mahk_webstah

Looks like some good snows are gonna be rotating into Massachusetts as we speak

The band over Central New York that Brian highlighted last evening translated here and then translated over to you. And you still have a good bit to go. Nice!

Low

Wunderground giving me 2’ out n 7 days unread of 31”. the weekend will sort itself out. Ain’t complaining!

This is confusing

This was the one that tip thought could be a nice surprise if our attention was totally focused on next weekend. I wonder if he’s still thinking that.

Big fat banana

Good job threading this! up here might be a 6-10er with a crust especially if dry slot is delayed or avoided.

The thread title reflects the fact that I grew up around Philadelphia and as an eagle fan way back to veterans Stadium and when they were the worst team in the league. My father had season tickets. Football, just like snow, creates excitement, but has no guarantees. I am feeling hopeful About the Eagles, but also about the snow. And the negativity in this regional forum was getting ridiculous so I wanted to create a title that reflected my hope for the Eagles and my hope and expectation for what was going to happen with this storm. If you look at the thread title and my initial post, if it plays out like it looks like it will, this thread is a rocking right on thread.

Well, I respect your local knowledge. I know it comes up here more often than not, but they deserve it too.

15 and 8?is okay

Over my years of living up here, I have seen that when modeling consistently shows an enhanced band up this way it almost always happens. And it almost always surprises and delights me. I wouldn’t be surprised if we end up with double digits here.

Probably crushed down by meatier snow Wednesday night and Thursday. Are you guys planning to warn the public about what’s coming this week? I mean, they already may be looking at the Kuchera maps on Facebook so God knows that they think the apocalypse is here.

As Jerry said yesterday, it will depend on whether the prior flights get canceled. The snow will be over by noon tomorrow.

If it plays out the way, it looks like it will you have to give a lot of credit to the modeling, which sniffed this out more than a week ago, even the high snow ratios. This threat has barely wavered since this thread was started, and even before.

People don’t understand how Maine is oriented.

A shame the best snow will be falling at night. I love going out for walks and that sort of perfect snow growth heavy snow.

WPC discussion sounds great for many. Indeed there will be a lot of high-fiving across this whole region. 1 to 2 in./h, possibly exceeding 2 in./hr As the parent shortwave continues to track progressively to theeast, the accompanying forcing and moisture will also pivot withit, and secondary low pressure development is likely off of the NJcoast late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This low will becomedominant and intensify as zonal but modestly coupled jet structuresinteract with a baroclinic zone offshore. As this low deepens andmoves almost due east south of New England, it will cross near theBenchmark (40N/70W), leading to a substantial snow event forUpstate NY, the Poconos, and at least Southern New England (SNE),although there remains uncertainty into how far north (or south)the heaviest snow will spread. As the low deepens and pulls away tothe east, a renewed surge of cold air both through theageostrophic flow into the low and the subsequent CAA in its wakewill limit the progress of the warm nose, while dry air to thenorth noted in regional soundings inhibits PWs from aggressivelylifting towards Canada. In between, an axis of heavy snow is likelyas strong WAA produces impressive 850-600mb fgen, producing strongascent into the DGZ. The overlap of this strong fgen with sometheta-e lapse rates approaching 0C/km suggests banding potentialfrom Upstate NY into SNE, and with elevated SLRs, snowfall rates of1-2"/hr appear likely. Total snowfall will be limited by the speedof this system as it will only snow in most areas for 12-18 hours,but this will still result in heavy accumulations. WPCprobabilities for more than 6 inches of snow are high (>70%) fromthe Mohawk Valley of NY eastward into much of MA, southern VT,southern NH, and the southeastern tip of ME. Locally 8-12" of snowis possible in some areas.

Never seen so much snow forecast on Wunderground for this area. 6 tonight tomorrow (probably low) 8 Wednesday Thursday 16 Saturday Sunday

GYX says ratios up here 15-20:1

My weather underground site has had this as a 7 to 9 inch snow for a couple of days now. But I’ve been distracted by both Sunday and then what looks like a big storm next weekend.

Good advice

I’m thinking watches go up shortly for one more tier north in nh

That’s not a cutter

Iggles by 6-12,with lollies for everyone