Not an optimistic take from GYX, but it’s not Ekster , so I am not sold.
ts during this period that precipitation chances will be
greatest. Current guidance suggests the low center should track
close to the coast, although ensemble members have more
solutions further into the GoME vs. inland over New England,
particularly the EPS. While the proximity to the coast could
still play a role in precip type, my current thoughts are that
is won`t play as big a role considering the extreme negative tilt
with the overlying system. Warm, moist air will be more
conducive to running inland from the Atlantic at this angle.
This means temps nearing 40 will be possible for the interior
and coast, with cooler temps supporting periods of snow mixing
in further across the foothills and mountains. That said, the
upper jet, by now across the southern CONUS, will have lots of
momentum with it that should keep the warmest temps advecting
across the Atlantic vs. wrapping up into New England...leaving
the newly formed low to pivot across northern New England and
southern Quebec/New Brunswick for remainder of the weekend.
Of greater confidence is another period of gusty winds with the greatest
precip rates Fri evening lifting north through Saturday. Plenty
of time to decide on precip type after a rather complex system
departs our region midweek.