true in 95-96.